Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 22 April 2008 at 21:38:32 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 April 2008, Aston_Villa vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   81  +54      87.18     1.95    57.19    89.34    99.64   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   78  +36      83.88     2.00    38.82    10.59    85.12    99.93   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   74  +37      80.57     1.96    40.87     0.07    15.23    95.58   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   69  +36      75.02     2.17    38.84     0.00     0.02     4.49    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   61  +21      65.98     2.09    22.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    92.23     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   58  +22      62.83     2.14    23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.84     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      35   57  +12      62.77     2.16    14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   55   +1      59.09     2.03     0.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.13     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   52   +2      56.94     2.00     3.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   47   -5      50.38     2.01    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   42   +6      46.96     2.22     7.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   42  -16      44.11     1.87   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   36  -17      38.70     1.88   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   36  -18      39.42     2.16   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   36  -21      39.37     2.11   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Bolton          35   32  -20      34.51     1.85   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.15R    0.00  
Reading         35   32  -28      35.99     2.24   -28.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.75R    0.00  
Birmingham      35   31  -17      34.31     2.17   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.95R    0.00  
Fulham          35   27  -26      29.65     1.95   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.77R    0.00  
Derby           35   11  -59      12.41     1.53   -63.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2008, Wolverhampton vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        44   77  +31      80.95     1.76    33.11    85.82    99.53   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   75  +13      78.39     1.87    13.96    13.85    84.25   100.00    88.47P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   72  +18      74.90     1.84    18.22     0.33    14.05   100.00    41.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   71   -1      73.63     1.77    -1.08     0.00     1.88    97.40    18.91P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   69   +7      72.35     1.81     7.89     0.00     0.29    91.05    21.59P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   68  +12      70.89     1.79    12.27     0.00     0.00    77.87    22.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    44   66   +4      68.83     1.83     4.16     0.00     0.00    20.89     4.66P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   65   +8      67.72     1.85     8.00     0.00     0.00    11.12     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   63   +5      66.12     1.84     5.53     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   +8      63.98     1.82     8.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   61   +5      64.25     1.85     5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   61   -2      63.48     1.78    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   60   +1      62.98     1.83     1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   58   -1      60.48     1.85    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   55   -3      57.55     1.80    -3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   53   -2      55.45     1.81    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Coventry         44   52   -9      54.30     1.78    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.00  
Norwich          44   52  -10      54.52     1.80   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.42R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   52  -13      54.26     1.78   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.91R    0.00  
Leicester        44   51   -1      53.56     1.75    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.74R    0.00  
Southampton      44   50  -17      51.76     1.62   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.92R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   49   -6      51.70     1.76    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.64R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   42  -24      44.24     1.74   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.72  
Colchester       44   37  -23      39.37     1.86   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          44   86  +36      89.85     1.73    37.74   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   79  +21      82.88     1.77    22.77     0.00    62.19   100.00    69.80P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   77  +23      81.00     1.71    24.81     0.00    26.78   100.00    44.21P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   76  +30      79.97     1.71    31.70     0.00    10.09   100.00    40.15P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   75  +16      78.65     1.69    17.65     0.00     0.94   100.00    15.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   70  +32      74.39     1.60    34.55     0.00     0.00    99.40    30.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   66   +7      68.48     1.81     6.67     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   63   +8      66.27     1.83     8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   62   +5      64.60     1.81     4.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   62   +4      65.28     1.86     4.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   61   +8      64.49     1.77     9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   60  -15      62.40     1.79   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   57   +6      60.67     1.82     7.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   57  -13      58.92     1.60   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      44   54  -11      56.40     1.71   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   53   -2      54.96     1.72    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   53   -4      55.68     1.81    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   52  -19      53.31     1.41   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Crewe            44   50  -14      52.27     1.79   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.62R    0.00  
Millwall         44   49  -17      50.77     1.65   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.83R    0.00  
Cheltenham       44   48  -22      49.61     1.57   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.47R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   45  -28      46.45     1.50   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.07R    0.00  
Port_Vale        44   36  -34      37.52     1.57   -36.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   24.27  
Luton            44   33  -17      35.15     1.65   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   75.73  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2008, Hereford vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   44   93  +44      97.07     1.74    45.97    96.17   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         44   89  +40      92.53     1.81    41.16     3.83   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             44   82  +26      85.85     1.79    27.61     0.00    79.06   100.00    84.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   78  +23      81.65     1.84    24.40     0.00     3.82   100.00    26.42P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            43   78  +18      83.49     2.29    20.11     0.00    17.11   100.00    34.71P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           44   75  +26      78.30     1.72    26.84     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   75  +14      78.36     1.80    14.85     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   68  +21      71.88     1.78    22.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   68   +2      71.17     1.87     2.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   62   +4      63.93     1.70     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   59   -3      61.27     1.69    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            44   59  -14      60.68     1.65   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   57   -7      59.22     1.81    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   55   -5      57.74     1.83    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              44   55   -6      56.60     1.61    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   55  -15      57.93     1.82   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   48   -9      50.41     1.79    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   48  -34      50.46     1.81   -34.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   46  -18      48.13     1.77   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Chester              43   44  -17      47.64     2.25   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.12R    0.00  
Notts_County         44   44  -17      45.68     1.58   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.49R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   43  -24      44.96     1.66   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.32R    0.29  
Mansfield            44   42  -17      44.58     1.84   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.94R    1.33  
Wrexham              44   37  -32      39.28     1.77   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 April 2008, Aldershot vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           45  100  +34     101.63     1.30    34.36   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             45   86  +27      87.88     1.30    27.82     0.00   100.00    25.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       45   83  +25      84.90     1.26    25.76     0.00   100.00    29.19P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              45   82  +25      83.21     1.29    24.74     0.00   100.00    22.44P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       45   80  +23      81.54     1.33    23.26     0.00   100.00    22.56P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           45   76  +26      77.70     1.32    26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Histon              45   71   +9      72.43     1.34     9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        45   70  +17      71.34     1.33    16.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    45   69   +6      70.47     1.29     6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          45   68   +6      69.23     1.26     5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       45   67  +20      68.65     1.30    20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           45   65   +7      66.64     1.33     7.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      44   64   +6      67.29     1.82     6.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        45   63   +5      63.91     1.22     4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                45   62   +0      63.13     1.29    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   44   58   +3      60.26     1.76     2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             45   52   -8      53.07     1.26    -8.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              45   50  -11      51.08     1.24   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            45   45  -20      46.58     1.32   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich           45   44  -24      44.85     1.15   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham          45   40  -26      41.17     1.28   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.75R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      45   39  -36      39.96     1.19   -36.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.25R    0.00  
Droylsden           45   24  -56      25.30     1.32   -56.13     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   40.80  
Stafford_Rangers    45   22  -58      23.46     1.33   -57.87     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   59.20