Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 21 April 2008 at 21:38:35 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 April 2008, Aston_Villa vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   81  +54      87.19     1.93    57.20    89.27    99.68   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   78  +36      83.89     2.00    38.82    10.67    85.19    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   74  +37      80.58     1.97    40.92     0.05    15.12    95.59   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   69  +36      75.01     2.17    38.83     0.00     0.01     4.50    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   61  +21      66.01     2.09    22.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    92.38     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   58  +22      62.82     2.14    23.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.52     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      35   57  +12      62.78     2.15    14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.49     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   55   +1      59.12     2.04     0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.25     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   52   +2      56.95     2.00     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   47   -5      50.36     2.00    -6.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   42   +6      46.95     2.23     7.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   42  -16      44.11     1.88   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   36  -17      38.67     1.87   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   36  -18      39.42     2.17   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   36  -21      39.35     2.11   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Bolton          35   32  -20      34.51     1.84   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.35R    0.00  
Reading         35   32  -28      36.02     2.25   -28.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.57R    0.00  
Birmingham      35   31  -17      34.31     2.17   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.95R    0.00  
Fulham          35   27  -26      29.63     1.96   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.78R    0.00  
Derby           35   11  -59      12.41     1.52   -63.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Barnsley vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        44   77  +31      80.95     1.77    33.09    85.53    99.54   100.00    99.74P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   75  +13      78.42     1.86    14.02    14.11    84.56   100.00    88.56P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   72  +18      74.90     1.83    18.23     0.36    13.72   100.00    41.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   71   -1      73.65     1.78    -1.07     0.00     1.93    98.52    18.95P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   69   +7      72.37     1.80     7.93     0.00     0.25    93.60    22.57P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   68  +12      70.91     1.78    12.28     0.00     0.00    83.51    23.55P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   65   +8      67.74     1.85     8.03     0.00     0.00    12.41     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   63   +5      66.12     1.85     5.55     0.00     0.00     2.08     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   63   +1      67.25     2.25     1.26     0.00     0.00     9.05     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   +8      63.99     1.82     8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   61   +5      64.24     1.86     5.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   61   -2      63.41     1.77    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   60   +4      64.29     2.24     4.32     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   58   -1      60.48     1.86    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   55   -3      57.52     1.80    -3.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   53   -2      55.46     1.81    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         44   52   -9      54.35     1.78    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.02R    0.00  
Norwich          44   52  -10      54.53     1.80   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.57R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   52  -13      54.23     1.78   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.00  
Leicester        44   51   -1      53.53     1.74    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.94R    0.00  
Southampton      44   50  -17      51.76     1.63   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.80R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   49   -6      51.70     1.77    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.57R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   42  -24      44.22     1.74   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.72  
Colchester       44   37  -23      39.37     1.86   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Brighton vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          44   86  +36      89.85     1.73    37.73   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   79  +21      82.89     1.77    22.77     0.00    62.57   100.00    70.56P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   77  +23      81.00     1.72    24.80     0.00    26.88   100.00    44.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   76  +30      79.94     1.71    31.66     0.00     9.60   100.00    39.63P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   75  +16      78.65     1.69    17.65     0.00     0.95   100.00    16.11P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   70  +32      74.34     1.61    34.48     0.00     0.00    99.28    29.59P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   66   +7      68.44     1.81     6.62     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   63   +8      66.26     1.84     8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   62   +5      64.61     1.82     4.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   62   +4      65.26     1.87     4.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   61   +8      64.50     1.78     9.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   60  -15      62.41     1.80   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   57  -13      58.92     1.60   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   54   +5      58.91     2.24     6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      44   54  -11      56.39     1.70   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   53   -2      54.97     1.71    -3.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   53   -3      57.20     2.25    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           44   52  -19      53.35     1.44   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Crewe            44   50  -14      52.25     1.79   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.67R    0.00  
Millwall         44   49  -17      50.78     1.66   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.24R    0.00  
Cheltenham       44   48  -22      49.62     1.58   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.14R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   45  -28      46.47     1.52   -30.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.91R    0.00  
Port_Vale        44   36  -34      37.54     1.58   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   24.16  
Luton            44   33  -17      35.16     1.65   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   75.84  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   44   93  +44      97.07     1.75    45.99    95.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         44   89  +40      92.53     1.81    41.16     4.06   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             43   79  +24      85.03     2.15    26.78     0.00    67.60   100.00    76.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   78  +23      81.62     1.85    24.37     0.00     7.69   100.00    29.36P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            43   78  +18      83.49     2.27    20.10     0.00    24.60   100.00    40.50P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           44   75  +26      78.30     1.72    26.85     0.00     0.09   100.00    31.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   75  +14      78.34     1.79    14.81     0.00     0.01   100.00    22.13P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   68  +21      71.88     1.79    22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   68   +2      71.18     1.88     2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   62   +4      63.93     1.69     2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   59   -3      61.27     1.70    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            44   59  -14      60.68     1.65   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   57   -7      59.22     1.81    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   55   -5      57.77     1.84    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              44   55   -6      56.63     1.64    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   55  -15      57.93     1.83   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   48   -9      50.43     1.78    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   48  -34      50.42     1.80   -34.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   46  -18      48.13     1.76   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Chester              43   44  -17      47.63     2.25   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.23R    0.03  
Notts_County         44   44  -17      45.70     1.58   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.76R    0.11  
Dag_&_Red            44   43  -24      44.95     1.65   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.55R    1.86  
Mansfield            44   42  -17      44.56     1.83   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.16R    3.06  
Wrexham              43   37  -30      39.88     2.03   -31.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.14R   94.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Ebbsfleet_United vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           44   99  +34     102.89     1.74    35.81   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             44   86  +29      89.02     1.84    29.47     0.00   100.00    25.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       44   80  +26      82.91     1.87    26.26     0.00    87.11    21.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       44   80  +23      83.46     1.82    24.03     0.00    91.90    24.40P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              44   79  +22      82.69     1.64    23.77     0.00    81.46    18.44P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           44   76  +27      80.06     1.75    29.12     0.00    39.52    10.32P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              45   71   +9      72.43     1.34     9.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        44   69  +17      72.00     1.88    17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    44   68   +6      70.56     1.82     5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          44   65   +5      67.71     1.80     5.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       44   64  +17      67.00     1.87    17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           44   64   +7      66.89     1.84     7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        44   63   +9      65.81     1.80     9.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      43   63   +6      67.77     2.25     6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                44   59   -3      62.08     1.80    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   43   58   +4      61.49     2.17     3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              44   49  -11      51.86     1.83   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             44   49  -12      50.91     1.75   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            44   44  -20      46.12     1.66   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich           44   41  -25      42.39     1.53   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.84R    0.00  
Altrincham          45   40  -26      41.18     1.29   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.43R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      44   39  -33      40.78     1.68   -34.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.73R    0.00  
Droylsden           44   23  -56      25.30     1.81   -56.70     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   36.17  
Stafford_Rangers    44   22  -55      23.84     1.58   -56.90     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   63.83