Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 April 2008 at 21:38:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 April 2008, Aston_Villa vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   81  +54      87.15     1.95    57.15    89.01    99.62   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   78  +36      83.89     2.01    38.83    10.92    85.21    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   74  +37      80.58     1.96    40.90     0.06    15.16    95.65   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   69  +36      75.02     2.17    38.84     0.00     0.02     4.46    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   61  +21      65.98     2.10    22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    92.25     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     35   58  +22      62.83     2.14    23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.83     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      35   57  +12      62.77     2.15    14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.46     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        35   55   +1      59.09     2.03     0.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.11     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   52   +2      56.95     2.00     3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   47   -5      50.38     2.00    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   42   +6      46.97     2.22     7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       35   42  -16      44.13     1.88   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   36  -17      38.70     1.88   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   36  -18      39.43     2.17   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Sunderland      35   36  -21      39.34     2.10   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Bolton          35   32  -20      34.52     1.84   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.92R    0.00  
Reading         35   32  -28      36.00     2.25   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.87R    0.00  
Birmingham      35   31  -17      34.30     2.17   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.11R    0.00  
Fulham          35   27  -26      29.65     1.96   -28.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.80R    0.00  
Derby           35   11  -59      12.42     1.53   -63.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Barnsley vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        44   77  +31      80.94     1.77    33.10    85.65    99.50   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   75  +13      78.42     1.86    13.99    14.00    84.50   100.00    88.68P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   72  +18      74.90     1.84    18.24     0.35    13.82   100.00    41.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   71   -1      73.62     1.77    -1.09     0.00     1.91    98.42    18.61P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   69   +7      72.35     1.80     7.90     0.00     0.27    93.73    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   68  +12      70.90     1.78    12.28     0.00     0.00    83.78    23.50P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   65   +8      67.72     1.85     7.98     0.00     0.00    11.93     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   63   +5      66.13     1.84     5.56     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   63   +1      67.26     2.25     1.28     0.00     0.00     9.33     1.95P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   +8      64.00     1.83     8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   61   +5      64.25     1.86     5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   61   -2      63.42     1.78    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   60   +4      64.28     2.24     4.30     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   58   -1      60.48     1.85    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   55   -3      57.56     1.80    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   53   -2      55.45     1.81    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Coventry         44   52   -9      54.34     1.77    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.97R    0.00  
Norwich          44   52  -10      54.54     1.81   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.44R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   52  -13      54.21     1.77   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.07R    0.00  
Leicester        44   51   -1      53.54     1.74    -1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.93R    0.00  
Southampton      44   50  -17      51.76     1.63   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   49   -6      51.69     1.76    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.47R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   42  -24      44.22     1.74   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.98  
Colchester       44   37  -23      39.38     1.86   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.02  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Brighton vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          44   86  +36      89.84     1.73    37.72   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   79  +21      82.87     1.76    22.75     0.00    61.97   100.00    69.85P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   77  +23      81.01     1.72    24.81     0.00    27.17   100.00    43.78P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   76  +30      79.96     1.71    31.69     0.00     9.89   100.00    40.37P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   75  +16      78.65     1.69    17.65     0.00     0.96   100.00    15.95P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   70  +32      74.37     1.60    34.54     0.00     0.00    99.40    29.96P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   66   +7      68.45     1.79     6.64     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   63   +8      66.26     1.83     8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   62   +5      64.58     1.81     4.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   62   +4      65.28     1.86     4.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   61   +8      64.49     1.77     9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   60  -15      62.42     1.80   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   57  -13      58.94     1.61   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   54   +5      58.91     2.23     6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      44   54  -11      56.40     1.71   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   53   -2      54.95     1.71    -3.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   53   -3      57.16     2.26    -2.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   52  -19      53.32     1.42   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Crewe            44   50  -14      52.26     1.79   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.71R    0.00  
Millwall         44   49  -17      50.79     1.65   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.78R    0.00  
Cheltenham       44   48  -22      49.61     1.57   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.40R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   45  -28      46.47     1.51   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.96R    0.00  
Port_Vale        44   36  -34      37.53     1.57   -36.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   23.96  
Luton            44   33  -17      35.14     1.65   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   76.04  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   44   93  +44      97.08     1.73    46.00    96.28   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         44   89  +40      92.52     1.82    41.15     3.72   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             43   79  +24      85.05     2.14    26.79     0.00    68.05   100.00    76.47P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   78  +23      81.63     1.85    24.36     0.00     7.38   100.00    28.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            43   78  +18      83.48     2.28    20.11     0.00    24.45   100.00    40.33P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           44   75  +26      78.30     1.72    26.84     0.00     0.12   100.00    31.90P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   75  +14      78.35     1.79    14.84     0.00     0.01   100.00    22.32P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   68  +21      71.89     1.79    22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   68   +2      71.20     1.88     2.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   62   +4      63.93     1.71     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   59   -3      61.25     1.70    -3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            44   59  -14      60.67     1.66   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   57   -7      59.22     1.80    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   55   -5      57.78     1.84    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              44   55   -6      56.62     1.62    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   55  -15      57.94     1.83   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   48   -9      50.44     1.79    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   48  -34      50.42     1.82   -34.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   46  -18      48.13     1.77   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Chester              43   44  -17      47.62     2.25   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.33R    0.03  
Notts_County         44   44  -17      45.69     1.58   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.80R    0.12  
Dag_&_Red            44   43  -24      44.96     1.65   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.48R    1.90  
Mansfield            44   42  -17      44.55     1.83   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.13R    3.21  
Wrexham              43   37  -30      39.87     2.04   -31.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.14R   94.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Ebbsfleet_United vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           44   99  +34     102.88     1.74    35.79   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             44   86  +29      89.05     1.85    29.52     0.00   100.00    26.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       44   80  +26      82.93     1.87    26.28     0.00    87.09    21.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       44   80  +23      83.42     1.83    23.97     0.00    91.33    23.84P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              44   79  +22      82.68     1.63    23.74     0.00    81.12    18.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           44   76  +27      80.08     1.75    29.15     0.00    40.46    10.51P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              45   71   +9      72.41     1.33     9.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        44   69  +17      72.03     1.88    17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    44   68   +6      70.56     1.81     5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          44   65   +5      67.72     1.80     5.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       44   64  +17      67.01     1.86    17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           44   64   +7      66.87     1.84     7.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        44   63   +9      65.82     1.80     9.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      43   63   +6      67.79     2.25     6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                44   59   -3      62.09     1.81    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   43   58   +4      61.47     2.16     3.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              44   49  -11      51.86     1.82   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             44   49  -12      50.88     1.74   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            44   44  -20      46.15     1.67   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich           44   41  -25      42.41     1.53   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.40R    0.00  
Altrincham          45   40  -26      41.16     1.28   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.74R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      44   39  -33      40.76     1.67   -34.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.86R    0.00  
Droylsden           44   23  -56      25.30     1.82   -56.70     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   36.13  
Stafford_Rangers    44   22  -55      23.84     1.57   -56.90     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   63.87