Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 19 April 2008 at 21:38:38 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Arsenal vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         35   81  +54      87.22     1.93    57.24    89.57    99.67   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   78  +36      83.90     2.01    38.88    10.37    85.83    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         35   74  +37      80.54     1.96    40.86     0.06    14.50    95.72   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       35   69  +36      75.00     2.16    38.81     0.00     0.01     4.36    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   61  +21      66.04     2.09    22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    90.06     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      34   57  +14      64.24     2.53    16.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.95     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   55  +18      62.06     2.45    20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.56     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   52   +2      56.89     2.00     3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   52   -1      57.29     2.43    -1.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        35   47   -5      50.38     2.00    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       35   42   +6      46.98     2.22     7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   39  -18      42.75     2.31   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           35   36  -17      38.71     1.88   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   35   36  -18      39.39     2.15   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   36  -19      40.52     2.50   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Bolton          35   32  -20      34.45     1.85   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.47R    0.00  
Reading         35   32  -28      35.99     2.24   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.38R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   31  -13      34.97     2.43   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.51R    0.00  
Fulham          35   27  -26      29.62     1.96   -28.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.14R    0.00  
Derby           35   11  -59      12.41     1.52   -63.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Barnsley vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        44   77  +31      80.97     1.75    33.12    85.90    99.55   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            44   75  +13      78.42     1.86    14.00    13.82    84.42   100.00    88.63P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   72  +18      74.91     1.83    18.25     0.28    13.81   100.00    41.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   71   -1      73.64     1.77    -1.08     0.00     1.95    98.51    18.71P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   69   +7      72.37     1.80     7.93     0.00     0.27    93.72    22.44P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   68  +12      70.90     1.78    12.27     0.00     0.00    83.53    23.63P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   65   +8      67.71     1.84     7.99     0.00     0.00    12.26     2.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   63   +5      66.13     1.84     5.56     0.00     0.00     1.88     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    43   63   +1      67.25     2.26     1.27     0.00     0.00     9.33     2.05P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         44   61   +8      64.00     1.83     8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   61   +5      64.24     1.86     5.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   61   -2      63.41     1.77    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   60   +4      64.29     2.23     4.31     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              44   58   -1      60.44     1.85    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   55   -3      57.54     1.80    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        44   53   -2      55.44     1.81    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Coventry         44   52   -9      54.34     1.77    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.99R    0.00  
Norwich          44   52  -10      54.55     1.81   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.31R    0.00  
Barnsley         44   52  -13      54.21     1.77   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.00  
Leicester        44   51   -1      53.53     1.74    -1.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.88R    0.00  
Southampton      44   50  -17      51.75     1.63   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.99R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   49   -6      51.70     1.76    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.73R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   42  -24      44.25     1.75   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    8.67  
Colchester       44   37  -23      39.35     1.85   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.33  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Brighton vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          44   86  +36      89.85     1.73    37.73   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   79  +21      82.87     1.77    22.76     0.00    61.74   100.00    69.33P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   77  +23      81.03     1.71    24.84     0.00    27.44   100.00    44.29P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     44   76  +30      79.96     1.70    31.70     0.00     9.82   100.00    40.95P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         44   75  +16      78.63     1.70    17.63     0.00     1.00   100.00    15.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            44   70  +32      74.38     1.60    34.54     0.00     0.00    99.37    29.84P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         44   66   +7      68.45     1.81     6.62     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   63   +8      66.27     1.83     8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   62   +5      64.59     1.82     4.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   62   +4      65.27     1.86     4.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   61   +8      64.50     1.78     9.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   60  -15      62.41     1.80   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   57  -13      58.92     1.60   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   54   +5      58.90     2.24     6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      44   54  -11      56.39     1.71   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   53   -2      54.95     1.71    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   43   53   -3      57.18     2.25    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   52  -19      53.31     1.41   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Crewe            44   50  -14      52.26     1.79   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.58R    0.00  
Millwall         44   49  -17      50.80     1.66   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.47R    0.00  
Cheltenham       44   48  -22      49.60     1.57   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.81R    0.00  
Gillingham       44   45  -28      46.46     1.51   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        44   36  -34      37.54     1.58   -36.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   23.78  
Luton            44   33  -17      35.14     1.65   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   76.22  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   44   93  +44      97.08     1.74    46.02    96.17   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         44   89  +40      92.53     1.82    41.16     3.83   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             43   79  +24      85.07     2.14    26.82     0.00    68.14   100.00    76.73P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             44   78  +23      81.67     1.85    24.42     0.00     7.69   100.00    29.48P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            43   78  +18      83.46     2.29    20.08     0.00    24.08   100.00    39.85P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           44   75  +26      78.30     1.72    26.84     0.00     0.09   100.00    32.07P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   75  +14      78.35     1.80    14.84     0.00     0.01   100.00    21.86P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         44   68  +21      71.86     1.79    22.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   68   +2      71.19     1.87     2.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             44   62   +4      63.90     1.69     2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   59   -3      61.25     1.70    -3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            44   59  -14      60.66     1.65   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               44   57   -7      59.22     1.81    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   55   -5      57.76     1.84    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              44   55   -6      56.61     1.62    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   55  -15      57.94     1.83   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   48   -9      50.41     1.78    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   48  -34      50.42     1.81   -34.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         44   46  -18      48.15     1.78   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Chester              43   44  -17      47.65     2.25   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.34R    0.02  
Notts_County         44   44  -17      45.70     1.58   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.61R    0.08  
Dag_&_Red            44   43  -24      44.95     1.65   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.48R    1.87  
Mansfield            44   42  -17      44.56     1.83   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.25R    3.22  
Wrexham              43   37  -30      39.86     2.03   -31.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.21R   94.81  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 April 2008, Ebbsfleet_United vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           44   99  +34     102.88     1.74    35.80   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             44   86  +29      89.03     1.85    29.49     0.00   100.00    25.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       44   80  +26      82.94     1.88    26.29     0.00    87.01    22.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       44   80  +23      83.44     1.82    24.02     0.00    91.85    24.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              44   79  +22      82.68     1.63    23.76     0.00    81.29    18.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           44   76  +27      80.07     1.75    29.14     0.00    39.86    10.32P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              45   71   +9      72.42     1.33     9.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        44   69  +17      72.02     1.88    17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    44   68   +6      70.55     1.81     5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          44   65   +5      67.71     1.80     5.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       44   64  +17      67.00     1.86    17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           44   64   +7      66.90     1.84     7.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        44   63   +9      65.82     1.81     9.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      43   63   +6      67.80     2.26     6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                44   59   -3      62.10     1.80    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   43   58   +4      61.46     2.17     3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              44   49  -11      51.85     1.82   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             44   49  -12      50.89     1.74   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            44   44  -20      46.13     1.67   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northwich           44   41  -25      42.39     1.54   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.49R    0.00  
Altrincham          45   40  -26      41.18     1.28   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.19R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      44   39  -33      40.75     1.67   -34.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.31R    0.00  
Droylsden           44   23  -56      25.30     1.83   -56.69     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   36.29  
Stafford_Rangers    44   22  -55      23.83     1.58   -56.92     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   63.71