Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 18 April 2008 at 21:38:40 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 17 April 2008, Everton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   80  +54      88.26     2.31    58.18    91.53    99.78   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   78  +36      83.89     1.99    38.88     8.42    86.89    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   71  +35      80.22     2.16    41.44     0.05    13.31    95.59   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   66  +34      74.11     2.51    37.89     0.00     0.01     4.46    99.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   61  +21      66.03     2.09    22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43    90.30     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      34   57  +14      64.21     2.53    16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    71.02     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   55  +18      62.00     2.46    20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   52   -1      57.29     2.44    -1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   51   +2      56.54     2.28     2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        34   44   -6      49.87     2.27    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   41   +6      47.63     2.62     7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   39  -18      42.78     2.32   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   36  -17      41.19     2.57   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   36  -19      40.48     2.49   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Wigan           34   35  -17      38.88     2.33   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Reading         34   32  -26      36.27     2.36   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.60R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   31  -13      35.00     2.44   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.64R    0.00  
Bolton          34   29  -21      32.42     2.24   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.68R    0.00  
Fulham          34   27  -24      30.26     2.22   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.84R    0.00  
Derby           34   11  -58      12.75     1.73   -64.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2008, Barnsley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        43   74  +30      79.67     2.23    32.63    72.69    91.46   100.00    94.48P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   72  +20      76.38     2.28    20.39     9.92    40.36    99.95    59.96P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   72  +12      77.12     2.29    13.46    14.56    49.66    99.96    62.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   71   +0      74.68     2.18    -0.58     2.12    12.17    99.22    27.76P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   69   +9      73.95     2.23    10.26     0.71     6.31    95.95    28.92P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   65  +10      69.02     2.20     9.95     0.00     0.04    41.42    11.44P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   64   +8      67.93     2.26     7.80     0.00     0.00    24.47     5.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   62   +1      67.73     2.63     1.44     0.00     0.00    21.25     4.51P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   61   +6      65.58     2.29     6.67     0.00     0.00     4.80     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   60   +8      64.79     2.25     8.99     0.00     0.00     3.51     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   60   +5      65.92     2.63     5.69     0.00     0.00     8.39     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   60   +3      64.38     2.28     3.42     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   58   -3      61.76     2.24    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              43   55   -2      58.92     2.31    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   54   -3      57.49     2.17    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          43   52   -9      55.60     2.22    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   52  -12      55.66     2.21   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.57R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   50   -3      53.98     2.25    -3.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.76R    0.00  
Southampton      43   50  -16      53.23     2.14   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.67R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   49   -5      52.85     2.19    -5.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.89R    0.00  
Coventry         43   49  -13      52.37     2.19   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.85R    0.00  
Leicester        43   48   -2      51.77     2.17    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.99R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   39  -25      42.20     2.13   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   44.77  
Colchester       43   37  -19      41.13     2.32   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.23  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2008, Huddersfield vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          43   86  +37      92.33     2.03    40.45    99.71   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   79  +22      84.75     2.21    24.52     0.29    77.12   100.00    82.06P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   76  +23      81.73     2.17    25.31     0.00    20.18   100.00    39.42P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   73  +29      79.24     2.05    31.99     0.00     2.47   100.00    36.33P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   72  +15      76.48     2.14    15.73     0.00     0.24    99.61    14.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            43   67  +30      73.23     2.05    33.20     0.00     0.00    93.88    26.66P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   63  +10      68.40     2.24    11.88     0.00     0.00     4.31     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   63   +6      67.16     2.24     6.15     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   62   +6      66.15     2.28     6.09     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   61  +10      65.82     2.21    11.02     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   59   +2      63.57     2.30     2.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   57  -16      60.58     2.20   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   56  -13      58.88     2.01   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   53   -1      55.89     2.12    -2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   52   -3      58.29     2.61    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          42   51   -1      57.70     2.59     0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      43   51  -13      54.12     2.05   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Millwall         43   49  -15      51.75     2.06   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.99R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49  -20      50.72     1.66   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.10R    0.00  
Cheltenham       43   48  -20      50.64     2.00   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.06R    0.00  
Crewe            43   47  -16      50.90     2.21   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.78R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   44  -28      46.33     1.91   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.42R    0.00  
Port_Vale        43   36  -28      38.40     1.98   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   22.48  
Luton            43   33  -16      35.68     1.90   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   77.52  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2008, Grimsby vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   43   90  +43      95.82     2.19    45.53    93.56   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         43   86  +39      90.90     2.26    40.18     6.39    98.93   100.00    99.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             42   79  +25      86.37     2.53    27.75     0.05    71.54   100.00    79.26P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            42   78  +19      84.54     2.62    20.62     0.00    27.07   100.00    43.13P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   75  +22      80.48     2.29    24.11     0.00     2.09    99.66    24.32P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           43   74  +26      78.77     2.18    26.97     0.00     0.37    97.36    31.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   72  +13      77.23     2.22    14.58     0.00     0.01    92.48    20.07P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   67  +21      72.14     2.22    22.52     0.00     0.00     9.96     2.50P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   65   +1      70.11     2.30     2.47     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   59   +3      62.49     2.15     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   59   -2      62.19     2.11    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            43   59  -12      62.00     2.15   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              43   55   -5      57.80     2.10    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               43   54   -9      57.75     2.25    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   52   -6      56.35     2.28    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   52  -17      56.38     2.28   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   48   -7      51.96     2.25    -7.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -32      51.67     2.25   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         43   46  -17      49.25     2.20   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Chester              42   44  -16      48.43     2.55   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.86R    0.00  
Notts_County         43   44  -16      47.15     2.04   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.14R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            43   43  -23      45.88     2.05   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.38R    0.42  
Mansfield            43   39  -19      42.76     2.26   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.82R    5.74  
Wrexham              42   34  -31      38.03     2.38   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.59R   93.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 April 2008, Burton_Albion vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           43   98  +34     103.79     2.19    36.67   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             43   85  +29      90.14     2.25    30.72     0.00   100.00    26.55P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       44   80  +26      82.95     1.86    26.29     0.00    93.04    23.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       43   77  +21      81.82     2.27    22.04     0.00    78.36    19.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           44   76  +27      80.07     1.75    29.16     0.00    62.37    15.75P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              43   76  +20      81.05     2.11    21.71     0.00    66.22    14.26P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              44   68   +7      71.82     1.74     8.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        43   66  +15      70.90     2.30    16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    43   65   +4      69.47     2.24     4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       43   64  +18      68.81     2.28    19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           43   64   +9      68.23     2.26     9.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      42   63   +7      69.46     2.63     8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          43   62   +4      66.08     2.23     4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        43   60   +7      64.88     2.21     8.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   42   58   +6      62.84     2.56     5.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                43   58   -3      61.82     2.17    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              43   49  -10      53.15     2.24    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             43   48  -12      50.76     2.13   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            43   41  -21      44.05     2.09   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.95R    0.00  
Altrincham          44   40  -24      42.08     1.76   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.96R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      43   39  -31      41.66     2.10   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.21R    0.00  
Northwich           43   38  -26      40.44     1.97   -28.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.88R    0.00  
Droylsden           43   23  -54      25.78     2.06   -56.55     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   39.51  
Stafford_Rangers    43   22  -53      24.56     1.95   -55.98     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   60.49