Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 17 April 2008 at 21:38:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 17 April 2008, Everton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   80  +54      88.29     2.32    58.24    91.46    99.78   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         35   78  +36      83.92     1.99    38.93     8.50    87.22    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   71  +35      80.24     2.16    41.48     0.04    12.99    95.63   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   66  +34      74.12     2.51    37.91     0.00     0.01     4.40    99.48   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         35   61  +21      66.03     2.08    22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41    90.09     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      34   57  +14      64.25     2.53    16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    71.29     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   55  +18      62.01     2.46    20.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   52   -1      57.23     2.43    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   51   +2      56.53     2.28     2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        34   44   -6      49.87     2.26    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   41   +6      47.66     2.60     7.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   39  -18      42.75     2.29   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   36  -17      41.17     2.53   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   36  -19      40.46     2.49   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Wigan           34   35  -17      38.85     2.32   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Reading         34   32  -26      36.24     2.36   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.70R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   31  -13      34.99     2.45   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.54R    0.00  
Bolton          34   29  -21      32.41     2.21   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.90R    0.00  
Fulham          34   27  -24      30.30     2.24   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.52R    0.00  
Derby           34   11  -58      12.78     1.74   -64.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2008, Barnsley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        43   74  +30      79.62     2.24    32.55    72.18    91.20   100.00    94.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   72  +20      76.41     2.26    20.44    10.29    41.15    99.96    60.48P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   72  +12      77.11     2.30    13.45    14.57    48.76    99.98    62.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   71   +0      74.67     2.18    -0.60     2.13    12.13    99.22    27.45P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   69   +9      73.99     2.25    10.30     0.83     6.71    96.03    29.56P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   65  +10      68.97     2.19     9.89     0.00     0.04    40.56    11.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   64   +8      67.93     2.26     7.79     0.00     0.00    24.38     5.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   62   +1      67.78     2.64     1.49     0.00     0.00    22.05     4.74P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   61   +6      65.57     2.28     6.62     0.00     0.00     4.72     1.13P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   60   +8      64.75     2.25     8.96     0.00     0.00     3.44     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   60   +5      65.95     2.62     5.72     0.00     0.00     8.66     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   60   +3      64.35     2.27     3.37     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   58   -3      61.76     2.25    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              43   55   -2      58.95     2.30    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   54   -3      57.51     2.18    -3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          43   52   -9      55.61     2.23    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.28R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   52  -12      55.66     2.21   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.57R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   50   -3      53.98     2.25    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.95R    0.00  
Southampton      43   50  -16      53.25     2.14   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.47R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   49   -5      52.85     2.19    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.96R    0.00  
Coventry         43   49  -13      52.37     2.21   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.84R    0.00  
Leicester        43   48   -2      51.77     2.17    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.94R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   39  -25      42.17     2.13   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   45.49  
Colchester       43   37  -19      41.15     2.32   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   54.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2008, Huddersfield vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          43   86  +37      92.34     2.01    40.48    99.72   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   79  +22      84.77     2.20    24.54     0.28    77.66   100.00    82.50P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   76  +23      81.71     2.17    25.30     0.00    19.65   100.00    39.06P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   73  +29      79.27     2.05    32.06     0.00     2.48   100.00    37.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   72  +15      76.46     2.12    15.71     0.00     0.22    99.65    13.53P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            43   67  +30      73.23     2.06    33.21     0.00     0.00    93.74    26.73P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   63  +10      68.37     2.23    11.87     0.00     0.00     4.39     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   63   +6      67.19     2.25     6.17     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   62   +6      66.16     2.26     6.12     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   61  +10      65.80     2.21    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   59   +2      63.57     2.29     2.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   57  -16      60.58     2.20   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   56  -13      58.86     2.01   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   53   -1      55.87     2.12    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   52   -3      58.28     2.60    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   51   -1      57.72     2.61     0.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      43   51  -13      54.12     2.04   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Millwall         43   49  -15      51.74     2.05   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.95R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49  -20      50.69     1.66   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.51R    0.00  
Cheltenham       43   48  -20      50.66     2.00   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.48R    0.00  
Crewe            43   47  -16      50.90     2.21   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.10R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   44  -28      46.33     1.91   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.29R    0.00  
Port_Vale        43   36  -28      38.41     1.99   -31.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   22.61  
Luton            43   33  -16      35.69     1.91   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   77.39  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2008, Grimsby vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   43   90  +43      95.77     2.20    45.46    93.22   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         43   86  +39      90.87     2.26    40.14     6.74    98.95   100.00    99.29P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             42   79  +25      86.39     2.54    27.77     0.04    71.65   100.00    79.56P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            42   78  +19      84.56     2.61    20.63     0.00    27.07   100.00    42.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   75  +22      80.45     2.30    24.07     0.00     1.94    99.61    24.23P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           43   74  +26      78.78     2.20    27.00     0.00     0.37    97.36    31.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   72  +13      77.23     2.22    14.56     0.00     0.01    92.59    20.22P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   67  +21      72.12     2.22    22.50     0.00     0.00     9.96     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   65   +1      70.08     2.29     2.42     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   59   +3      62.49     2.16     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   59   -2      62.23     2.11    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            43   59  -12      62.00     2.14   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              43   55   -5      57.81     2.09    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               43   54   -9      57.77     2.25    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   52   -6      56.38     2.28    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   52  -17      56.34     2.28   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   48   -7      51.97     2.25    -7.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -32      51.66     2.24   -32.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         43   46  -17      49.26     2.20   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Chester              42   44  -16      48.43     2.54   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.97R    0.00  
Notts_County         43   44  -16      47.15     2.04   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.14R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            43   43  -23      45.89     2.05   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.31R    0.38  
Mansfield            43   39  -19      42.77     2.27   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.78R    5.79  
Wrexham              42   34  -31      38.01     2.37   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.58R   93.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 17 April 2008, Droylsden vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           43   98  +34     103.79     2.18    36.65   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             43   85  +29      90.13     2.26    30.69     0.00   100.00    26.18P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       43   77  +23      81.27     2.31    23.23     0.00    70.66    16.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       43   77  +21      81.83     2.26    22.06     0.00    80.35    19.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           43   76  +30      81.50     2.18    32.25     0.00    81.63    23.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              43   76  +20      81.08     2.12    21.76     0.00    67.37    14.38P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              44   68   +7      71.80     1.74     8.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        43   66  +15      70.90     2.30    16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    43   65   +4      69.47     2.24     4.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       43   64  +18      68.90     2.30    19.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           43   64   +9      68.22     2.28     9.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      42   63   +7      69.48     2.62     8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          43   62   +4      66.10     2.22     4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        43   60   +7      64.89     2.21     8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   42   58   +6      62.85     2.54     5.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                43   58   -3      61.80     2.17    -3.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              43   49  -10      53.12     2.22    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             43   48  -12      50.73     2.13   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            43   41  -21      44.01     2.08   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.93R    0.00  
Altrincham          44   40  -24      42.10     1.77   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.52R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      43   39  -31      41.67     2.08   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.39R    0.00  
Northwich           43   38  -26      40.37     1.95   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.16R    0.00  
Droylsden           43   23  -54      25.79     2.08   -56.51     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   39.20  
Stafford_Rangers    43   22  -53      24.54     1.96   -56.01     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   60.80