Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 16 April 2008 at 21:38:59 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 April 2008, Chelsea vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   80  +54      88.32     2.32    58.25    95.94    99.83   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   75  +35      82.18     2.39    37.84     3.94    67.79    99.05   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   71  +35      80.21     2.16    41.39     0.12    32.21    95.82    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   66  +34      74.12     2.51    37.90     0.00     0.17     5.13    97.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   61  +22      67.40     2.47    23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.22    94.50     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      34   57  +14      64.21     2.52    16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    69.61     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   55  +18      62.00     2.46    20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   52   -1      57.26     2.43    -1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   51   +2      56.54     2.28     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        34   44   -6      49.85     2.26    -5.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   41   +6      47.63     2.61     7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   39  -18      42.77     2.30   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   36  -17      41.18     2.55   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   36  -19      40.46     2.50   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Wigan           34   35  -17      38.87     2.34   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.02R    0.00  
Reading         34   32  -26      36.26     2.36   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.61R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   31  -13      35.00     2.45   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.67R    0.00  
Bolton          34   29  -21      32.44     2.23   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.68R    0.00  
Fulham          34   27  -24      30.29     2.24   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.79R    0.00  
Derby           34   11  -58      12.77     1.72   -64.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2008, Barnsley vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        43   74  +30      79.64     2.22    32.59    72.12    91.36   100.00    94.51P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   72  +20      76.40     2.27    20.41    10.22    40.56    99.96    60.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            43   72  +12      77.17     2.29    13.52    14.98    49.92    99.97    63.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   71   +0      74.64     2.17    -0.63     2.03    11.75    99.23    27.09P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   69   +9      73.97     2.23    10.28     0.65     6.38    96.14    29.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   65  +10      68.98     2.19     9.90     0.00     0.03    40.58    10.92P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   64   +8      67.94     2.27     7.79     0.00     0.00    24.44     5.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    42   62   +1      67.76     2.63     1.49     0.00     0.00    21.69     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   61   +6      65.59     2.29     6.69     0.00     0.00     4.93     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   60   +8      64.76     2.24     8.96     0.00     0.00     3.30     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   60   +5      65.95     2.62     5.73     0.00     0.00     8.69     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   60   +3      64.37     2.27     3.41     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   58   -3      61.75     2.24    -3.51     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              43   55   -2      58.93     2.31    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   54   -3      57.50     2.17    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   52   -9      55.60     2.22    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.00  
Barnsley         43   52  -12      55.64     2.20   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   50   -3      54.00     2.26    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.93R    0.00  
Southampton      43   50  -16      53.25     2.13   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.24R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   49   -5      52.85     2.18    -5.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.88R    0.00  
Coventry         43   49  -13      52.35     2.19   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.20R    0.00  
Leicester        43   48   -2      51.76     2.17    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.90R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   39  -25      42.17     2.13   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   45.03  
Colchester       43   37  -19      41.14     2.31   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   54.97  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2008, Huddersfield vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          43   86  +37      92.35     2.01    40.52    99.72   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   79  +22      84.78     2.19    24.57     0.28    77.81   100.00    82.53P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   76  +23      81.73     2.17    25.31     0.00    19.60   100.00    39.20P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   73  +29      79.27     2.05    32.05     0.00     2.37   100.00    36.26P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   72  +15      76.47     2.13    15.70     0.00     0.22    99.64    14.24P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            43   67  +30      73.23     2.06    33.21     0.00     0.00    93.78    26.59P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          43   63  +10      68.38     2.24    11.88     0.00     0.00     4.39     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   63   +6      67.14     2.24     6.11     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   62   +6      66.14     2.27     6.09     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   61  +10      65.80     2.21    10.98     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   59   +2      63.58     2.30     2.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   57  -16      60.60     2.22   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   56  -13      58.86     2.00   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   53   -1      55.91     2.12    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   42   52   -3      58.31     2.62    -1.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          42   51   -1      57.71     2.59     0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      43   51  -13      54.10     2.04   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Millwall         43   49  -15      51.74     2.06   -16.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.94R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49  -20      50.70     1.66   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.39R    0.00  
Cheltenham       43   48  -20      50.64     2.00   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.02R    0.00  
Crewe            43   47  -16      50.92     2.21   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.66R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   44  -28      46.35     1.91   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.33R    0.00  
Port_Vale        43   36  -28      38.40     1.98   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   21.95  
Luton            43   33  -16      35.66     1.90   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.05  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2008, Grimsby vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   43   90  +43      95.80     2.19    45.47    93.37   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         43   86  +39      90.88     2.25    40.14     6.57    98.95   100.00    99.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             42   79  +25      86.36     2.54    27.76     0.06    71.44   100.00    79.19P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            42   78  +19      84.55     2.63    20.65     0.00    27.11   100.00    43.19P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             43   75  +22      80.46     2.29    24.10     0.00     2.12    99.64    24.14P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           43   74  +26      78.75     2.19    26.96     0.00     0.37    97.29    31.22P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   72  +13      77.25     2.22    14.60     0.00     0.00    92.71    20.48P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   67  +21      72.13     2.23    22.50     0.00     0.00     9.85     2.43P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   65   +1      70.08     2.30     2.43     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   59   +3      62.48     2.16     2.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   59   -2      62.23     2.11    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            43   59  -12      62.02     2.14   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              43   55   -5      57.79     2.09    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               43   54   -9      57.76     2.25    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   52   -6      56.36     2.30    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   52  -17      56.31     2.29   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   48   -7      51.95     2.25    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -32      51.67     2.26   -32.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         43   46  -17      49.28     2.20   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Chester              42   44  -16      48.43     2.54   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.83R    0.01  
Notts_County         43   44  -16      47.17     2.03   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.07R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            43   43  -23      45.90     2.06   -24.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.33R    0.36  
Mansfield            43   39  -19      42.77     2.25   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.89R    5.94  
Wrexham              42   34  -31      38.04     2.39   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.62R   93.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 April 2008, Burton_Albion vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           43   98  +34     103.82     2.20    36.68   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             42   85  +30      91.72     2.64    32.02     0.00   100.00    27.17P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       43   77  +23      81.28     2.31    23.25     0.00    71.14    16.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       43   77  +21      81.83     2.26    22.05     0.00    80.38    19.69P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           43   76  +30      81.48     2.18    32.23     0.00    81.28    22.62P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              43   76  +20      81.09     2.13    21.76     0.00    67.21    13.99P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              44   68   +7      71.80     1.74     8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        43   66  +15      70.91     2.31    16.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       43   64  +18      68.89     2.29    19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           43   64   +9      68.22     2.27     9.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    42   64   +4      70.54     2.59     5.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      42   63   +7      69.48     2.63     8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          43   62   +4      66.09     2.23     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        43   60   +7      64.85     2.20     8.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                43   58   -3      61.79     2.17    -3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   41   55   +5      60.96     2.89     3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              43   49  -10      53.13     2.22    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             43   48  -12      50.72     2.13   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            43   41  -21      44.03     2.08   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81R    0.00  
Altrincham          44   40  -24      42.08     1.76   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.66R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      43   39  -31      41.67     2.09   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.68R    0.00  
Northwich           43   38  -26      40.39     1.95   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.86R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    43   22  -53      24.57     1.96   -55.96     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   54.97  
Droylsden           42   22  -54      25.54     2.39   -57.58     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   45.03