Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 14 April 2008 at 21:38:33 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 April 2008, Chelsea vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   80  +54      88.31     2.31    58.25    96.14    99.84   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   75  +35      82.16     2.39    37.80     3.79    67.74    99.02   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   71  +35      80.18     2.18    41.38     0.07    32.26    95.75    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   66  +34      74.07     2.51    37.85     0.00     0.16     5.23    97.50   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   61  +22      67.44     2.47    23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.42    94.63     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      34   57  +14      64.21     2.52    16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    69.56     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   55  +18      61.97     2.45    20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.18     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   52   -1      57.29     2.43    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   51   +2      56.53     2.27     2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        34   44   -6      49.86     2.27    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   41   +6      47.64     2.63     7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   39  -18      42.80     2.31   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   36  -17      41.18     2.55   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   36  -19      40.46     2.49   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Wigan           34   35  -17      38.88     2.34   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Reading         34   32  -26      36.28     2.36   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.29R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   31  -13      35.01     2.46   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.70R    0.00  
Bolton          34   29  -21      32.43     2.22   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.23R    0.00  
Fulham          34   27  -24      30.28     2.24   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.63R    0.00  
Derby           34   11  -58      12.77     1.73   -64.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 April 2008, Sheff_Wed vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            43   72  +12      77.10     2.31    13.45    27.23    61.23    99.97    70.62P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        42   71  +29      78.06     2.64    31.66    55.46    80.55    99.97    87.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   71   +0      74.69     2.19    -0.58     5.15    17.71    98.78    31.83P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   69  +18      74.89     2.63    18.63     9.62    28.29    97.60    50.72P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   69   +9      73.96     2.24    10.27     2.42    11.38    94.85    32.38P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   65  +10      69.02     2.20     9.96     0.00     0.11    35.85     9.80P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   64   +8      67.92     2.26     7.77     0.00     0.01    22.02     5.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    41   62   +2      69.15     2.99     2.48     0.11     0.72    36.96     8.74P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   61   +6      65.55     2.28     6.64     0.00     0.00     3.51     0.89P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         43   60   +8      64.75     2.24     8.95     0.00     0.00     2.58     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   60   +5      65.87     2.62     5.63     0.00     0.00     7.16     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   60   +3      64.37     2.27     3.41     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   58   -3      61.73     2.22    -3.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              43   55   -2      58.95     2.31    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   54   -3      57.49     2.17    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          43   52   -9      55.65     2.23    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.36R    0.00  
Barnsley         42   52  -10      56.87     2.58   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   50   -3      54.02     2.24    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.77R    0.00  
Southampton      43   50  -16      53.27     2.14   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   49   -5      52.81     2.18    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.47R    0.00  
Coventry         43   49  -13      52.32     2.18   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.84R    0.00  
Leicester        43   48   -2      51.76     2.17    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.83R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   39  -25      42.20     2.12   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   44.85  
Colchester       43   37  -19      41.15     2.32   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2008, Bournemouth vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          43   86  +37      92.32     2.02    40.43    99.68   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   79  +22      84.78     2.19    24.57     0.32    77.52   100.00    82.38P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   76  +23      81.71     2.18    25.28     0.00    19.85   100.00    39.18P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   73  +29      79.25     2.04    32.04     0.00     2.40    99.92    35.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   72  +15      76.46     2.12    15.69     0.00     0.23    96.66    13.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            42   67  +31      75.23     2.44    35.14     0.00     0.01    93.46    27.92P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   63  +11      70.26     2.58    13.57     0.00     0.00     9.44     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   63   +6      67.18     2.24     6.16     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   62   +6      66.19     2.27     6.15     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   61  +10      65.81     2.21    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   59   +2      63.57     2.29     2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   56  -13      58.92     2.02   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     42   54  -17      58.34     2.51   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   53   -1      55.88     2.11    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   51   -1      57.71     2.61     0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      43   51  -13      54.05     2.03   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   49   -4      56.12     2.88    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Millwall         43   49  -15      51.72     2.06   -16.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.02R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49  -20      50.69     1.65   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.08R    0.00  
Cheltenham       43   48  -20      50.64     2.00   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.09R    0.00  
Crewe            43   47  -16      50.93     2.22   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.61R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   44  -28      46.33     1.91   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.28R    0.00  
Port_Vale        43   36  -28      38.40     1.98   -31.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   22.78  
Luton            43   33  -16      35.72     1.91   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   77.22  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 April 2008, Shrewsbury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   42   89  +43      96.46     2.58    45.92    93.63    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         43   86  +39      90.88     2.27    40.17     5.90    98.77   100.00    99.16P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             41   78  +25      86.36     2.85    27.25     0.46    71.01   100.00    78.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            42   78  +19      84.52     2.62    20.60     0.01    28.50   100.00    44.86P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           43   74  +26      78.76     2.20    26.96     0.00     0.49    98.13    32.54P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   72  +19      79.22     2.68    21.66     0.00     1.23    98.04    22.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   69  +12      75.77     2.61    13.82     0.00     0.01    80.80    17.33P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   67  +21      72.13     2.23    22.48     0.00     0.00    20.67     4.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   65   +1      70.05     2.29     2.36     0.00     0.00     2.35     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   59   +3      62.53     2.17     2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   59   -2      62.26     2.13    -3.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            43   59  -12      62.03     2.15   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              42   55   -4      58.97     2.48    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               42   54   -6      58.78     2.60    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   52   -6      56.40     2.29    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   52  -17      56.32     2.28   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   48   -7      52.01     2.26    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -32      51.61     2.24   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         43   46  -17      49.28     2.21   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Chester              42   44  -16      48.46     2.56   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.82R    0.01  
Notts_County         43   44  -16      47.17     2.04   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.13R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            43   43  -23      45.91     2.06   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.02R    0.38  
Mansfield            43   39  -19      42.74     2.26   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.33R    6.02  
Wrexham              42   34  -31      38.04     2.40   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.52R   93.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2008, Aldershot vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           42   97  +34     104.27     2.58    36.83    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             41   82  +29      91.08     2.90    32.76     0.01   100.00    27.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       43   77  +21      81.82     2.27    22.04     0.00    83.19    20.19P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           43   76  +30      81.52     2.19    32.30     0.00    83.77    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              42   75  +20      81.41     2.55    21.66     0.00    73.04    14.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       42   74  +22      80.31     2.65    23.26     0.00    59.97    14.07P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              44   68   +7      71.80     1.74     8.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        43   66  +15      70.90     2.30    16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       43   64  +18      68.87     2.28    19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           43   64   +9      68.20     2.27     9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      41   63   +8      70.82     2.97     9.41     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    41   61   +2      69.52     2.92     4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          42   59   +3      64.35     2.61     2.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                42   58   -2      63.24     2.57    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        42   57   +6      63.25     2.60     7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   40   52   +4      59.96     3.21     3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              43   49  -10      53.17     2.23    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             42   48  -11      51.48     2.43   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham          44   40  -24      42.09     1.76   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.43R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      42   39  -29      42.44     2.38   -32.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.32R    0.00  
Weymouth            42   38  -22      42.92     2.48   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.87R    0.00  
Northwich           42   38  -25      40.86     2.21   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.39R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    42   22  -52      25.38     2.29   -55.81     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.37  
Droylsden           41   22  -53      26.42     2.70   -57.41     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   43.63