Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 April 2008 at 21:38:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 April 2008, Liverpool vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   80  +54      88.32     2.30    58.28    90.46    99.80   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   74  +35      83.80     2.59    39.84     9.50    82.51    99.60   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   71  +35      80.20     2.17    41.40     0.04    17.59    95.64    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   66  +34      74.07     2.52    37.80     0.00     0.10     4.76    97.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   61  +22      67.41     2.47    23.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.28    94.31     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      34   57  +14      64.23     2.53    16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    69.97     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   55  +18      62.02     2.43    20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    34.10     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   52   -1      57.27     2.44    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       34   51   +2      56.49     2.27     2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        34   44   -6      49.89     2.26    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   41   +6      47.68     2.61     8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   39  -18      42.74     2.29   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   36  -17      41.21     2.56   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   36  -19      40.45     2.48   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Wigan           33   34  -17      38.07     2.45   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.74R    0.00  
Reading         34   32  -26      36.33     2.37   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.19R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   31  -13      35.03     2.46   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.82R    0.00  
Bolton          34   29  -21      32.40     2.22   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.62R    0.00  
Fulham          34   27  -24      30.29     2.24   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.42R    0.00  
Derby           34   11  -58      12.75     1.72   -64.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 April 2008, Ipswich vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            43   72  +12      77.15     2.30    13.50    27.62    61.92    99.97    71.59P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        42   71  +29      78.09     2.62    31.72    55.32    80.60    99.98    87.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   71   +0      74.67     2.18    -0.60     5.00    17.22    98.74    31.50P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   69  +18      74.89     2.63    18.63     9.61    28.21    97.56    50.44P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   69   +9      73.99     2.23    10.29     2.32    11.32    95.00    31.91P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   65  +10      69.01     2.21     9.96     0.00     0.08    35.02     9.73P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   64   +8      67.92     2.27     7.78     0.00     0.00    20.82     4.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    41   62   +2      69.16     3.01     2.47     0.12     0.65    36.81     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   61   +6      65.57     2.29     6.66     0.00     0.00     3.65     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   60   +5      65.86     2.62     5.60     0.00     0.00     6.85     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   60   +3      64.35     2.26     3.38     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   59   +8      65.09     2.60     8.93     0.00     0.00     4.94     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   58   -3      61.76     2.23    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              43   55   -2      58.95     2.31    -2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   54   -3      57.50     2.17    -3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          43   52   -9      55.63     2.23    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.37R    0.00  
Barnsley         42   52  -10      56.85     2.57   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   50   -3      54.00     2.26    -3.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.11R    0.00  
Southampton      43   50  -16      53.25     2.14   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.63R    0.00  
Coventry         43   49  -13      52.33     2.20   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.21R    0.00  
Leicester        43   48   -2      51.75     2.16    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.61R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   48   -5      53.19     2.56    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.30R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   39  -25      42.21     2.13   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   44.40  
Colchester       43   37  -19      41.13     2.31   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2008, Bournemouth vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          43   86  +37      92.36     2.02    40.50    99.75   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   79  +22      84.74     2.20    24.51     0.25    77.60   100.00    82.41P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   76  +23      81.70     2.16    25.29     0.00    19.71   100.00    39.20P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   73  +29      79.26     2.03    32.05     0.00     2.47    99.89    35.35P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   72  +15      76.48     2.12    15.73     0.00     0.22    96.64    13.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            42   67  +31      75.20     2.43    35.10     0.00     0.01    93.19    27.46P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   63  +11      70.28     2.60    13.61     0.00     0.00     9.78     1.95P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   63   +6      67.17     2.24     6.15     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   62   +6      66.14     2.28     6.09     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   61  +10      65.84     2.20    11.05     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   59   +2      63.56     2.27     2.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   56  -13      58.91     2.01   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     42   54  -17      58.37     2.52   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   53   -1      55.89     2.11    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   51   -1      57.76     2.59     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      43   51  -13      54.06     2.04   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   49   -4      56.08     2.87    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Millwall         43   49  -15      51.72     2.06   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.06R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49  -20      50.67     1.65   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.64R    0.00  
Cheltenham       43   48  -20      50.66     2.00   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.12R    0.00  
Crewe            43   47  -16      50.90     2.23   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.98R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   44  -28      46.32     1.92   -30.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.24R    0.00  
Port_Vale        43   36  -28      38.41     1.98   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   22.29  
Luton            43   33  -16      35.69     1.90   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   77.71  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 April 2008, Shrewsbury vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   42   89  +43      96.47     2.58    45.94    93.61    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         43   86  +39      90.91     2.25    40.20     5.87    98.91   100.00    99.31P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             41   78  +25      86.37     2.84    27.25     0.52    71.28   100.00    79.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            42   78  +19      84.51     2.62    20.58     0.00    28.13   100.00    44.28P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           43   74  +26      78.76     2.20    26.97     0.00     0.43    98.21    32.27P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   72  +19      79.21     2.66    21.65     0.00     1.25    98.00    21.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   69  +12      75.82     2.60    13.88     0.00     0.00    81.32    17.86P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   67  +21      72.12     2.24    22.49     0.00     0.00    20.22     4.92P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   65   +1      70.06     2.30     2.39     0.00     0.00     2.25     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   59   +3      62.48     2.15     2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   59   -2      62.26     2.12    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            43   59  -12      62.05     2.15   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              42   55   -4      58.96     2.46    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               42   54   -6      58.79     2.61    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   52   -6      56.40     2.28    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   52  -17      56.32     2.30   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   48   -7      52.00     2.26    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -32      51.63     2.24   -32.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield         43   46  -17      49.25     2.20   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Chester              42   44  -16      48.44     2.54   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.87R    0.00  
Notts_County         43   44  -16      47.18     2.04   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.07R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            43   43  -23      45.91     2.07   -24.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.04R    0.35  
Mansfield            43   39  -19      42.74     2.26   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.20R    5.79  
Wrexham              42   34  -31      38.02     2.38   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.61R   93.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2008, Aldershot vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           42   97  +34     104.29     2.59    36.83    99.98   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             41   82  +29      91.08     2.90    32.75     0.02   100.00    26.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       43   77  +21      81.84     2.28    22.05     0.00    83.21    19.96P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           43   76  +30      81.48     2.19    32.25     0.00    83.34    23.51P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              42   75  +20      81.39     2.52    21.64     0.00    73.16    14.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       42   74  +22      80.33     2.67    23.30     0.00    60.26    14.68P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              44   68   +7      71.80     1.73     8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        43   66  +15      70.93     2.29    16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       43   64  +18      68.87     2.29    19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           43   64   +9      68.18     2.27     9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      41   63   +8      70.83     2.97     9.42     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    41   61   +2      69.49     2.90     4.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          42   59   +3      64.34     2.61     2.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                42   58   -2      63.27     2.57    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        42   57   +6      63.22     2.59     7.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   40   52   +4      59.96     3.21     3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              43   49  -10      53.17     2.23    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             42   48  -11      51.49     2.44   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham          44   40  -24      42.11     1.78   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.57R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      42   39  -29      42.42     2.39   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.94R    0.00  
Weymouth            42   38  -22      42.94     2.47   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.60R    0.00  
Northwich           42   38  -25      40.88     2.21   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.90R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    42   22  -52      25.40     2.30   -55.76     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.59  
Droylsden           41   22  -53      26.40     2.71   -57.47     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   44.41