Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 12 April 2008 at 21:38:14 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2008, Birmingham vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   77  +53      87.29     2.65    58.09    81.98    96.56   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   74  +35      83.76     2.57    39.78    15.29    75.73    99.74   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +36      80.97     2.45    41.54     2.73    27.68    97.72    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   63  +32      73.25     2.80    36.99     0.00     0.03     2.54    94.93    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   61  +22      67.42     2.45    23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.68    94.55     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      34   57  +14      64.19     2.53    16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34    68.73     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   55  +18      62.04     2.43    20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    34.22     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        34   52   -1      57.26     2.43    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   51   +4      57.18     2.53     3.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        34   44   -6      49.85     2.26    -5.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       34   41   +6      47.68     2.61     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   39  -18      42.75     2.31   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   34   36  -17      41.21     2.56   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   36  -19      40.49     2.51   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Wigan           33   34  -17      38.09     2.46   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.65R    0.00  
Reading         34   32  -26      36.32     2.36   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.76R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   31  -13      34.97     2.45   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.42R    0.00  
Bolton          34   29  -21      32.38     2.22   -24.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.85R    0.00  
Fulham          34   27  -24      30.31     2.25   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.11R    0.00  
Derby           34   11  -58      12.74     1.71   -64.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2008, Bristol_City vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            43   72  +12      77.14     2.29    13.49    27.59    61.84    99.98    71.73P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        42   71  +29      78.08     2.62    31.68    55.23    80.67    99.98    87.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   71   +0      74.67     2.18    -0.59     5.03    17.52    98.90    31.70P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   69  +18      74.87     2.64    18.59     9.61    27.84    97.87    49.77P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   69   +9      73.99     2.24    10.30     2.42    11.34    95.31    32.38P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   65  +10      69.03     2.19     9.97     0.00     0.11    37.15    10.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    41   62   +2      69.14     3.00     2.46     0.12     0.68    37.93     8.85P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   61   +7      66.74     2.62     7.41     0.00     0.00    14.41     3.54P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   61   +6      65.56     2.28     6.65     0.00     0.00     3.87     0.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   60   +5      65.90     2.63     5.65     0.00     0.00     7.92     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   60   +3      64.38     2.27     3.41     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   59   +8      65.11     2.61     8.96     0.00     0.00     5.81     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   58   -3      61.74     2.23    -3.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              43   55   -2      58.94     2.29    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   54   -3      57.50     2.18    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          42   52   -8      56.58     2.56    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
Barnsley         42   52  -10      56.87     2.57   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.00  
Blackpool        43   50   -3      53.99     2.24    -3.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.04R    0.00  
Southampton      43   50  -16      53.25     2.14   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.67R    0.00  
Coventry         43   49  -13      52.33     2.18   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.33R    0.00  
Leicester        43   48   -2      51.74     2.16    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   48   -5      53.19     2.57    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.39R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       43   39  -25      42.18     2.13   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   44.89  
Colchester       43   37  -19      41.13     2.31   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   55.11  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2008, Bournemouth vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          43   86  +37      92.34     2.01    40.48    99.73   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   79  +22      84.74     2.20    24.53     0.27    77.31   100.00    82.12P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   76  +23      81.72     2.17    25.30     0.00    20.03   100.00    39.39P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     43   73  +29      79.24     2.04    32.01     0.00     2.40    99.93    34.77P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         43   72  +15      76.48     2.13    15.71     0.00     0.25    96.43    13.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            42   67  +31      75.22     2.42    35.14     0.00     0.01    93.32    27.74P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   63  +11      70.30     2.59    13.62     0.00     0.00     9.81     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         43   63   +6      67.17     2.24     6.15     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   62   +6      66.16     2.27     6.12     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   61  +10      65.79     2.20    10.99     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      43   59   +2      63.57     2.29     2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   56  -13      58.90     2.02   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     42   54  -17      58.33     2.53   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   53   -1      55.88     2.10    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          42   51   -1      57.72     2.61     0.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth      43   51  -13      54.06     2.02   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   41   49   -4      56.10     2.88    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Millwall         43   49  -15      51.73     2.06   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.26R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   49  -20      50.68     1.65   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.29R    0.00  
Cheltenham       43   48  -20      50.65     2.01   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.39R    0.00  
Crewe            43   47  -16      50.91     2.22   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.73R    0.00  
Gillingham       43   44  -28      46.34     1.92   -30.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.29R    0.00  
Port_Vale        43   36  -28      38.42     1.99   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   22.62  
Luton            43   33  -16      35.72     1.92   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   77.38  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2008, Barnet vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   42   89  +43      96.51     2.58    46.00    93.83    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         43   86  +39      90.91     2.26    40.20     5.73    98.96   100.00    99.31P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             41   78  +25      86.30     2.85    27.14     0.43    70.69   100.00    78.49P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            42   78  +19      84.52     2.63    20.59     0.00    28.55   100.00    44.82P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           43   74  +26      78.75     2.19    26.97     0.00     0.46    98.24    31.88P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             42   72  +19      79.29     2.66    21.76     0.00     1.34    98.24    22.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   69  +12      75.76     2.60    13.81     0.00     0.01    80.88    17.84P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         43   67  +21      72.12     2.22    22.49     0.00     0.00    20.27     4.97P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   65   +1      70.06     2.30     2.39     0.00     0.00     2.36     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             43   59   +3      62.48     2.17     2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   59   -2      62.25     2.13    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            43   59  -12      62.04     2.16   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              42   55   -4      59.00     2.47    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               42   54   -6      58.78     2.60    -7.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   52   -6      56.39     2.29    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   52  -17      56.29     2.28   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   48  -32      51.59     2.25   -32.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         43   46  -17      49.25     2.20   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   45  -10      50.65     2.62    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.02  
Chester              42   44  -16      48.49     2.55   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.00R    0.05  
Notts_County         43   44  -16      47.17     2.04   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.91R    0.15  
Dag_&_Red            43   43  -23      45.89     2.05   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.02R    1.62  
Mansfield            43   39  -19      42.79     2.26   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.10R   11.88  
Wrexham              41   34  -28      39.12     2.72   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.45R   86.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 April 2008, Aldershot vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           42   97  +34     104.29     2.58    36.84    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             41   82  +29      91.06     2.90    32.72     0.01   100.00    26.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       43   77  +21      81.85     2.28    22.09     0.00    83.45    20.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           43   76  +30      81.50     2.18    32.27     0.00    83.38    23.23P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              42   75  +20      81.42     2.52    21.68     0.00    73.53    15.20P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       42   74  +22      80.29     2.65    23.24     0.00    59.61    13.80P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              44   68   +7      71.82     1.73     8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        43   66  +15      70.89     2.30    16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       43   64  +18      68.88     2.28    19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           43   64   +9      68.20     2.27     9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      41   63   +8      70.82     2.97     9.39     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    41   61   +2      69.50     2.92     4.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          42   59   +3      64.36     2.60     2.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                42   58   -2      63.27     2.56    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        42   57   +6      63.25     2.58     7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   40   52   +4      59.96     3.20     3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              43   49  -10      53.13     2.23    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             42   48  -11      51.47     2.41   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham          44   40  -24      42.10     1.77   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.54R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      42   39  -29      42.42     2.39   -32.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.89R    0.00  
Weymouth            42   38  -22      42.94     2.48   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.60R    0.00  
Northwich           42   38  -25      40.89     2.21   -29.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.96R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    42   22  -52      25.38     2.29   -55.83     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.06  
Droylsden           41   22  -53      26.41     2.69   -57.42     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   43.94