Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 11 April 2008 at 21:38:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2008, West_Ham vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   77  +53      87.24     2.66    58.02    81.41    96.54   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   74  +35      83.82     2.58    39.93    15.90    77.03    99.76   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +36      80.86     2.47    41.26     2.69    26.39    97.52    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   63  +32      73.23     2.81    36.97     0.00     0.04     2.68    90.06    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   60  +22      68.32     2.80    24.42     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.67    96.22     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      33   56  +14      65.71     2.78    18.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.30    86.31     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   52  +12      61.12     2.69    15.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    16.04     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   51   +4      57.08     2.53     3.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   49   -2      55.62     2.78    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   44   -5      51.47     2.66    -4.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   40   +6      48.91     2.91     9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   38  -18      42.13     2.50   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   36  -18      41.94     2.85   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   35  -17      40.75     2.81   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Wigan           33   34  -17      38.10     2.47   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Reading         33   32  -24      38.22     2.75   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   30  -13      35.06     2.76   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.19R    0.00  
Bolton          33   26  -22      30.60     2.57   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.35R    0.00  
Fulham          33   24  -26      28.05     2.54   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.60R    0.00  
Derby           33   11  -52      13.30     2.00   -59.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 April 2008, Ipswich vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        41   70  +29      79.06     2.96    32.72    65.06    83.93    99.95    89.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   70   +0      75.18     2.57    -0.41     6.49    23.64    98.08    36.99P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   69  +11      75.63     2.68    12.67     9.95    34.71    98.81    51.55P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      75.96     2.96    19.67    14.45    43.70    98.59    61.41P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   68   +9      73.78     2.56     9.26     3.72    12.50    93.59    31.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   62   +8      67.93     2.54     8.71     0.00     0.07    26.01     7.20P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   61   +7      66.71     2.63     7.36     0.00     0.00    15.58     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.36     3.29     2.27     0.33     1.45    43.91    10.77P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   60   +6      66.60     2.65     7.68     0.00     0.00    13.24     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   59   +8      65.04     2.61     8.85     0.00     0.00     6.29     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   58   -2      63.37     2.63    -2.13     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   57   +3      64.41     2.96     3.84     0.00     0.00     4.36     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        42   57   +2      62.54     2.62     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              42   54   -2      58.70     2.61    -3.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Preston          42   54   -2      59.23     2.55    -2.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          42   52   -8      56.58     2.56    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   50   -1      55.17     2.61    -1.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.53R    0.00  
Barnsley         41   49  -11      54.80     2.86   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.57R    0.00  
Coventry         42   49  -12      53.59     2.60   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.96R    0.00  
Southampton      42   49  -16      53.06     2.47   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.78R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   48   -5      53.13     2.56    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.91R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47   -2      52.60     2.55    -1.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.26R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   39  -23      43.03     2.41   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   37.26  
Colchester       42   36  -19      41.05     2.65   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   62.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 11 April 2008, Doncaster vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          42   83  +36      91.42     2.38    40.53    95.67    99.95   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   79  +23      85.81     2.53    25.09     4.31    85.16   100.00    88.20P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        43   76  +23      81.67     2.16    25.23     0.03    13.38   100.00    34.42P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         42   71  +15      77.29     2.49    16.45     0.00     0.99    98.47    15.12P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     42   70  +27      77.56     2.44    29.95     0.00     0.52    99.36    32.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   64  +30      73.86     2.79    34.48     0.00     0.00    88.54    26.90P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   62   +8      67.48     2.61     8.11     0.00     0.00     3.13     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   60  +10      68.82     2.91    12.84     0.00     0.00     9.52     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         42   60   +5      65.55     2.61     5.19     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   58   +8      64.70     2.57     9.72     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   58   +2      63.45     2.63     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   56  -11      59.78     2.33   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       42   53   +0      57.94     2.51    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   53  -17      58.60     2.87   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          42   51   -1      57.79     2.59     1.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   49   -3      57.39     3.20    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil           42   49  -17      52.32     2.15   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.21R    0.00  
Bournemouth      42   48  -14      52.60     2.43   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.88R    0.00  
Cheltenham       42   48  -19      51.80     2.35   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.99R    0.00  
Millwall         42   46  -16      49.48     2.37   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.02R    0.00  
Crewe            42   44  -19      48.93     2.54   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.11R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   44  -27      46.99     2.21   -31.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.65R    0.00  
Port_Vale        42   35  -28      38.91     2.42   -30.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   34.23  
Luton            42   33  -15      37.03     2.33   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   65.77  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 April 2008, Stockport vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   41   88  +43      97.39     2.89    46.69    86.82   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         42   86  +40      92.78     2.64    41.95    13.11    99.87   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             40   75  +24      84.38     3.17    25.76     0.07    58.08    99.93    69.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            41   75  +18      82.35     2.93    18.74     0.00    21.42    99.70    37.57P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           42   74  +27      80.31     2.57    28.25     0.00    11.02    98.65    40.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   71  +19      80.31     2.98    22.81     0.00     9.48    98.08    29.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   68  +12      75.61     2.89    13.14     0.00     0.13    72.14    15.76P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   66  +21      72.81     2.62    22.97     0.00     0.00    30.32     7.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +0      68.49     2.67     1.49     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   58   +3      63.00     2.56     2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   58   -2      62.32     2.50    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            42   58  -12      62.31     2.55   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              41   55   -3      60.40     2.85    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   52   -3      57.91     2.66    -2.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               41   51   -9      56.94     2.95   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   49  -18      54.54     2.68   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -31      52.87     2.62   -31.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   45  -10      50.61     2.62    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.01  
Macclesfield         42   45  -17      49.66     2.59   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94R    0.01  
Chester              41   44  -15      50.09     2.94   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            42   42  -23      45.66     2.39   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.88R    2.55  
Notts_County         42   41  -17      45.60     2.44   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.63R    2.44  
Mansfield            42   38  -19      43.10     2.64   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.96R   10.73  
Wrexham              41   34  -28      39.13     2.73   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.56R   84.26  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 10 April 2008, Halifax vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           41   94  +33     102.91     2.94    36.23    99.94   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             40   79  +27      88.99     3.23    29.97     0.06    99.46    23.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       42   77  +22      84.46     2.50    25.09     0.00    94.37    24.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           42   76  +32      83.25     2.59    34.86     0.00    89.56    25.72P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       41   74  +23      81.38     2.98    23.78     0.00    62.27    14.55P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              41   72  +19      80.79     2.82    22.35     0.00    54.02    11.65P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              43   67   +7      71.86     2.17     8.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        42   66  +16      72.60     2.68    17.63     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           42   64  +11      69.98     2.64    11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       42   63  +18      69.65     2.68    19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      40   62   +8      71.60     3.25     9.98     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    41   61   +2      69.52     2.92     4.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                41   58   -1      65.01     2.91    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        41   56   +6      64.37     2.91     8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          41   56   -1      62.96     2.92    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   39   49   +3      57.99     3.46     2.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             41   47  -11      51.31     2.70   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              42   46  -11      51.17     2.57   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      41   39  -25      43.46     2.71   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.43R    0.00  
Northwich           41   38  -24      41.39     2.44   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.54R    0.00  
Weymouth            41   37  -22      42.78     2.78   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.54R    0.00  
Altrincham          43   37  -26      40.03     2.18   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.50R    0.00  
Droylsden           41   22  -53      26.48     2.71   -57.31     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.57  
Stafford_Rangers    41   19  -53      22.61     2.41   -58.96     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.43