Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 10 April 2008 at 21:39:44 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2008, West_Ham vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   77  +53      87.25     2.65    58.03    81.55    96.61   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   74  +35      83.82     2.57    39.92    15.87    76.91    99.77   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +36      80.87     2.46    41.27     2.59    26.44    97.48    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   63  +32      73.27     2.80    37.02     0.00     0.04     2.73    90.34    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   60  +22      68.31     2.80    24.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.46    96.40     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      33   56  +14      65.72     2.78    18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20    86.58     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   52  +12      61.09     2.70    15.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    15.74     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   51   +4      57.06     2.52     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   49   -2      55.58     2.78    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   44   -5      51.48     2.65    -4.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   40   +6      48.95     2.90     9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   38  -18      42.12     2.50   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   36  -18      41.95     2.85   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   35  -17      40.72     2.79   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Wigan           33   34  -17      38.11     2.46   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14R    0.00  
Reading         33   32  -24      38.20     2.77   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.45R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   30  -13      35.04     2.77   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.34R    0.00  
Bolton          33   26  -22      30.59     2.56   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.39R    0.00  
Fulham          33   24  -26      28.07     2.55   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.40R    0.00  
Derby           33   11  -52      13.34     2.01   -59.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 April 2008, Ipswich vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        41   70  +29      79.09     2.96    32.78    65.33    84.19    99.96    89.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   70   +0      75.18     2.57    -0.39     6.58    23.89    98.11    37.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   69  +11      75.62     2.67    12.65     9.94    34.60    98.75    51.06P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      75.92     2.97    19.60    14.26    43.41    98.55    61.11P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   68   +9      73.75     2.56     9.24     3.63    12.44    93.40    32.33P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   62   +8      67.98     2.53     8.77     0.00     0.09    26.84     7.47P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   61   +7      66.73     2.62     7.40     0.00     0.01    15.79     3.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.26     3.28     2.14     0.26     1.37    42.61    10.55P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   60   +6      66.63     2.63     7.73     0.00     0.00    13.57     3.33P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   59   +8      65.05     2.61     8.88     0.00     0.00     6.36     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   58   -2      63.32     2.62    -2.20     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   57   +3      64.48     2.95     3.96     0.00     0.00     4.56     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        42   57   +2      62.53     2.63     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              42   54   -2      58.72     2.62    -3.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Preston          42   54   -2      59.27     2.55    -2.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          42   52   -8      56.57     2.55    -9.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   50   -1      55.19     2.58    -1.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.40R    0.00  
Barnsley         41   49  -11      54.78     2.85   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.66R    0.00  
Coventry         42   49  -12      53.59     2.58   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.85R    0.00  
Southampton      42   49  -16      53.02     2.45   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.14R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   48   -5      53.14     2.54    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.72R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47   -2      52.58     2.56    -1.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.27R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   39  -23      43.02     2.41   -25.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   37.23  
Colchester       42   36  -19      41.08     2.65   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   62.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2008, Carlisle vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          42   83  +36      91.42     2.39    40.55    95.83    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   79  +23      85.82     2.52    25.14     4.16    89.31   100.00    91.51P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   73  +21      80.56     2.54    23.99     0.01     8.86    99.96    29.89P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         42   71  +15      77.29     2.51    16.44     0.00     1.24    98.54    15.68P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     42   70  +27      77.53     2.47    29.90     0.00     0.61    99.33    32.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   64  +30      73.87     2.78    34.48     0.00     0.00    88.80    27.77P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   62   +8      67.51     2.62     8.16     0.00     0.00     3.46     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   60  +10      68.82     2.92    12.83     0.00     0.00     9.02     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         42   60   +5      65.57     2.61     5.22     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   58   +8      64.72     2.57     9.76     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   58   +2      63.46     2.61     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   56  -11      59.77     2.32   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       42   53   +0      57.92     2.52    -0.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   53  -17      58.58     2.88   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          41   51   +1      58.65     2.85     2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   49   -3      57.39     3.20    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Yeovil           42   49  -17      52.34     2.15   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.02R    0.00  
Bournemouth      42   48  -14      52.59     2.44   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.95R    0.00  
Cheltenham       42   48  -19      51.83     2.36   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.65R    0.00  
Millwall         42   46  -16      49.46     2.37   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.22R    0.00  
Crewe            42   44  -19      48.91     2.54   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.12R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   44  -27      46.97     2.20   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.93R    0.00  
Port_Vale        42   35  -28      38.90     2.41   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   34.33  
Luton            42   33  -15      37.04     2.34   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   65.67  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 April 2008, Stockport vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   41   88  +43      97.40     2.90    46.71    86.87   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         42   86  +40      92.77     2.65    41.93    13.04    99.80   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             40   75  +24      84.33     3.15    25.70     0.09    57.24    99.95    68.37P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            41   75  +18      82.36     2.93    18.74     0.00    21.60    99.69    37.97P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           42   74  +27      80.34     2.59    28.28     0.00    11.54    98.57    40.37P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   71  +19      80.30     2.97    22.78     0.00     9.69    98.12    30.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   68  +12      75.59     2.88    13.10     0.00     0.13    71.87    15.70P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   66  +21      72.80     2.62    22.97     0.00     0.00    30.64     7.55P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +0      68.46     2.67     1.43     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   58   +3      63.02     2.56     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   58   -2      62.32     2.50    -3.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            42   58  -12      62.32     2.55   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              41   55   -3      60.39     2.85    -5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   52   -3      57.89     2.68    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               41   51   -9      56.98     2.94   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   49  -18      54.53     2.66   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -31      52.83     2.61   -31.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   45  -10      50.60     2.62    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   45  -17      49.67     2.59   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.04R    0.02  
Chester              41   44  -15      50.07     2.94   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            42   42  -23      45.67     2.39   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.89R    2.43  
Notts_County         42   41  -17      45.63     2.44   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.19R    2.27  
Mansfield            42   38  -19      43.11     2.65   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.08R   10.84  
Wrexham              41   34  -28      39.15     2.72   -30.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.73R   84.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 10 April 2008, Halifax vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           41   94  +33     102.94     2.95    36.29    99.93   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             40   79  +27      89.03     3.23    30.02     0.07    99.47    23.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       42   77  +22      84.46     2.50    25.11     0.00    94.41    25.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           42   76  +32      83.25     2.59    34.86     0.00    89.85    26.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       41   74  +23      81.40     2.97    23.81     0.00    63.15    14.63P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              41   72  +19      80.71     2.82    22.23     0.00    52.78    10.63P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              43   67   +7      71.83     2.18     8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        42   66  +16      72.63     2.67    17.68     0.00     0.19     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           42   64  +11      69.98     2.63    11.85     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       42   63  +18      69.66     2.67    19.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      40   62   +8      71.62     3.26     9.98     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    41   61   +2      69.49     2.93     4.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                41   58   -1      64.99     2.92    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        41   56   +6      64.37     2.91     8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          41   56   -1      63.01     2.91    -0.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   39   49   +3      57.96     3.48     2.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             41   47  -11      51.31     2.70   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              42   46  -11      51.17     2.59   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      41   39  -25      43.44     2.69   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.53R    0.00  
Northwich           41   38  -24      41.40     2.45   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.94R    0.00  
Weymouth            41   37  -22      42.74     2.78   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.71R    0.00  
Altrincham          43   37  -26      40.02     2.16   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.82R    0.00  
Droylsden           41   22  -53      26.53     2.72   -57.23     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.17  
Stafford_Rangers    41   19  -53      22.60     2.43   -58.98     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.83