Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 9 April 2008 at 21:38:15 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2008, West_Ham vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   77  +53      87.19     2.65    57.98    81.18    96.42   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   74  +35      83.83     2.58    39.95    16.23    77.31    99.72   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +36      80.86     2.48    41.26     2.59    26.23    97.49    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   63  +32      73.23     2.81    36.96     0.00     0.04     2.76    90.07    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   60  +22      68.32     2.79    24.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.58    96.40     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      33   56  +14      65.74     2.78    18.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34    86.62     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   52  +12      61.08     2.69    15.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    15.69     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   51   +4      57.10     2.52     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   49   -2      55.61     2.77    -2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   44   -5      51.46     2.64    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   40   +6      48.94     2.90     9.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   38  -18      42.15     2.49   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      33   36  -18      41.94     2.85   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   35  -17      40.71     2.79   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Wigan           33   34  -17      38.15     2.47   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Reading         33   32  -24      38.17     2.75   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.62R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   30  -13      35.07     2.78   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.32R    0.00  
Bolton          33   26  -22      30.62     2.58   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.17R    0.00  
Fulham          33   24  -26      28.04     2.55   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.48R    0.00  
Derby           33   11  -52      13.32     2.00   -59.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 April 2008, Ipswich vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        41   70  +29      79.09     2.97    32.78    65.05    83.77    99.95    89.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   70   +0      75.17     2.56    -0.41     6.49    23.61    98.09    36.84P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   69  +11      75.63     2.68    12.66     9.99    34.67    98.77    51.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      75.96     2.97    19.65    14.43    43.94    98.59    61.56P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   68   +9      73.75     2.57     9.23     3.74    12.45    93.52    32.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   62   +8      67.95     2.55     8.72     0.00     0.11    26.13     7.20P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   61   +7      66.69     2.63     7.34     0.00     0.02    15.55     3.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.37     3.30     2.28     0.30     1.43    43.82    11.12P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   60   +6      66.64     2.63     7.74     0.00     0.00    13.64     3.42P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   59   +8      65.04     2.61     8.85     0.00     0.00     6.20     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   58   -2      63.37     2.63    -2.13     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   57   +3      64.38     2.95     3.81     0.00     0.00     4.14     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        42   57   +2      62.54     2.62     2.14     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              42   54   -2      58.72     2.61    -3.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          42   54   -2      59.30     2.57    -2.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          42   52   -8      56.56     2.56    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.99R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   50   -1      55.19     2.61    -1.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.54R    0.00  
Barnsley         41   49  -11      54.79     2.85   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.60R    0.00  
Coventry         42   49  -12      53.55     2.58   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.02R    0.00  
Southampton      42   49  -16      53.01     2.44   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   48   -5      53.15     2.55    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.64R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47   -2      52.57     2.56    -1.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.20R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   39  -23      43.04     2.43   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   37.81  
Colchester       42   36  -19      41.09     2.65   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   62.19  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2008, Carlisle vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          42   83  +36      91.43     2.39    40.56    95.73    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   79  +23      85.79     2.54    25.08     4.26    89.20   100.00    91.40P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   73  +21      80.55     2.55    23.98     0.01     8.68    99.96    29.44P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         42   71  +15      77.30     2.51    16.47     0.00     1.42    98.36    15.61P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     42   70  +27      77.58     2.47    29.95     0.00     0.71    99.28    32.53P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   64  +30      73.90     2.77    34.53     0.00     0.01    88.54    28.24P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   62   +8      67.47     2.62     8.11     0.00     0.00     3.41     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   60  +10      68.88     2.91    12.93     0.00     0.00     9.55     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         42   60   +5      65.57     2.62     5.21     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   58   +8      64.74     2.57     9.78     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   58   +2      63.43     2.63     1.86     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   56  -11      59.78     2.34   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       42   53   +0      57.90     2.51    -0.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   53  -17      58.53     2.87   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          41   51   +1      58.66     2.86     2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   49   -3      57.42     3.22    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil           42   49  -17      52.33     2.14   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.96R    0.00  
Bournemouth      42   48  -14      52.57     2.43   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.05R    0.00  
Cheltenham       42   48  -19      51.84     2.39   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.76R    0.00  
Millwall         42   46  -16      49.46     2.36   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.05R    0.00  
Crewe            42   44  -19      48.92     2.55   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.04R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   44  -27      46.94     2.21   -31.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale        42   35  -28      38.93     2.41   -30.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   33.98  
Luton            42   33  -15      37.04     2.33   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   66.02  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 April 2008, Stockport vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   41   88  +43      97.43     2.91    46.73    87.16   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         42   86  +40      92.75     2.66    41.91    12.76    99.83   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             40   75  +24      84.33     3.15    25.69     0.07    57.16    99.94    68.10P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            41   75  +18      82.38     2.93    18.78     0.00    21.77    99.70    38.14P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           42   74  +27      80.33     2.57    28.28     0.00    11.26    98.65    40.48P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   71  +19      80.36     2.97    22.86     0.00     9.86    98.22    30.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   68  +12      75.61     2.87    13.12     0.00     0.13    72.32    15.75P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   66  +21      72.80     2.62    22.96     0.00     0.00    30.11     7.16P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +0      68.46     2.68     1.43     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   58   +3      63.01     2.56     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   58   -2      62.29     2.51    -4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            42   58  -12      62.34     2.56   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              41   55   -3      60.40     2.86    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   52   -3      57.90     2.69    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               41   51   -9      56.91     2.94   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   49  -18      54.52     2.67   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -31      52.85     2.60   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   45  -10      50.59     2.61    -9.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.01  
Macclesfield         42   45  -17      49.69     2.60   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.01  
Chester              41   44  -15      50.09     2.93   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            42   42  -23      45.68     2.39   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.69R    2.42  
Notts_County         42   41  -17      45.61     2.45   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.75R    2.33  
Mansfield            42   38  -19      43.08     2.65   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.18R   11.02  
Wrexham              41   34  -28      39.15     2.72   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.43R   84.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2008, Burton_Albion vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           41   94  +33     102.93     2.94    36.29    99.93   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             40   79  +27      88.97     3.23    29.96     0.07    99.47    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       42   77  +22      84.46     2.49    25.10     0.00    94.33    24.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           42   76  +32      83.30     2.57    34.96     0.00    90.03    26.07P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       41   74  +23      81.40     2.99    23.81     0.00    62.75    14.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              41   72  +19      80.75     2.81    22.26     0.00    53.04    11.03P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              43   67   +7      71.84     2.18     8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        42   66  +16      72.58     2.68    17.60     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           42   64  +11      69.98     2.65    11.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       42   63  +18      69.66     2.68    19.75     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      40   62   +8      71.65     3.24    10.04     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    40   61   +3      71.16     3.25     5.92     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
York                41   58   -1      65.02     2.92    -0.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        41   56   +6      64.37     2.89     8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          41   56   -1      62.94     2.90    -0.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   39   49   +3      57.98     3.47     2.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              42   46  -11      51.15     2.58   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             40   44  -12      49.47     3.03   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      41   39  -25      43.45     2.69   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.21R    0.00  
Northwich           41   38  -24      41.37     2.43   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.07R    0.00  
Weymouth            41   37  -22      42.76     2.77   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.45R    0.00  
Altrincham          43   37  -26      40.01     2.17   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.27R    0.00  
Droylsden           41   22  -53      26.51     2.72   -57.29     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.74  
Stafford_Rangers    41   19  -53      22.61     2.44   -58.94     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.26