Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 8 April 2008 at 21:38:47 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2008, West_Ham vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   77  +53      87.21     2.65    57.98    81.30    96.67   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   74  +35      83.82     2.57    39.93    15.95    77.27    99.77   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +36      80.85     2.48    41.25     2.75    26.02    97.43    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   63  +32      73.22     2.81    36.96     0.00     0.04     2.75    89.99    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   60  +22      68.32     2.81    24.42     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.71    96.25     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      33   56  +14      65.75     2.77    18.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.32    86.64     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   52  +12      61.07     2.71    15.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    15.72     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   51   +4      57.09     2.51     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   49   -2      55.59     2.79    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        33   44   -5      51.51     2.64    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   40   +6      48.95     2.90     9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   38  -18      42.13     2.50   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   36  -18      41.97     2.88   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   35  -17      40.74     2.80   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Wigan           33   34  -17      38.13     2.47   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Reading         33   32  -24      38.20     2.77   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.43R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   30  -13      35.06     2.77   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.14R    0.00  
Bolton          33   26  -22      30.57     2.57   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.51R    0.00  
Fulham          33   24  -26      28.06     2.54   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.42R    0.00  
Derby           33   11  -52      13.32     2.01   -59.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2008, Blackpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        41   70  +29      79.01     2.96    32.63    59.44    79.27    99.93    86.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   70   +0      75.16     2.56    -0.41     5.02    18.96    97.42    32.53P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   69  +11      75.62     2.68    12.63     8.04    28.36    98.40    46.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      76.00     2.96    19.73    12.95    38.24    98.26    57.36P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   68  +12      76.06     2.89    13.69    14.37    34.07    98.08    50.67P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   62   +8      67.87     2.53     8.62     0.00     0.04    21.76     5.68P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.34     3.28     2.24     0.18     0.99    40.75     9.44P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   60   +7      67.31     2.96     7.70     0.00     0.07    21.22     5.31P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   60   +6      66.66     2.64     7.78     0.00     0.00    12.06     3.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   59   +8      65.00     2.61     8.80     0.00     0.00     5.09     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   58   -2      63.41     2.62    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        42   57   +2      62.53     2.63     2.12     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   56   +3      64.57     3.23     3.55     0.00     0.00     5.81     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              42   54   -2      58.70     2.60    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Preston          42   54   -2      59.35     2.55    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          42   52   -8      56.59     2.55    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Blackpool        42   50   -1      55.11     2.58    -1.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88R    0.00  
Coventry         42   49  -12      53.60     2.58   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.14R    0.00  
Southampton      42   49  -16      53.02     2.46   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.70R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   48   -5      53.16     2.56    -5.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.19R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47   -2      52.66     2.56    -1.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.12R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -14      52.24     3.08   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.57R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       42   39  -23      42.98     2.42   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   38.37  
Colchester       42   36  -19      41.09     2.65   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   61.63  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2008, Carlisle vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          42   83  +36      91.43     2.37    40.57    95.93    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   79  +23      85.81     2.52    25.08     4.06    89.39   100.00    91.57P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   73  +21      80.55     2.53    23.97     0.01     8.58    99.98    29.73P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         42   71  +15      77.31     2.51    16.48     0.00     1.35    98.46    15.39P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     42   70  +27      77.55     2.45    29.93     0.00     0.69    99.39    33.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   64  +30      73.89     2.80    34.51     0.00     0.00    88.66    27.45P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   62   +8      67.45     2.62     8.08     0.00     0.00     3.24     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   60  +10      68.83     2.91    12.85     0.00     0.00     9.31     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         42   60   +5      65.55     2.63     5.18     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   58   +8      64.71     2.56     9.74     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   58   +2      63.48     2.62     1.93     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   56  -11      59.76     2.33   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       42   53   +0      57.96     2.51    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   53  -17      58.56     2.86   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          41   51   +1      58.71     2.85     2.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   40   49   -3      57.41     3.19    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Yeovil           42   49  -17      52.30     2.14   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.18R    0.00  
Bournemouth      42   48  -14      52.58     2.44   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham       42   48  -19      51.84     2.38   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.43R    0.00  
Millwall         42   46  -16      49.43     2.35   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.74R    0.00  
Crewe            42   44  -19      48.95     2.56   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.68R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   44  -27      46.95     2.20   -31.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.86R    0.01  
Port_Vale        42   35  -28      38.88     2.42   -30.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   34.74  
Luton            42   33  -15      37.04     2.33   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   65.25  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2008, Bradford vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   41   88  +43      97.45     2.89    46.78    87.24   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         42   86  +40      92.76     2.66    41.93    12.69    99.88   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             40   75  +24      84.34     3.17    25.71     0.07    59.93    99.96    70.47P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           42   74  +27      80.33     2.57    28.28     0.00    12.95    98.66    41.67P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            40   72  +17      81.36     3.23    18.72     0.00    16.48    98.85    33.83P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             41   71  +19      80.32     2.98    22.80     0.00    10.58    98.09    30.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   68  +12      75.60     2.88    13.13     0.00     0.19    72.67    15.70P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   66  +21      72.81     2.61    22.96     0.00     0.00    30.65     7.54P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +0      68.46     2.69     1.43     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             42   58   +3      63.02     2.55     2.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   58   -2      62.32     2.51    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford            42   58  -12      62.33     2.55   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              41   55   -3      60.39     2.86    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   52   -3      57.89     2.67    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               41   51   -9      56.97     2.93   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   49  -18      54.50     2.66   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -31      52.87     2.61   -31.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   45  -10      50.64     2.61    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   45  -17      49.68     2.60   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.01  
Chester              41   44  -15      50.07     2.93   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            42   42  -23      45.68     2.39   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.67R    2.49  
Notts_County         42   41  -17      45.59     2.44   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.18R    2.61  
Mansfield            41   38  -18      43.84     2.91   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.33R    8.57  
Wrexham              41   34  -28      39.13     2.73   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.98R   86.30  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 April 2008, Burton_Albion vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           41   94  +33     102.93     2.94    36.27    99.95   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             40   79  +27      89.02     3.23    30.02     0.05    99.48    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       42   77  +22      84.43     2.50    25.05     0.00    94.10    24.09P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           42   76  +32      83.26     2.58    34.86     0.00    89.78    25.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       41   74  +23      81.42     2.98    23.85     0.00    62.84    14.32P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              41   72  +19      80.75     2.82    22.28     0.00    53.45    11.18P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              43   67   +7      71.82     2.16     8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        42   66  +16      72.62     2.68    17.68     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           42   64  +11      70.00     2.64    11.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       42   63  +18      69.66     2.68    19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      40   62   +8      71.69     3.26    10.08     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    40   61   +3      71.14     3.24     5.89     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
York                41   58   -1      64.98     2.91    -1.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        41   56   +6      64.36     2.91     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          41   56   -1      62.95     2.90    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   39   49   +3      57.95     3.47     2.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              42   46  -11      51.19     2.59   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             40   44  -12      49.47     3.03   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      41   39  -25      43.43     2.69   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.73R    0.00  
Northwich           41   38  -24      41.40     2.44   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.73R    0.00  
Weymouth            41   37  -22      42.75     2.76   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.37R    0.00  
Altrincham          43   37  -26      40.00     2.16   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.16R    0.00  
Droylsden           41   22  -53      26.47     2.70   -57.36     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   20.56  
Stafford_Rangers    41   19  -53      22.61     2.42   -58.94     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.44