Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 7 April 2008 at 21:40:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 April 2008, Everton vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   77  +53      87.23     2.66    58.02    81.50    96.68   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   74  +35      83.78     2.59    39.86    15.90    76.60    99.75   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +36      80.84     2.48    41.23     2.60    26.67    97.46    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   63  +32      73.25     2.79    37.01     0.00     0.05     2.74    90.70    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   60  +22      68.35     2.81    24.45     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.75    97.22     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      32   53  +13      64.10     3.11    17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56    74.32     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   52  +12      61.06     2.70    15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    25.34     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   51   +4      57.10     2.54     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.23     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   49   -2      55.64     2.79    -2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   -4      52.84     3.00    -3.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   40   +6      48.94     2.89     9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   38  -18      42.11     2.48   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      33   36  -18      41.96     2.85   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   35  -17      40.73     2.79   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Wigan           33   34  -17      38.14     2.47   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.00  
Reading         33   32  -24      38.17     2.75   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.51R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   30  -13      35.05     2.79   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.03R    0.00  
Bolton          33   26  -22      30.55     2.56   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.53R    0.00  
Fulham          33   24  -26      28.06     2.54   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.54R    0.00  
Derby           33   11  -52      13.33     2.02   -59.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 April 2008, Stoke vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     42   70   +0      75.16     2.55    -0.41     7.76    22.35    97.40    35.22P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            42   69  +11      75.61     2.69    12.63    12.44    32.60    98.23    48.91P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      75.96     2.96    19.68    18.58    41.95    98.19    60.12P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   68  +12      76.04     2.90    13.66    18.50    38.37    97.97    53.71P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   67  +27      77.36     3.31    30.55    42.35    63.16    99.21    75.21P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   62   +8      67.91     2.52     8.66     0.00     0.08    21.92     5.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.41     3.29     2.35     0.35     1.38    41.47     9.81P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   60   +7      67.37     2.95     7.77     0.01     0.10    21.27     5.22P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   60   +6      66.71     2.64     7.85     0.00     0.00    12.00     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   59   +8      65.01     2.61     8.82     0.00     0.00     5.02     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   58   -2      63.32     2.62    -2.19     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   56   +3      64.47     3.23     3.41     0.00     0.00     5.23     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   56   +2      63.25     2.97     2.59     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              42   54   -2      58.77     2.61    -3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Preston          42   54   -2      59.36     2.56    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          42   52   -8      56.59     2.55    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   50   +1      56.51     2.97     0.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.28R    0.00  
Coventry         42   49  -12      53.58     2.59   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.00R    0.00  
Southampton      42   49  -16      53.04     2.46   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.30R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47   -2      52.62     2.55    -1.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.21R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   47   -5      53.12     2.84    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.56R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -14      52.23     3.06   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.26R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   39  -23      42.99     2.41   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   38.04  
Colchester       42   36  -19      41.10     2.64   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   61.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Brighton vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          41   82  +36      91.67     2.74    40.40    90.68    99.94   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   78  +23      86.23     2.89    25.18     9.30    88.64   100.00    90.97P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   73  +21      80.60     2.54    24.05     0.01     8.30    99.96    30.19P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     41   69  +27      78.57     2.74    30.80     0.01     2.63    99.53    34.70P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   68  +13      75.94     2.87    14.83     0.00     0.49    93.10    13.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   64  +30      73.92     2.77    34.56     0.00     0.01    88.27    27.60P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   62   +8      67.51     2.62     8.16     0.00     0.00     4.28     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   60  +10      68.84     2.92    12.85     0.00     0.00    10.88     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   60   +7      66.75     2.94     6.86     0.00     0.00     3.63     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   58   +8      64.70     2.56     9.72     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   58   +2      63.51     2.63     1.97     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   56  -11      59.79     2.34   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       42   53   +0      57.89     2.50    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   53  -17      58.58     2.86   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          41   51   +1      58.65     2.84     2.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           42   49  -17      52.30     2.14   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.26R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   48   -3      56.98     3.40    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Bournemouth      42   48  -14      52.59     2.45   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.24R    0.00  
Cheltenham       42   48  -19      51.80     2.36   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.12R    0.00  
Millwall         42   46  -16      49.48     2.37   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.96R    0.00  
Crewe            42   44  -19      48.97     2.56   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.33R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   44  -27      46.99     2.21   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.74R    0.00  
Port_Vale        42   35  -28      38.90     2.42   -30.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   34.25  
Luton            42   33  -15      37.01     2.33   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   65.75  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Bradford vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         42   86  +40      92.79     2.65    41.97    18.94    99.88   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   40   85  +40      96.70     3.12    45.02    80.91    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             40   75  +24      84.36     3.16    25.73     0.14    62.08    99.94    72.16P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           42   74  +27      80.31     2.60    28.25     0.00    13.57    98.78    41.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            40   72  +17      81.38     3.22    18.75     0.01    17.25    98.91    34.48P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             40   68  +17      79.23     3.26    21.52     0.00     7.03    95.38    27.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   68  +12      75.56     2.86    13.08     0.00     0.19    72.89    15.81P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   66  +21      72.77     2.61    22.91     0.00     0.00    32.81     8.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +0      68.49     2.68     1.48     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            42   58  -12      62.30     2.55   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   57   +3      63.70     2.92     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   57   -2      62.93     2.88    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              41   55   -3      60.38     2.84    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   52   -3      57.92     2.67    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               40   50   -9      56.99     3.24   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   49  -18      54.50     2.66   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -31      52.84     2.60   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   45  -17      49.69     2.60   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.04  
Shrewsbury           41   44  -10      50.77     2.94   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88R    0.05  
Chester              41   44  -15      50.09     2.93   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.06  
Dag_&_Red            42   42  -23      45.67     2.38   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.58R    4.05  
Notts_County         41   41  -15      46.39     2.70   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.22R    2.20  
Mansfield            41   38  -18      43.88     2.92   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.91R   11.06  
Wrexham              40   34  -25      39.67     2.87   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.42R   82.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Aldershot vs Salisbury; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           40   93  +33     103.44     3.26    36.43    99.95   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             39   76  +26      87.90     3.50    29.79     0.05    98.44    23.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       41   74  +21      82.94     2.87    24.22     0.00    85.51    22.56P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           41   73  +30      81.88     2.94    33.23     0.00    78.75    22.47P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              40   72  +21      82.25     3.14    24.53     0.00    76.90    17.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       40   71  +22      80.65     3.24    24.22     0.00    57.62    13.63P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        41   65  +16      73.54     3.02    18.53     0.00     1.54     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              42   64   +4      70.31     2.61     5.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           41   61   +9      68.27     2.99     9.72     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      39   61   +8      72.21     3.57    10.32     0.00     0.93     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       41   60  +13      67.95     3.04    14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    39   60   +3      71.15     3.53     5.36     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        40   56   +9      65.75     3.24    11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          40   56   +0      63.81     3.18    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                40   55   -5      63.67     3.23    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   38   49   +4      59.15     3.75     3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              41   46   -9      52.40     2.90    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             39   44   -7      51.02     3.39   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      40   39  -24      45.49     3.06   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.25R    0.00  
Northwich           40   37  -24      41.22     2.74   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.49R    0.00  
Altrincham          42   37  -25      40.61     2.43   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.29R    0.00  
Weymouth            40   36  -22      42.87     3.07   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.97R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    40   19  -49      23.65     2.78   -55.54     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   50.74  
Droylsden           40   19  -54      24.17     2.99   -59.48     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   49.26