Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 6 April 2008 at 21:39:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 April 2008, Everton vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   77  +53      87.18     2.66    57.95    80.90    96.50   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   74  +35      83.83     2.58    39.93    16.46    77.38    99.72   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +36      80.83     2.48    41.20     2.64    26.06    97.29    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   63  +32      73.21     2.81    36.94     0.00     0.06     2.94    90.62    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   60  +22      68.32     2.81    24.41     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.80    97.25     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      32   53  +13      64.06     3.12    17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58    74.05     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   52  +12      61.06     2.70    15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    25.44     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   51   +4      57.13     2.53     3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.33     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   49   -2      55.63     2.80    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   -4      52.89     2.98    -3.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   40   +6      48.93     2.91     9.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   38  -18      42.13     2.50   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Sunderland      33   36  -18      41.93     2.84   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   35  -17      40.74     2.81   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Wigan           33   34  -17      38.11     2.46   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.22R    0.00  
Reading         33   32  -24      38.21     2.75   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.48R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   30  -13      35.06     2.79   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.57R    0.00  
Bolton          33   26  -22      30.60     2.57   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.10R    0.00  
Fulham          33   24  -26      28.10     2.55   -30.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.32R    0.00  
Derby           33   11  -52      13.29     2.00   -59.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Colchester vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     42   70   +0      75.16     2.55    -0.43     6.24    18.38    98.08    31.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   69  +12      77.34     3.02    14.15    26.41    51.54    99.45    63.59P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      76.00     2.97    19.70    15.70    36.50    98.68    56.13P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   68  +12      76.09     2.89    13.75    15.15    34.11    98.58    51.07P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   67  +27      77.33     3.33    30.51    36.23    58.30    99.33    72.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.40     3.32     2.31     0.26     1.09    44.53    10.27P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   60   +7      67.40     2.96     7.83     0.01     0.08    23.80     5.68P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   60   +6      66.73     2.62     7.87     0.00     0.00    13.54     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   59   +8      65.00     2.62     8.80     0.00     0.00     6.10     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   59   +7      65.88     2.85     7.12     0.00     0.02     9.26     2.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   58   -2      63.37     2.61    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   56   +3      64.48     3.24     3.46     0.00     0.00     6.34     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   56   +2      63.25     2.95     2.60     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              42   54   -2      58.75     2.60    -3.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Preston          42   54   -2      59.33     2.57    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich          42   52   -8      56.61     2.55    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   50   +1      56.53     2.96     0.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Coventry         42   49  -12      53.53     2.57   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.21R    0.00  
Southampton      42   49  -16      53.04     2.47   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.19R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47   -2      52.63     2.56    -1.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   47   -5      53.11     2.81    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.14R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -14      52.19     3.05   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.55R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   39  -23      43.03     2.41   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   37.41  
Colchester       42   36  -19      41.06     2.64   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   62.59  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Brighton vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          41   82  +36      91.67     2.75    40.38    90.53    99.93   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   78  +23      86.26     2.88    25.25     9.46    88.80   100.00    91.23P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   73  +21      80.56     2.55    23.97     0.01     8.09    99.96    29.90P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     41   69  +27      78.62     2.75    30.87     0.00     2.56    99.53    34.49P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   68  +13      75.95     2.87    14.84     0.00     0.62    93.30    13.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   64  +30      73.88     2.79    34.52     0.00     0.00    88.06    27.12P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   62   +8      67.46     2.61     8.09     0.00     0.00     4.14     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   60  +10      68.81     2.93    12.80     0.00     0.00    11.06     2.26P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   60   +7      66.69     2.95     6.81     0.00     0.00     3.60     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   58   +8      64.71     2.56     9.72     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   58   +2      63.48     2.62     1.95     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   56  -11      59.81     2.35   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       42   53   +0      57.89     2.50    -0.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   53  -17      58.65     2.88   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          41   51   +1      58.68     2.85     2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           42   49  -17      52.32     2.15   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.09R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   48   -3      57.01     3.39    -3.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Bournemouth      42   48  -14      52.60     2.44   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.98R    0.00  
Cheltenham       42   48  -19      51.85     2.37   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.62R    0.00  
Millwall         42   46  -16      49.47     2.37   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.09R    0.00  
Crewe            42   44  -19      48.93     2.55   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.06R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   44  -27      46.98     2.20   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.82R    0.00  
Port_Vale        42   35  -28      38.89     2.44   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   34.36  
Luton            42   33  -15      37.00     2.33   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   65.64  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Bradford vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         42   86  +40      92.74     2.65    41.89    18.64    99.89   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   40   85  +40      96.72     3.11    45.06    81.17    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             40   75  +24      84.36     3.17    25.74     0.17    61.86    99.95    71.83P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           42   74  +27      80.33     2.56    28.28     0.00    13.46    98.79    41.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            40   72  +17      81.42     3.21    18.81     0.01    17.51    98.96    34.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             40   68  +17      79.22     3.28    21.53     0.00     7.10    95.33    27.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   68  +12      75.57     2.87    13.10     0.00     0.19    72.90    16.09P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   66  +21      72.78     2.63    22.92     0.00     0.00    32.69     8.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +0      68.46     2.68     1.44     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            42   58  -12      62.32     2.56   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   57   +3      63.67     2.90     2.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   57   -2      62.94     2.89    -3.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              41   55   -3      60.40     2.85    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   52   -3      57.91     2.68    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               40   50   -9      57.02     3.25   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   49  -18      54.47     2.67   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -31      52.84     2.61   -31.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   45  -17      49.69     2.59   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.04  
Shrewsbury           41   44  -10      50.76     2.94   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.84R    0.05  
Chester              41   44  -15      50.08     2.94   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red            42   42  -23      45.65     2.38   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.98R    3.94  
Notts_County         41   41  -15      46.41     2.69   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.23R    2.30  
Mansfield            41   38  -18      43.92     2.92   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.34R   11.07  
Wrexham              40   34  -25      39.62     2.88   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.58R   82.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Aldershot vs Salisbury; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           40   93  +33     103.44     3.26    36.45    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             39   76  +26      87.91     3.50    29.75     0.04    98.52    24.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       41   74  +21      82.93     2.85    24.22     0.00    85.40    21.89P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           41   73  +30      81.89     2.92    33.25     0.00    79.33    22.43P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              40   72  +21      82.22     3.15    24.49     0.00    76.53    16.89P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       40   71  +22      80.61     3.24    24.15     0.00    57.32    13.60P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        41   65  +16      73.56     3.02    18.54     0.00     1.59     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              42   64   +4      70.30     2.59     5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           41   61   +9      68.25     2.99     9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      39   61   +8      72.28     3.54    10.41     0.00     0.93     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       41   60  +13      67.98     3.02    14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    39   60   +3      71.17     3.53     5.39     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        40   56   +9      65.71     3.27    11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          40   56   +0      63.85     3.14    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                40   55   -5      63.67     3.22    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   38   49   +4      59.13     3.74     3.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              41   46   -9      52.38     2.92    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             39   44   -7      50.99     3.37   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      40   39  -24      45.49     3.07   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.40R    0.00  
Northwich           40   37  -24      41.20     2.75   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.14R    0.00  
Altrincham          42   37  -25      40.63     2.43   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.47R    0.00  
Weymouth            40   36  -22      42.86     3.06   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.99R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    40   19  -49      23.67     2.78   -55.52     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   50.64  
Droylsden           40   19  -54      24.18     2.99   -59.44     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   49.36