Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 5 April 2008 at 21:38:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   76  +53      88.72     2.85    59.57    89.29    98.31   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   74  +35      83.71     2.57    39.78     9.40    75.95    99.75   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   71  +36      80.80     2.45    41.24     1.31    25.69    97.38    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   63  +32      73.26     2.81    37.01     0.00     0.05     2.82    90.53    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   57  +21      68.20     2.93    26.16     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.90    97.01     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      32   53  +13      64.09     3.12    17.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60    74.23     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   52  +12      61.04     2.69    15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    25.73     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       33   51   +4      57.07     2.50     3.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   49   -2      55.66     2.78    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   -4      52.90     2.98    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   40   +6      48.95     2.88     9.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   38  -18      42.11     2.48   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   36  -18      41.96     2.83   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Wigan           33   34  -17      38.12     2.46   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   34  -17      40.07     2.93   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Reading         33   32  -24      38.22     2.77   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   30  -13      35.01     2.76   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.57R    0.00  
Bolton          33   26  -22      30.60     2.57   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.82R    0.00  
Fulham          33   24  -26      28.07     2.55   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.48R    0.00  
Derby           32   11  -51      13.40     2.06   -61.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Colchester vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     42   70   +0      75.19     2.55    -0.38     6.37    18.58    98.11    32.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   69  +12      77.34     3.00    14.16    26.35    51.77    99.39    63.79P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      76.00     2.96    19.70    15.24    36.18    98.77    55.90P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   68  +12      76.08     2.87    13.72    15.19    33.82    98.66    50.52P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   67  +27      77.37     3.32    30.61    36.63    58.55    99.40    72.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.36     3.29     2.27     0.21     1.01    43.84    10.13P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   60   +7      67.37     2.96     7.80     0.01     0.06    23.67     5.71P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   60   +6      66.72     2.63     7.86     0.00     0.00    13.61     3.22P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         42   59   +8      65.00     2.61     8.81     0.00     0.00     5.95     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   59   +7      65.90     2.85     7.13     0.00     0.02     9.66     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   58   -2      63.38     2.62    -2.12     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   56   +3      64.51     3.24     3.48     0.00     0.00     6.54     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        41   56   +2      63.23     2.95     2.58     0.00     0.00     1.36     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              42   54   -2      58.72     2.61    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston          42   54   -2      59.32     2.55    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich          42   52   -8      56.63     2.57    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   50   +1      56.50     2.96     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.42R    0.00  
Coventry         42   49  -12      53.55     2.57   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.40R    0.00  
Southampton      42   49  -16      53.03     2.46   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.51R    0.00  
Leicester        42   47   -2      52.65     2.55    -1.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.81R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   47   -5      53.10     2.83    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.44R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -14      52.23     3.05   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.02R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   39  -23      43.00     2.41   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.87R   37.45  
Colchester       42   36  -19      41.04     2.63   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   62.54  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Brighton vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          41   82  +36      91.67     2.75    40.40    90.43    99.93   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   78  +23      86.29     2.89    25.28     9.56    88.96   100.00    91.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   73  +21      80.58     2.54    24.03     0.01     7.99    99.98    30.19P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     41   69  +27      78.67     2.75    30.91     0.01     2.57    99.54    34.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         41   68  +13      75.94     2.87    14.83     0.00     0.53    92.93    13.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            41   64  +30      73.89     2.78    34.52     0.00     0.03    88.15    26.79P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         42   62   +8      67.47     2.62     8.12     0.00     0.00     4.12     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          41   60  +10      68.85     2.93    12.89     0.00     0.00    11.26     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         41   60   +7      66.72     2.96     6.86     0.00     0.00     3.68     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   58   +8      64.72     2.57     9.75     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      42   58   +2      63.46     2.63     1.91     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   56  -11      59.79     2.34   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       42   53   +0      57.86     2.50    -0.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   53  -17      58.61     2.87   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          41   51   +1      58.64     2.86     2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           42   49  -17      52.28     2.15   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.52R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   39   48   -3      56.98     3.38    -3.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Bournemouth      42   48  -14      52.59     2.43   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       42   48  -19      51.82     2.37   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.88R    0.00  
Millwall         42   46  -16      49.47     2.36   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.95R    0.00  
Crewe            42   44  -19      48.94     2.55   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.96R    0.00  
Gillingham       42   44  -27      47.01     2.22   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.30R    0.00  
Port_Vale        42   35  -28      38.91     2.43   -30.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   33.66  
Luton            42   33  -15      36.99     2.33   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   66.34  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Bradford vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         42   86  +40      92.80     2.64    41.97    18.79    99.86   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   40   85  +40      96.72     3.11    45.04    81.06    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             40   75  +24      84.35     3.17    25.71     0.13    62.05    99.97    72.06P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           42   74  +27      80.28     2.56    28.21     0.00    13.10    98.84    41.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            40   72  +17      81.41     3.23    18.79     0.01    17.63    98.98    34.77P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             40   68  +17      79.23     3.27    21.52     0.00     7.20    95.36    27.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   68  +12      75.54     2.87    13.06     0.00     0.18    72.78    15.76P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         42   66  +21      72.79     2.62    22.93     0.00     0.00    32.70     7.95P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   62   +0      68.45     2.68     1.41     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            42   58  -12      62.30     2.54   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             41   57   +3      63.69     2.91     2.82     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   57   -2      62.94     2.88    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              41   55   -3      60.39     2.84    -5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   52   -3      57.92     2.69    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               40   50   -9      57.05     3.23   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   49  -18      54.49     2.67   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -31      52.79     2.59   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   45  -17      49.65     2.59   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78R    0.03  
Shrewsbury           41   44  -10      50.79     2.96   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.04  
Chester              41   44  -15      50.08     2.94   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.40R    0.05  
Dag_&_Red            42   42  -23      45.68     2.38   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.68R    4.24  
Notts_County         41   41  -15      46.43     2.71   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.32R    2.37  
Mansfield            41   38  -18      43.90     2.91   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.80R   11.24  
Wrexham              40   34  -25      39.68     2.90   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.21R   82.03  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2008, Aldershot vs Salisbury; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           40   93  +33     103.51     3.26    36.56    99.95   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             39   76  +26      87.90     3.49    29.76     0.05    98.41    24.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       41   74  +21      82.91     2.85    24.19     0.00    85.43    22.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           41   73  +30      81.87     2.93    33.19     0.00    79.29    22.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              40   72  +21      82.18     3.16    24.41     0.00    76.08    16.89P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       40   71  +22      80.64     3.26    24.22     0.00    57.99    13.60P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        41   65  +16      73.58     3.02    18.59     0.00     1.61     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              42   64   +4      70.28     2.58     5.45     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           41   61   +9      68.31     2.99     9.76     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      39   61   +8      72.26     3.57    10.39     0.00     0.88     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       41   60  +13      67.93     3.04    14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    39   60   +3      71.12     3.53     5.31     0.00     0.29     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        40   56   +9      65.73     3.24    11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          40   56   +0      63.84     3.14    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                40   55   -5      63.73     3.23    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   38   49   +4      59.07     3.75     2.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              41   46   -9      52.36     2.90    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             39   44   -7      51.05     3.40   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      40   39  -24      45.46     3.04   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.46R    0.00  
Northwich           40   37  -24      41.22     2.74   -31.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.70R    0.00  
Altrincham          42   37  -25      40.62     2.43   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.08R    0.00  
Weymouth            40   36  -22      42.85     3.05   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.76R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    40   19  -49      23.62     2.77   -55.55     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   51.56  
Droylsden           40   19  -54      24.24     2.99   -59.35     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   48.44