Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 4 April 2008 at 21:38:36 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 March 2008, Chelsea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   76  +53      88.74     2.86    59.64    91.03    98.14   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +33      82.37     2.92    38.13     5.58    54.79    98.29    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   70  +36      81.54     2.81    41.74     3.40    46.49    95.87    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   62  +32      73.16     3.15    36.36     0.00     0.58     5.75    88.62    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   57  +21      68.22     2.91    26.23     0.00     0.00     0.09    10.62    97.63     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      32   53  +13      64.08     3.12    17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83    76.77     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   50   +4      57.80     2.92     3.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   49   +8      60.17     3.00    12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   49   +0      56.81     3.06    -0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   -4      52.85     2.98    -3.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   39   +6      48.91     3.25     8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   35  -21      40.70     2.85   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   34  -17      40.03     2.93   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.16R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   33  -20      39.82     3.12   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.94R    0.00  
Reading         32   32  -21      39.53     3.11   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.76R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -19      36.44     2.86   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.87R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   30  -11      36.47     3.14   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.09R    0.00  
Bolton          32   26  -18      31.44     2.83   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.41R    0.00  
Fulham          32   24  -24      29.66     2.94   -28.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.39R    0.00  
Derby           32   11  -51      13.39     2.07   -61.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Cardiff vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     41   70   +2      76.84     2.93     2.02    17.19    36.88    98.64    47.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   69  +12      77.29     3.01    14.11    24.47    47.69    98.99    60.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      76.01     2.97    19.71    13.78    33.30    97.90    52.58P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   67  +27      77.50     3.31    30.80    34.61    57.53    99.08    71.46P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   65  +11      75.03     3.20    13.56     9.64    22.81    93.97    40.42P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.21     3.28     2.07     0.15     0.86    35.22     7.93P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   60   +9      69.23     3.33    10.48     0.16     0.91    41.18    10.76P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   59   +9      66.76     2.98    10.35     0.00     0.01    15.18     4.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   59   +7      65.87     2.83     7.12     0.00     0.00     7.40     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   58   +0      64.90     2.96     0.11     0.00     0.00     3.44     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   57   +5      64.70     2.97     6.29     0.00     0.00     3.96     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   56   +3      64.43     3.23     3.35     0.00     0.00     4.71     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   53   -1      61.39     3.24    -0.66     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR              41   53   -2      59.42     2.97    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston          41   53   -2      59.35     2.88    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   50   +1      56.42     2.96     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Norwich          41   49  -10      54.82     2.89   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.78R    0.00  
Coventry         41   49  -11      54.40     2.86   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.01R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47   +1      53.99     2.85     1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   46   -5      53.60     3.15    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.47R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -14      52.27     3.09   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.44R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46  -18      51.24     2.81   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.18R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       41   38  -23      43.34     2.76   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.96R   20.84  
Colchester       41   33  -21      39.05     2.98   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   79.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Carlisle vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          40   82  +37      94.31     2.94    43.80    97.68    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   75  +22      85.53     3.11    25.55     2.30    79.19   100.00    84.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        41   72  +21      81.36     2.86    24.60     0.02    17.83    99.97    39.07P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     40   66  +25      77.79     3.00    29.97     0.00     2.69    98.31    35.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   65  +11      74.34     3.17    12.89     0.00     0.32    80.01    11.61P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   62   +9      68.66     2.90     8.93     0.00     0.00    14.97     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   61  +28      72.51     3.11    32.89     0.00     0.02    72.55    21.67P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   60   +8      69.07     3.23     9.37     0.00     0.00    20.37     3.42P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +11      66.20     2.88    12.94     0.00     0.00     3.47     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   57   +9      67.48     3.21    12.26     0.00     0.00    10.13     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   56   -9      60.70     2.64   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   55   +1      62.33     2.96     1.64     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   52   +0      57.95     2.84    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   52  -17      58.55     3.16   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   49  -16      52.87     2.36   -20.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.44R    0.00  
Swindon          40   48   -2      56.79     3.16    -1.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Cheltenham       41   48  -17      52.32     2.54   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.27R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   47   -3      57.80     3.73    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.50R    0.00  
Bournemouth      41   45  -15      49.77     2.57   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.31R    0.00  
Millwall         41   45  -16      50.38     2.77   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.67R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -17      50.19     2.89   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.69R    0.00  
Gillingham       41   43  -27      46.92     2.53   -31.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.73R    0.01  
Luton            41   33  -14      37.85     2.63   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   30.45  
Port_Vale        41   32  -29      36.47     2.66   -33.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   69.54  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 4 April 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         41   85  +40      93.43     2.97    42.36    23.41    99.82   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   40   85  +40      96.76     3.11    45.14    76.16    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           41   74  +28      81.92     2.92    29.61     0.00    24.01    99.65    50.20P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.48     3.43    26.89     0.42    67.42    99.98    76.89P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.44     3.52    17.31     0.00     6.09    96.25    24.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.62     3.15    12.71     0.00     0.26    77.93    17.64P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             39   65  +15      77.73     3.59    19.68     0.00     2.41    90.55    22.65P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   63  +18      71.49     2.96    20.43     0.00     0.00    25.56     6.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   62   +1      70.21     3.03     3.02     0.00     0.00     9.61     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   57   -1      64.23     3.22    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.45     3.16    -3.72     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            41   55  -13      60.28     2.87   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   54   +2      62.14     3.25     1.92     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   49   -4      56.53     2.99    -3.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               39   49   -9      57.59     3.59   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   49  -18      54.54     2.68   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   48  -31      52.82     2.60   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   44   -7      51.88     3.26    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.05  
Macclesfield         41   44  -17      50.25     2.94   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59R    0.22  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.69     3.17   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.27R    0.23  
Dag_&_Red            42   42  -23      45.68     2.39   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.75R    5.24  
Notts_County         40   41  -14      47.54     3.01   -16.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.68R    1.78  
Mansfield            40   37  -18      44.14     3.24   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.63R   12.76  
Wrexham              39   33  -25      39.80     3.18   -28.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.37R   79.72  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 3 April 2008, Exeter vs Droylsden; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           39   90  +32     102.33     3.57    36.23    98.75   100.00    99.05P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             38   76  +27      90.49     3.69    32.79     1.25    99.62    26.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           40   73  +31      83.68     3.25    34.90     0.00    89.18    25.29P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       39   71  +23      82.45     3.55    25.87     0.00    77.08    18.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       40   71  +19      82.04     3.12    23.37     0.00    76.55    18.76P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              39   69  +20      80.14     3.45    22.72     0.00    51.44    10.74P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        40   64  +16      74.23     3.34    19.00     0.00     4.37     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              42   64   +4      70.37     2.59     5.62     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           40   61  +10      69.16     3.31     9.88     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       40   59  +13      69.16     3.30    15.95     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    38   59   +3      72.05     3.81     6.15     0.00     1.16     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      38   58   +7      70.20     3.79     8.85     0.00     0.41     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
York                39   55   +0      65.29     3.51     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        39   53   +4      63.94     3.54     5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          39   53   -1      62.15     3.46    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   38   49   +4      59.18     3.73     3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              40   45   -9      52.25     3.17   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             38   43   -7      51.11     3.68   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            39   36  -21      44.28     3.35   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.18R    0.00  
Altrincham          41   36  -25      40.18     2.67   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.75R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      39   36  -25      42.72     3.23   -29.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.89R    0.00  
Northwich           39   34  -25      40.06     3.06   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.19R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    39   19  -48      24.45     3.02   -55.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   50.76  
Droylsden           39   19  -52      24.90     3.22   -58.66     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   49.24