Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 3 April 2008 at 21:37:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 March 2008, Chelsea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   76  +53      88.82     2.84    59.71    91.77    98.32   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +33      82.31     2.91    38.08     5.03    54.84    98.28    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   70  +36      81.48     2.82    41.66     3.20    46.26    95.57    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   62  +32      73.23     3.13    36.45     0.00     0.58     6.08    89.08    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   57  +21      68.25     2.92    26.27     0.00     0.00     0.08    10.32    97.70     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      32   53  +13      64.04     3.12    17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69    76.62     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   50   +4      57.78     2.89     3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.09     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   49   +8      60.16     2.98    12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.70     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   49   +0      56.83     3.07    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.80     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   -4      52.86     2.96    -3.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   39   +6      48.94     3.25     8.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   35  -21      40.72     2.87   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   34  -17      40.06     2.94   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   33  -20      39.81     3.14   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.03R    0.00  
Reading         32   32  -21      39.54     3.11   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -19      36.39     2.83   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.88R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   30  -11      36.46     3.14   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.95R    0.00  
Bolton          32   26  -18      31.42     2.82   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.56R    0.00  
Fulham          32   24  -24      29.66     2.92   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.31R    0.00  
Derby           32   11  -51      13.40     2.09   -61.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Cardiff vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     41   70   +2      76.80     2.93     1.94    16.94    36.44    98.52    47.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   69  +12      77.28     3.01    14.07    24.66    47.43    99.01    60.18P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      76.04     2.96    19.75    14.06    33.92    98.06    53.32P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   67  +27      77.47     3.31    30.75    34.46    57.47    99.03    71.34P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   65  +11      75.04     3.19    13.59     9.55    22.83    94.01    40.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.25     3.30     2.11     0.19     0.98    35.72     7.94P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   60   +9      69.16     3.30    10.42     0.13     0.89    40.24    10.48P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   59   +9      66.78     2.96    10.38     0.00     0.01    15.21     3.94P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   59   +7      65.85     2.86     7.08     0.00     0.02     7.47     1.95P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   58   +0      64.91     2.97     0.11     0.00     0.00     3.55     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   57   +5      64.70     2.95     6.30     0.00     0.00     3.93     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   56   +3      64.47     3.25     3.42     0.00     0.00     4.87     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   53   -1      61.40     3.22    -0.63     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              41   53   -2      59.40     2.96    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Preston          41   53   -2      59.33     2.87    -2.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   50   +1      56.44     2.96     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05R    0.00  
Norwich          41   49  -10      54.82     2.88   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.68R    0.00  
Coventry         41   49  -11      54.43     2.87   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.06R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47   +1      54.04     2.87     1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.74R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   46   -5      53.51     3.14    -5.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.12R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -14      52.22     3.07   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.89R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46  -18      51.26     2.80   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.55R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       41   38  -23      43.37     2.77   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.89R   20.60  
Colchester       41   33  -21      39.08     2.95   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   79.39  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Carlisle vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          40   82  +37      94.28     2.95    43.76    97.41    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   75  +22      85.54     3.14    25.55     2.57    79.15   100.00    83.78P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        41   72  +21      81.34     2.88    24.56     0.02    17.72    99.95    38.52P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     40   66  +25      77.81     3.02    30.00     0.00     2.73    98.35    35.51P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   65  +11      74.37     3.19    12.88     0.00     0.42    80.27    11.46P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   62   +9      68.64     2.90     8.90     0.00     0.00    14.98     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   61  +28      72.50     3.14    32.86     0.00     0.02    72.37    21.97P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   60   +8      69.04     3.23     9.34     0.00     0.00    20.23     3.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +11      66.20     2.91    12.92     0.00     0.00     3.51     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   57   +9      67.47     3.22    12.25     0.00     0.00    10.12     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   56   -9      60.74     2.66   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   55   +1      62.36     2.95     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   52   +0      57.97     2.84    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     40   52  -17      58.55     3.15   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   49  -16      52.86     2.37   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.59R    0.00  
Swindon          40   48   -2      56.78     3.17    -1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Cheltenham       41   48  -17      52.32     2.54   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.24R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   47   -3      57.71     3.69    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.52R    0.00  
Bournemouth      41   45  -15      49.81     2.59   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.82R    0.00  
Millwall         41   45  -16      50.38     2.77   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.87R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -17      50.18     2.90   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.21R    0.00  
Gillingham       41   43  -27      46.95     2.56   -31.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.38R    0.01  
Luton            41   33  -14      37.87     2.63   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   30.76  
Port_Vale        41   32  -29      36.47     2.64   -33.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   69.23  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Barnet vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         41   85  +40      93.40     2.97    42.31    28.53    99.83   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   39   82  +39      95.94     3.36    45.40    70.85    99.93   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           41   74  +28      81.94     2.94    29.65     0.00    24.31    99.71    50.48P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.43     3.43    26.81     0.61    66.74    99.99    76.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.51     3.52    17.39     0.00     6.56    96.18    25.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.61     3.14    12.69     0.00     0.23    78.05    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             39   65  +15      77.65     3.60    19.56     0.00     2.40    90.32    22.53P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   63  +18      71.49     2.97    20.42     0.00     0.00    25.76     6.22P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   62   +1      70.22     3.02     3.00     0.00     0.00     9.54     1.45P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   57   -1      64.20     3.22    -2.75     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.45     3.16    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            41   55  -13      60.29     2.86   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   54   +2      62.15     3.27     1.92     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   49   -4      56.57     3.00    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               39   49   -9      57.58     3.56   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   49  -17      55.08     2.87   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   45  -32      51.17     2.95   -33.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.14  
Shrewsbury           40   44   -7      51.95     3.26    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.08  
Macclesfield         41   44  -17      50.25     2.95   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.59R    0.32  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.72     3.16   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.18R    0.27  
Dag_&_Red            41   42  -22      47.08     2.78   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.21R    2.80  
Notts_County         40   41  -14      47.56     3.00   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.86R    1.91  
Mansfield            40   37  -18      44.11     3.24   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.94R   13.55  
Wrexham              39   33  -25      39.83     3.19   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.13R   80.92  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 3 April 2008, Exeter vs Droylsden; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           39   90  +32     102.23     3.56    36.09    98.81   100.00    99.11P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             38   76  +27      90.41     3.71    32.71     1.19    99.58    25.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           40   73  +31      83.64     3.26    34.85     0.00    89.01    25.42P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       39   71  +23      82.50     3.54    25.96     0.00    77.26    18.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       40   71  +19      82.08     3.12    23.44     0.00    76.88    19.02P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              39   69  +20      80.13     3.45    22.69     0.00    50.95    10.70P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        40   64  +16      74.23     3.33    19.02     0.00     4.54     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              42   64   +4      70.36     2.59     5.59     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           40   61  +10      69.19     3.27     9.95     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       40   59  +13      69.14     3.30    15.92     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    38   59   +3      71.98     3.82     6.02     0.00     1.19     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      38   58   +7      70.21     3.80     8.85     0.00     0.43     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
York                39   55   +0      65.26     3.51     0.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        39   53   +4      63.93     3.57     5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          39   53   -1      62.17     3.44    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   38   49   +4      59.20     3.75     3.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              40   45   -9      52.26     3.19   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             38   43   -7      51.22     3.69   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            39   36  -21      44.30     3.37   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.06R    0.00  
Altrincham          41   36  -25      40.17     2.69   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.18R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      39   36  -25      42.73     3.21   -29.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.85R    0.00  
Northwich           39   34  -25      40.05     3.06   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.91R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    39   19  -48      24.44     3.03   -55.31     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   51.18  
Droylsden           39   19  -52      24.90     3.19   -58.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   48.82