Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 2 April 2008 at 21:37:58 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 March 2008, Chelsea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   76  +53      88.78     2.84    59.66    91.42    98.31   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +33      82.37     2.93    38.10     5.34    55.19    98.16    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   70  +36      81.49     2.83    41.67     3.24    45.92    95.70    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   62  +32      73.18     3.14    36.37     0.00     0.57     6.07    88.68    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   57  +21      68.21     2.91    26.20     0.00     0.00     0.08    10.66    97.57     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      32   53  +13      64.01     3.10    17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75    76.57     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   50   +4      57.80     2.90     3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     5.09     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   49   +8      60.19     2.97    12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   49   +0      56.81     3.07    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   -4      52.89     2.97    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   39   +6      48.92     3.25     8.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   35  -21      40.72     2.85   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   34  -17      40.02     2.94   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   33  -20      39.82     3.13   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.01R    0.00  
Reading         32   32  -21      39.55     3.12   -22.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.73R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -19      36.42     2.83   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.80R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   30  -11      36.46     3.15   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.19R    0.00  
Bolton          32   26  -18      31.43     2.85   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.44R    0.00  
Fulham          32   24  -24      29.70     2.92   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.34R    0.00  
Derby           32   11  -51      13.41     2.07   -61.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Cardiff vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     41   70   +2      76.81     2.94     1.97    17.14    36.64    98.58    47.42P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   69  +12      77.30     3.01    14.11    24.91    47.96    99.06    60.46P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      76.07     2.95    19.79    14.46    34.28    98.11    53.98P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   67  +27      77.48     3.30    30.77    34.10    57.35    99.05    71.10P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   65  +11      74.98     3.20    13.53     9.09    22.03    93.74    39.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.22     3.27     2.06     0.19     0.93    35.56     7.94P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   60   +9      69.17     3.31    10.42     0.11     0.78    40.86    10.59P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   59   +9      66.76     2.95    10.35     0.00     0.01    14.85     3.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   59   +7      65.83     2.85     7.06     0.00     0.02     7.35     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   58   +0      64.90     2.97     0.12     0.00     0.00     3.51     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   57   +5      64.74     2.96     6.36     0.00     0.00     4.01     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   56   +3      64.48     3.25     3.42     0.00     0.01     4.95     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   53   -1      61.37     3.24    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR              41   53   -2      59.38     2.98    -2.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Preston          41   53   -2      59.35     2.89    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   50   +1      56.46     2.95     0.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05R    0.00  
Norwich          41   49  -10      54.84     2.87   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.64R    0.00  
Coventry         41   49  -11      54.45     2.86   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.95R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47   +1      54.04     2.85     1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.66R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   46   -5      53.56     3.16    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.95R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -14      52.21     3.07   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.93R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46  -18      51.25     2.82   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.74R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   38  -23      43.35     2.75   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.06R   20.65  
Colchester       41   33  -21      39.04     2.96   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   79.34  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Carlisle vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          40   82  +37      94.31     2.96    43.80    97.50    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   75  +22      85.55     3.15    25.58     2.48    79.51   100.00    84.24P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        41   72  +21      81.31     2.89    24.53     0.02    17.50    99.96    37.99P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     40   66  +25      77.79     2.99    29.96     0.00     2.62    98.37    35.26P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   65  +11      74.35     3.19    12.86     0.00     0.37    80.26    11.76P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   62   +9      68.68     2.90     8.97     0.00     0.00    15.14     2.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   61  +28      72.55     3.11    32.92     0.00     0.03    72.65    21.99P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   60   +8      69.06     3.22     9.35     0.00     0.00    19.97     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +11      66.18     2.89    12.89     0.00     0.00     3.51     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   57   +9      67.44     3.23    12.21     0.00     0.00     9.94     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   56   -9      60.73     2.64   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   55   +1      62.33     2.94     1.67     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   52   +0      58.00     2.84    -1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     40   52  -17      58.59     3.15   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   49  -16      52.86     2.37   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.42R    0.00  
Swindon          40   48   -2      56.86     3.19    -0.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Cheltenham       41   48  -17      52.33     2.55   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.28R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   47   -3      57.69     3.73    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Bournemouth      41   45  -15      49.83     2.60   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.65R    0.00  
Millwall         41   45  -16      50.33     2.75   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.22R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -17      50.17     2.89   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.84R    0.00  
Gillingham       41   43  -27      46.93     2.55   -31.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.68R    0.01  
Luton            41   33  -14      37.85     2.64   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   30.40  
Port_Vale        41   32  -29      36.46     2.65   -33.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   69.59  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Barnet vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         41   85  +40      93.37     2.97    42.28    28.15    99.79   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   39   82  +39      95.95     3.36    45.40    71.14    99.95   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           41   74  +28      81.94     2.92    29.63     0.01    23.90    99.70    50.38P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.47     3.44    26.87     0.70    67.38    99.98    76.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.44     3.53    17.29     0.01     6.33    96.29    25.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.64     3.15    12.74     0.00     0.26    78.15    17.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             39   65  +15      77.69     3.59    19.62     0.00     2.40    90.43    22.81P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   63  +18      71.46     2.97    20.40     0.00     0.00    25.41     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   62   +1      70.22     3.03     3.02     0.00     0.00     9.59     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   57   -1      64.23     3.23    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.46     3.17    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            41   55  -13      60.31     2.87   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   54   +2      62.13     3.28     1.89     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   49   -4      56.54     2.99    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               39   49   -9      57.55     3.56   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   49  -17      55.13     2.87   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   45  -32      51.20     2.95   -32.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17R    0.14  
Shrewsbury           40   44   -7      51.90     3.25    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96R    0.07  
Macclesfield         41   44  -17      50.26     2.94   -17.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.55R    0.28  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.71     3.17   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.36R    0.30  
Dag_&_Red            41   42  -22      47.07     2.77   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.31R    2.62  
Notts_County         40   41  -14      47.60     3.01   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.87R    1.81  
Mansfield            40   37  -18      44.15     3.22   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.52R   13.11  
Wrexham              39   33  -25      39.76     3.19   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.25R   81.65  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Droylsden vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           39   90  +32     102.30     3.57    36.19    98.68   100.00    99.04P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             38   76  +27      90.46     3.69    32.78     1.31    99.41    26.64P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           40   73  +31      83.65     3.25    34.83     0.00    86.32    24.33P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       39   71  +23      82.46     3.52    25.87     0.00    72.25    17.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       40   71  +19      82.12     3.11    23.49     0.00    71.42    17.54P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              38   68  +20      81.89     3.62    25.43     0.00    66.23    14.35P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        40   64  +16      74.23     3.33    18.98     0.00     3.14     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              42   64   +4      70.37     2.58     5.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           40   61  +10      69.11     3.26     9.84     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       40   59  +13      69.17     3.31    15.96     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    38   59   +3      72.07     3.80     6.17     0.00     0.80     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      38   58   +7      70.15     3.79     8.77     0.00     0.30     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
York                39   55   +0      65.28     3.51     0.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        39   53   +4      63.94     3.56     5.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          39   53   -1      62.14     3.43    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   38   49   +4      59.12     3.77     2.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              40   45   -9      52.27     3.17   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             38   43   -7      51.12     3.67   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            39   36  -21      44.33     3.37   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.07R    0.00  
Altrincham          41   36  -25      40.17     2.66   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.45R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      39   36  -25      42.76     3.23   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.69R    0.00  
Northwich           39   34  -25      40.08     3.05   -31.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.79R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    39   19  -48      24.45     3.03   -55.29     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   43.65  
Droylsden           38   18  -52      24.05     3.30   -61.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   56.35