Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 1 April 2008 at 21:37:53 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 March 2008, Chelsea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   76  +53      88.84     2.84    59.74    91.73    98.31   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +33      82.33     2.92    38.08     5.10    55.07    98.25    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   70  +36      81.48     2.82    41.67     3.17    46.01    95.84    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   62  +32      73.15     3.12    36.33     0.00     0.60     5.83    88.58    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   57  +21      68.25     2.90    26.30     0.00     0.00     0.07    10.74    97.64     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      32   53  +13      64.06     3.12    17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75    77.07     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   50   +4      57.77     2.90     3.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.08     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   49   +8      60.14     2.98    12.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    17.27     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   49   +0      56.82     3.07    -0.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   -4      52.88     2.97    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   39   +6      48.98     3.24     8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   35  -21      40.74     2.86   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   34  -17      40.02     2.93   -20.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   33  -20      39.82     3.12   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.94R    0.00  
Reading         32   32  -21      39.53     3.13   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -19      36.36     2.83   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.03R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   30  -11      36.47     3.14   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.06R    0.00  
Bolton          32   26  -18      31.44     2.83   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.26R    0.00  
Fulham          32   24  -24      29.65     2.91   -28.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.50R    0.00  
Derby           32   11  -51      13.42     2.09   -61.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Cardiff vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     41   70   +2      76.82     2.93     1.98    17.19    36.90    98.64    48.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   69  +12      77.23     3.02    14.03    24.13    47.02    98.96    59.25P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      76.03     2.95    19.75    13.81    33.57    98.02    53.12P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        40   67  +27      77.49     3.31    30.78    34.68    57.61    99.06    71.37P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   65  +11      75.07     3.22    13.60     9.85    23.14    93.92    40.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.24     3.29     2.10     0.20     0.91    35.74     8.15P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   60   +9      69.15     3.30    10.41     0.13     0.82    40.24    10.49P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   59   +9      66.75     2.96    10.35     0.00     0.00    14.94     3.82P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   59   +7      65.86     2.86     7.10     0.00     0.01     7.47     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   58   +0      64.90     2.96     0.11     0.00     0.00     3.61     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   57   +5      64.72     2.96     6.33     0.00     0.00     3.97     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   56   +3      64.47     3.25     3.41     0.00     0.00     5.01     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   53   -1      61.38     3.25    -0.66     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              41   53   -2      59.40     2.97    -2.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston          41   53   -2      59.37     2.88    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   50   +1      56.44     2.96     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.00  
Norwich          41   49  -10      54.82     2.88   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.80R    0.00  
Coventry         41   49  -11      54.43     2.85   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.12R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47   +1      54.00     2.85     1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.84R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   46   -5      53.57     3.13    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.58R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -14      52.20     3.07   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.93R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46  -18      51.26     2.81   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.60R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       41   38  -23      43.33     2.77   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.00R   21.32  
Colchester       41   33  -21      39.09     2.97   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   78.67  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Carlisle vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          40   82  +37      94.33     2.93    43.83    97.59    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   75  +22      85.55     3.12    25.59     2.38    79.63   100.00    84.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        41   72  +21      81.33     2.86    24.55     0.03    17.30    99.97    38.80P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     40   66  +25      77.77     3.01    29.94     0.00     2.71    98.35    35.27P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   65  +11      74.37     3.19    12.91     0.00     0.36    80.40    11.79P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   62   +9      68.63     2.88     8.91     0.00     0.00    14.91     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            40   61  +28      72.51     3.12    32.90     0.00     0.03    72.66    21.56P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   60   +8      69.06     3.22     9.36     0.00     0.00    20.26     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +11      66.16     2.90    12.87     0.00     0.00     3.46     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   57   +9      67.43     3.22    12.20     0.00     0.00     9.80     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   56   -9      60.78     2.67   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   55   +1      62.37     2.94     1.71     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   52   +0      58.01     2.82    -1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     40   52  -17      58.63     3.14   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   49  -16      52.82     2.36   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.56R    0.00  
Swindon          40   48   -2      56.82     3.17    -1.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Cheltenham       41   48  -17      52.33     2.54   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.22R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   47   -3      57.71     3.75    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.57R    0.00  
Bournemouth      41   45  -15      49.77     2.57   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.41R    0.00  
Millwall         41   45  -16      50.35     2.76   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.91R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -17      50.20     2.90   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.36R    0.00  
Gillingham       41   43  -27      46.94     2.54   -31.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.58R    0.01  
Luton            41   33  -14      37.85     2.63   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   30.18  
Port_Vale        41   32  -29      36.43     2.66   -33.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   69.80  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Barnet vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         41   85  +40      93.36     2.98    42.25    28.70    99.78   100.00    99.85P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   39   82  +39      95.88     3.37    45.31    70.65    99.94   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           41   74  +28      81.90     2.94    29.60     0.01    23.52    99.71    49.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.50     3.44    26.91     0.63    67.63    99.97    76.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.54     3.52    17.44     0.00     6.48    96.32    25.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.66     3.16    12.76     0.00     0.27    77.96    17.30P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             39   65  +15      77.77     3.59    19.73     0.00     2.38    90.48    23.09P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   63  +18      71.50     2.97    20.47     0.00     0.00    25.35     5.99P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   62   +1      70.28     3.02     3.10     0.00     0.00     9.76     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   57   -1      64.20     3.21    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.45     3.16    -3.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            41   55  -13      60.28     2.88   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             40   54   +2      62.13     3.25     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   49   -4      56.57     3.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               39   49   -9      57.47     3.56   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   49  -17      55.12     2.90   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   45  -32      51.16     2.94   -33.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.13  
Shrewsbury           40   44   -7      51.94     3.26    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94R    0.07  
Macclesfield         41   44  -17      50.23     2.93   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.46R    0.32  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.66     3.15   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.25R    0.34  
Dag_&_Red            41   42  -22      47.07     2.77   -24.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.32R    2.93  
Notts_County         40   41  -14      47.56     2.99   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.01R    1.87  
Mansfield            40   37  -18      44.10     3.23   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.83R   13.70  
Wrexham              39   33  -25      39.86     3.19   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.06R   80.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2008, Droylsden vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           39   90  +32     102.27     3.56    36.18    98.72   100.00    99.03P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             38   76  +27      90.45     3.71    32.75     1.27    99.39    26.22P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           40   73  +31      83.65     3.26    34.86     0.00    86.27    24.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       39   71  +23      82.46     3.53    25.89     0.00    72.27    17.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       40   71  +19      82.09     3.13    23.44     0.00    71.07    17.40P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              38   68  +20      81.87     3.63    25.40     0.00    66.36    14.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        40   64  +16      74.20     3.35    18.95     0.00     3.34     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              42   64   +4      70.38     2.58     5.67     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           40   61  +10      69.14     3.27     9.85     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       40   59  +13      69.17     3.29    15.97     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    38   59   +3      72.04     3.80     6.15     0.00     0.86     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      38   58   +7      70.13     3.82     8.76     0.00     0.32     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
York                39   55   +0      65.29     3.51     0.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        39   53   +4      63.91     3.55     5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          39   53   -1      62.13     3.46    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   38   49   +4      59.17     3.76     3.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              40   45   -9      52.26     3.17   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             38   43   -7      51.17     3.69   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth            39   36  -21      44.33     3.37   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.97R    0.00  
Altrincham          41   36  -25      40.16     2.66   -29.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.00R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      39   36  -25      42.73     3.22   -29.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.08R    0.00  
Northwich           39   34  -25      40.08     3.05   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.96R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    39   19  -48      24.48     3.03   -55.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   43.86  
Droylsden           38   18  -52      24.10     3.31   -61.35     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.14