Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 31 March 2008 at 21:38:57 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 March 2008, Chelsea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   76  +53      88.79     2.85    59.68    91.38    98.38   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +33      82.31     2.93    38.03     5.37    54.55    98.22    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   70  +36      81.48     2.82    41.66     3.25    46.48    95.72    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   62  +32      73.14     3.14    36.31     0.00     0.60     5.96    88.27    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   57  +21      68.26     2.91    26.30     0.00     0.00     0.09    11.06    97.61     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      32   53  +13      64.06     3.11    17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75    76.97     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   50   +4      57.78     2.91     3.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.97     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   49   +8      60.13     2.99    12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.56     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   49   +0      56.80     3.08    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   -4      52.89     2.98    -3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   39   +6      48.92     3.24     8.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   35  -21      40.74     2.85   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   34  -17      40.02     2.94   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   33  -20      39.85     3.13   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.00R    0.00  
Reading         32   32  -21      39.53     3.13   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.86R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -19      36.41     2.83   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.84R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   30  -11      36.49     3.15   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.24R    0.00  
Bolton          32   26  -18      31.42     2.83   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.43R    0.00  
Fulham          32   24  -24      29.70     2.93   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.06R    0.00  
Derby           32   11  -51      13.42     2.07   -61.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Bristol_City vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     41   70   +2      76.79     2.92     1.94    15.63    35.26    98.54    46.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   69  +12      77.27     3.01    14.08    22.63    46.71    98.95    59.27P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      76.05     2.96    19.76    13.05    32.86    97.97    52.93P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        39   66  +27      77.91     3.61    30.87    38.99    60.74    98.86    72.96P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   65  +11      75.09     3.21    13.64     9.36    22.58    93.83    40.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.32     3.30     2.21     0.17     0.97    35.99     8.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   60   +9      69.19     3.32    10.47     0.15     0.84    39.84    10.47P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   59   +9      66.76     2.96    10.35     0.00     0.01    14.42     3.72P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   59   +7      65.86     2.85     7.11     0.00     0.01     7.17     1.88P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   58   +0      64.91     2.97     0.13     0.00     0.00     3.51     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   57   +5      64.75     2.95     6.37     0.00     0.00     3.73     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   55   +3      64.76     3.58     3.27     0.01     0.03     6.86     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   53   -1      61.38     3.24    -0.65     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR              41   53   -2      59.39     2.96    -2.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston          41   53   -2      59.34     2.88    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   50   +1      56.43     2.96     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01R    0.00  
Norwich          41   49  -10      54.81     2.88   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.62R    0.00  
Coventry         40   48  -11      54.41     3.13   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.32R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47   +1      54.06     2.87     1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.71R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -14      52.17     3.07   -16.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.94R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46  -18      51.27     2.82   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.28R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        39   45   -5      54.23     3.48    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.08R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   38  -23      43.34     2.76   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.99R   20.75  
Colchester       41   33  -21      39.05     2.96   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   79.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          40   82  +37      94.28     2.92    43.75    93.61    99.82   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   75  +24      87.29     3.39    28.16     6.25    80.24   100.00    85.28P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        40   72  +22      82.97     3.18    25.94     0.14    19.27    99.99    41.50P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   65  +11      74.30     3.16    12.79     0.00     0.13    83.49    12.59P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     39   63  +23      75.76     3.31    27.46     0.00     0.53    94.26    32.01P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   62   +9      68.67     2.90     8.94     0.00     0.00    21.17     3.81P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   60   +8      69.08     3.23     9.41     0.00     0.00    26.88     4.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            39   58  +27      70.56     3.45    31.46     0.00     0.00    53.66    16.18P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +11      66.16     2.91    12.87     0.00     0.00     5.52     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   57   +9      67.44     3.23    12.21     0.00     0.00    14.55     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   56   -9      60.75     2.65   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   55   +1      62.36     2.94     1.68     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   52   +0      58.04     2.83    -1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     40   52  -17      58.58     3.16   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   49  -16      52.84     2.36   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.25R    0.00  
Swindon          40   48   -2      56.86     3.17    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Cheltenham       41   48  -17      52.38     2.56   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.13R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   47   -3      57.70     3.73    -3.16     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.43R    0.00  
Bournemouth      41   45  -15      49.79     2.57   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.20R    0.00  
Millwall         41   45  -16      50.32     2.75   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.90R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -17      50.17     2.90   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.94R    0.00  
Gillingham       40   40  -28      45.27     2.89   -32.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.02R    0.67  
Luton            40   33  -13      39.26     2.99   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   20.16  
Port_Vale        41   32  -29      36.44     2.65   -33.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.17  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Barnet vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         41   85  +40      93.39     2.98    42.29    28.55    99.62   100.00    99.75P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   39   82  +39      95.91     3.35    45.32    70.68    99.90   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.55     3.44    26.97     0.72    62.59    99.98    73.87P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           40   73  +28      82.87     3.24    30.43     0.04    31.26    99.78    54.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.47     3.51    17.32     0.01     5.28    96.54    24.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.62     3.15    12.72     0.00     0.20    79.20    17.87P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   63  +18      71.50     2.98    20.45     0.00     0.00    29.29     7.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             38   62  +14      76.34     3.88    19.03     0.00     1.15    82.42    20.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   62   +1      70.28     3.02     3.13     0.00     0.00    11.68     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   57   -1      64.18     3.21    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.42     3.15    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            41   55  -13      60.25     2.86   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             39   54   +3      63.30     3.54     2.56     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   49   -4      56.56     2.99    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   49  -17      55.12     2.90   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Barnet               38   48   -9      57.37     3.80   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   45  -32      51.16     2.95   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88R    0.10  
Shrewsbury           40   44   -7      51.95     3.27    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.06  
Macclesfield         41   44  -17      50.27     2.92   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.92R    0.27  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.66     3.17   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.29  
Dag_&_Red            41   42  -22      47.12     2.77   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.66R    2.93  
Notts_County         40   41  -14      47.55     3.02   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.20R    2.04  
Mansfield            39   34  -19      42.60     3.54   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.91R   32.48  
Wrexham              38   33  -24      40.98     3.46   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.06R   61.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 March 2008, Forest_Green vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           39   90  +32     102.26     3.57    36.16    98.90   100.00    99.09P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             37   73  +26      89.98     3.90    33.94     1.10    99.00    26.35P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       39   71  +23      82.48     3.52    25.92     0.00    74.14    17.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       40   71  +19      82.07     3.10    23.40     0.00    72.58    17.70P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           39   70  +30      82.70     3.50    34.97     0.00    79.37    22.70P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              38   68  +20      81.90     3.61    25.45     0.00    67.71    14.78P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        40   64  +16      74.26     3.35    19.04     0.00     3.84     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              41   63   +4      71.56     2.90     7.06     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           40   61  +10      69.16     3.25     9.92     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    37   59   +4      73.30     4.10     6.98     0.00     3.02     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       39   56  +12      67.71     3.61    15.22     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      37   55   +3      68.78     4.00     5.20     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
York                38   55   +1      65.98     3.75     0.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        39   53   +4      63.91     3.54     5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          39   53   -1      62.14     3.45    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   38   49   +4      59.13     3.74     2.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              40   45   -9      52.28     3.17   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             38   43   -7      51.16     3.66   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth            39   36  -21      44.40     3.37   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.35R    0.00  
Altrincham          41   36  -25      40.20     2.65   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.42R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      39   36  -25      42.80     3.21   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.30R    0.00  
Northwich           38   33  -25      39.70     3.29   -32.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.94R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    38   19  -44      25.31     3.25   -51.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   39.14  
Droylsden           37   18  -51      24.36     3.44   -62.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   60.86