Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 30 March 2008 at 21:39:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 March 2008, Chelsea vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   76  +53      88.76     2.86    59.64    91.08    98.21    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   71  +33      82.36     2.92    38.12     5.37    54.19    98.31    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   70  +36      81.55     2.84    41.75     3.55    47.07    95.90    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   62  +32      73.15     3.13    36.34     0.00     0.53     5.73    88.45    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   57  +21      68.23     2.91    26.25     0.00     0.00     0.07    10.84    97.60     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      32   53  +13      64.07     3.11    17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79    77.53     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   50   +4      57.77     2.89     3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.92     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   49   +8      60.13     2.99    12.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    17.34     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   49   +0      56.76     3.06    -0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   -4      52.89     2.96    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   39   +6      48.96     3.24     8.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   35  -21      40.72     2.87   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   32   34  -17      40.03     2.95   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   33  -20      39.82     3.12   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.97R    0.00  
Reading         32   32  -21      39.52     3.12   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.80R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -19      36.38     2.82   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.10R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   30  -11      36.52     3.13   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.75R    0.00  
Bolton          32   26  -18      31.43     2.83   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.50R    0.00  
Fulham          32   24  -24      29.70     2.93   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.41R    0.00  
Derby           32   11  -51      13.41     2.06   -61.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Bristol_City vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     41   70   +2      76.78     2.94     1.94    15.70    35.31    98.43    46.37P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   69  +12      77.30     3.01    14.11    22.76    47.04    99.05    59.71P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      76.03     2.95    19.74    12.80    32.68    97.96    52.74P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        39   66  +27      77.92     3.63    30.90    39.12    61.01    98.73    73.33P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   65  +11      75.07     3.20    13.62     9.26    22.18    93.77    40.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.27     3.31     2.14     0.21     0.93    35.66     8.06P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   60   +9      69.21     3.31    10.46     0.15     0.81    40.51    10.66P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   59   +9      66.76     2.96    10.35     0.00     0.01    14.74     3.76P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   59   +7      65.84     2.84     7.06     0.00     0.01     6.94     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   58   +0      64.90     2.97     0.12     0.00     0.00     3.42     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   57   +5      64.70     2.96     6.32     0.00     0.00     3.60     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   55   +3      64.74     3.58     3.23     0.00     0.02     6.87     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   53   -1      61.42     3.23    -0.60     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              41   53   -2      59.39     2.96    -2.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Preston          41   53   -2      59.37     2.88    -2.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   50   +1      56.47     2.97     0.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.96R    0.00  
Norwich          41   49  -10      54.83     2.90   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.71R    0.00  
Coventry         40   48  -11      54.40     3.14   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.30R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47   +1      54.00     2.85     1.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.72R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -14      52.24     3.08   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.25R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46  -18      51.24     2.81   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.88R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        39   45   -5      54.23     3.45    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.18R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   38  -23      43.36     2.78   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.94R   20.97  
Colchester       41   33  -21      39.07     2.96   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   79.01  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          40   82  +37      94.26     2.93    43.74    93.38    99.82   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   75  +24      87.34     3.39    28.23     6.46    80.59   100.00    85.73P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        40   72  +22      82.95     3.20    25.92     0.16    18.89    99.99    41.12P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   65  +11      74.31     3.16    12.80     0.00     0.13    84.06    12.08P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     39   63  +23      75.79     3.33    27.48     0.00     0.56    94.11    32.21P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   62   +9      68.66     2.90     8.93     0.00     0.00    21.23     3.68P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   60   +8      69.05     3.22     9.35     0.00     0.00    26.24     4.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            39   58  +27      70.54     3.43    31.46     0.00     0.01    53.46    16.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +11      66.13     2.88    12.84     0.00     0.00     5.61     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   57   +9      67.48     3.20    12.28     0.00     0.00    14.85     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   56   -9      60.75     2.65   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   55   +1      62.36     2.94     1.68     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   52   +0      58.03     2.84    -1.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   52  -17      58.58     3.14   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   49  -16      52.86     2.36   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.87R    0.00  
Swindon          40   48   -2      56.84     3.16    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Cheltenham       41   48  -17      52.35     2.55   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.26R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   47   -3      57.78     3.69    -3.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.38R    0.00  
Bournemouth      41   45  -15      49.74     2.57   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.96R    0.00  
Millwall         41   45  -16      50.36     2.76   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.57R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -17      50.20     2.89   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.69R    0.00  
Gillingham       40   40  -28      45.28     2.88   -32.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.15R    0.58  
Luton            40   33  -13      39.23     2.97   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   20.35  
Port_Vale        41   32  -29      36.44     2.63   -33.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.07  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Barnet vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         41   85  +40      93.40     2.97    42.30    28.32    99.63   100.00    99.77P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   39   82  +39      95.94     3.35    45.38    70.99    99.90   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.48     3.44    26.87     0.65    61.65    99.99    73.12P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           40   73  +28      82.89     3.24    30.49     0.04    31.97    99.82    55.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.50     3.53    17.38     0.00     5.55    96.75    25.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.60     3.15    12.68     0.00     0.18    79.27    17.56P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   63  +18      71.45     2.97    20.37     0.00     0.00    28.99     6.80P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             38   62  +14      76.28     3.88    18.95     0.00     1.12    82.17    19.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   62   +1      70.26     3.03     3.07     0.00     0.00    11.92     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   57   -1      64.20     3.22    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.41     3.16    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            41   55  -13      60.29     2.87   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             39   54   +3      63.35     3.57     2.67     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   49   -4      56.56     3.02    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   49  -17      55.12     2.87   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               38   48   -9      57.34     3.80   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   45  -32      51.17     2.95   -33.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.84R    0.09  
Shrewsbury           40   44   -7      52.02     3.26    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.06  
Macclesfield         41   44  -17      50.27     2.94   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.97R    0.32  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.68     3.16   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.63R    0.32  
Dag_&_Red            41   42  -22      47.13     2.77   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.73R    2.97  
Notts_County         40   41  -14      47.59     3.02   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.07R    1.92  
Mansfield            39   34  -19      42.61     3.53   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.69R   31.75  
Wrexham              38   33  -24      40.92     3.48   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.31R   62.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Altrincham vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           39   90  +32     102.19     3.58    36.03    98.76   100.00    99.05P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             37   73  +26      90.09     3.87    34.13     1.19    98.95    26.65P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       38   71  +25      84.19     3.80    28.42     0.05    83.89    21.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       40   71  +19      82.08     3.12    23.44     0.00    70.28    16.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           39   70  +30      82.64     3.53    34.90     0.00    76.99    21.63P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              38   68  +20      81.86     3.58    25.38     0.00    65.45    13.45P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              41   63   +4      71.67     2.90     7.21     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        39   61  +14      72.36     3.64    16.64     0.00     1.40     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           40   61  +10      69.20     3.26     9.97     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    37   59   +4      73.33     4.08     7.03     0.00     2.71     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       39   56  +12      67.60     3.61    15.07     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      37   55   +3      68.81     3.99     5.25     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
York                38   55   +1      65.93     3.74     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        39   53   +4      63.90     3.55     5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          39   53   -1      62.09     3.44    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   38   49   +4      59.16     3.77     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              40   45   -9      52.35     3.17   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             38   43   -7      51.18     3.67   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth            39   36  -21      44.37     3.37   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.45R    0.00  
Altrincham          41   36  -25      40.12     2.65   -29.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.05R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      39   36  -25      42.87     3.23   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.55R    0.00  
Northwich           38   33  -25      39.64     3.29   -32.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.97R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    38   19  -44      25.33     3.28   -51.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   38.66  
Droylsden           37   18  -51      24.33     3.43   -62.82     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   61.34