Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 29 March 2008 at 22:42:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Birmingham vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   76  +53      88.76     2.85    59.64    91.71    98.36   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   70  +36      81.56     2.81    41.75     3.47    49.58    97.45    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   68  +32      81.95     3.09    39.11     4.82    51.65    98.11    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   59  +31      71.66     3.45    35.52     0.00     0.37     3.82    70.15    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   57  +22      69.31     3.18    27.00     0.00     0.04     0.62    28.76    98.36     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      32   53  +13      64.15     3.10    17.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19    77.76     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   50   +4      57.69     2.93     3.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.70     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     32   49   +8      60.13     2.99    12.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    16.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   49   +0      56.79     3.10    -0.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.71     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        32   44   -4      53.02     2.96    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   39   +9      52.03     3.43    15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   34  -16      40.27     3.03   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Sunderland      32   33  -20      39.91     3.14   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.60R    0.00  
Reading         32   32  -21      39.55     3.11   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   32  -24      37.61     2.97   -31.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.88R    0.00  
Wigan           32   31  -19      36.30     2.81   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.03R    0.00  
Birmingham      32   30  -11      36.51     3.16   -13.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.85R    0.00  
Bolton          32   26  -18      31.36     2.79   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.20R    0.00  
Fulham          32   24  -24      29.71     2.91   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.32R    0.00  
Derby           32   11  -51      13.42     2.08   -61.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Bristol_City vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     41   70   +2      76.76     2.94     1.91    15.94    35.40    98.38    46.49P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            41   69  +12      77.23     3.02    14.02    22.22    46.16    98.89    58.77P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   68  +18      76.06     2.96    19.79    13.27    33.48    97.88    53.87P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        39   66  +27      77.92     3.62    30.85    39.28    61.16    98.87    73.42P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   65  +11      75.04     3.18    13.58     8.93    21.99    93.86    40.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    40   61   +2      69.28     3.30     2.16     0.20     0.94    35.76     8.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   60   +9      69.17     3.31    10.43     0.16     0.83    39.71    10.35P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         41   59   +9      66.77     2.97    10.37     0.00     0.01    14.69     3.70P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   59   +7      65.83     2.85     7.04     0.00     0.01     7.01     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   58   +0      64.94     2.98     0.18     0.00     0.00     3.47     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   57   +5      64.71     2.95     6.33     0.00     0.00     3.92     0.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   55   +3      64.77     3.58     3.27     0.00     0.01     7.22     1.66P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        40   53   -1      61.35     3.24    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              41   53   -2      59.40     2.96    -2.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Preston          41   53   -2      59.36     2.88    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool        41   50   +1      56.44     2.96     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.00  
Norwich          41   49  -10      54.81     2.88   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.76R    0.00  
Coventry         40   48  -11      54.43     3.14   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.28R    0.00  
Leicester        41   47   +1      54.07     2.86     1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.59R    0.00  
Barnsley         40   46  -14      52.22     3.07   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.03R    0.00  
Southampton      41   46  -18      51.29     2.81   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.29R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        39   45   -5      54.26     3.44    -5.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.99R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       41   38  -23      43.35     2.77   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.95R   21.04  
Colchester       41   33  -21      39.07     2.98   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   78.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          40   82  +37      94.26     2.94    43.74    93.24    99.79   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   75  +24      87.35     3.40    28.22     6.61    79.95   100.00    85.12P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        40   72  +22      83.03     3.19    26.04     0.15    19.66    99.98    42.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         40   65  +11      74.30     3.19    12.79     0.00     0.10    83.86    12.48P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     39   63  +23      75.75     3.31    27.45     0.00     0.50    94.22    31.80P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   62   +9      68.66     2.89     8.94     0.00     0.00    21.14     3.74P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         40   60   +8      69.06     3.23     9.39     0.00     0.00    26.77     4.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            39   58  +27      70.44     3.42    31.34     0.00     0.00    52.64    15.90P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   58  +11      66.12     2.90    12.83     0.00     0.00     5.81     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          40   57   +9      67.49     3.22    12.28     0.00     0.00    15.14     3.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   56   -9      60.76     2.66   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      41   55   +1      62.37     2.96     1.69     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   52   +0      58.02     2.84    -1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     40   52  -17      58.55     3.14   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   49  -16      52.89     2.37   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.01R    0.00  
Swindon          40   48   -2      56.84     3.16    -1.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Cheltenham       41   48  -17      52.31     2.56   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.92R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   38   47   -3      57.74     3.72    -3.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.43R    0.00  
Bournemouth      41   45  -15      49.79     2.58   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.10R    0.00  
Millwall         41   45  -16      50.34     2.75   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.80R    0.00  
Crewe            41   44  -17      50.21     2.90   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.65R    0.00  
Gillingham       40   40  -28      45.27     2.88   -32.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.02R    0.66  
Luton            40   33  -13      39.23     2.98   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   20.69  
Port_Vale        41   32  -29      36.48     2.64   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.65  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Barnet vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         41   85  +40      93.41     2.98    42.32    28.74    99.64   100.00    99.77P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   39   82  +39      95.93     3.37    45.39    70.52    99.89   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.47     3.43    26.84     0.70    61.77    99.99    73.03P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           40   73  +28      82.85     3.24    30.44     0.04    31.69    99.79    55.31P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.50     3.54    17.40     0.00     5.55    96.75    25.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.60     3.17    12.67     0.00     0.21    79.29    17.86P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   63  +18      71.49     2.96    20.43     0.00     0.00    28.56     6.80P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             38   62  +14      76.37     3.90    19.08     0.00     1.26    82.54    19.97P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   62   +1      70.29     3.02     3.11     0.00     0.00    12.00     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            40   57   -1      64.22     3.22    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.42     3.15    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            41   55  -13      60.28     2.87   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             39   54   +3      63.27     3.54     2.51     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   49   -4      56.60     3.00    -2.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   49  -17      55.08     2.88   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet               38   48   -9      57.37     3.80   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   45  -32      51.18     2.95   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.90R    0.13  
Shrewsbury           40   44   -7      51.98     3.26    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.08  
Macclesfield         41   44  -17      50.27     2.95   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.30  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.71     3.18   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.42R    0.31  
Dag_&_Red            41   42  -22      47.10     2.78   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.63R    2.99  
Notts_County         40   41  -14      47.56     3.02   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.70R    1.74  
Mansfield            39   34  -19      42.59     3.49   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.09R   31.95  
Wrexham              38   33  -24      40.90     3.46   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.48R   62.49  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2008, Altrincham vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           39   90  +32     102.23     3.56    36.10    98.89   100.00    99.15P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             37   73  +26      89.95     3.91    33.89     1.08    98.86    25.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       38   71  +25      84.11     3.79    28.30     0.03    83.71    21.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       40   71  +19      82.06     3.12    23.38     0.00    70.28    16.96P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           39   70  +30      82.58     3.53    34.79     0.00    76.69    21.81P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              38   68  +20      81.90     3.57    25.43     0.00    65.97    14.15P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              41   63   +4      71.60     2.89     7.10     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        39   61  +14      72.38     3.65    16.65     0.00     1.48     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           40   61  +10      69.18     3.25     9.95     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    37   59   +4      73.27     4.07     6.95     0.00     2.64     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       39   56  +12      67.71     3.59    15.20     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      37   55   +3      68.85     4.00     5.26     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
York                38   55   +1      65.96     3.75     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        39   53   +4      63.96     3.56     5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          39   53   -1      62.16     3.46    -1.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   38   49   +4      59.14     3.77     2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              40   45   -9      52.29     3.18   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             38   43   -7      51.15     3.66   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            39   36  -21      44.35     3.36   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.37R    0.00  
Altrincham          41   36  -25      40.18     2.66   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.10R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      39   36  -25      42.88     3.20   -29.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.65R    0.00  
Northwich           38   33  -25      39.71     3.31   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.89R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers    38   19  -44      25.33     3.25   -51.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   38.62  
Droylsden           37   18  -51      24.33     3.44   -62.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   61.38