Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 28 March 2008 at 22:38:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 March 2008, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   73  +49      87.96     3.13    56.97    87.96    97.29    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   68  +32      81.95     3.10    39.13     7.47    57.85    98.22    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   67  +35      80.83     3.09    42.07     4.57    44.30    95.55    99.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   59  +31      71.68     3.46    35.54     0.00     0.50     5.27    70.68    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   57  +22      69.28     3.18    26.94     0.00     0.06     0.97    28.67    97.84     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      31   50  +11      63.28     3.34    16.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79    61.18     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   49  +12      60.76     3.11    15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    24.66     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   49   +4      58.28     3.27     3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     7.57     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   49   +2      58.44     3.41     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.27     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   -3      54.55     3.30    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   39   +9      52.00     3.44    15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   34  -16      40.28     3.05   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   32  -24      37.58     2.95   -31.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.03R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -17      36.89     3.03   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.84R    0.00  
Reading         31   31  -21      39.96     3.44   -22.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.61R    0.00  
Sunderland      31   30  -21      38.04     3.42   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.77R    0.00  
Birmingham      31   27  -13      34.58     3.41   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.17R    0.00  
Bolton          31   26  -17      31.93     3.01   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.33R    0.00  
Fulham          31   23  -24      30.42     3.24   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.39R    0.00  
Derby           31   10  -51      13.22     2.34   -62.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            40   68  +12      77.79     3.32    14.31    28.09    54.51    98.32    64.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   67   +1      75.48     3.21     1.42     9.49    23.99    92.88    35.71P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   65  +15      74.44     3.29    16.83     7.04    20.11    89.04    39.95P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   65  +14      76.43     3.47    16.65    19.73    40.17    95.49    54.48P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   63  +26      77.49     3.83    32.17    34.98    57.44    97.39    70.64P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   59  +11      68.57     3.25    12.97     0.05     0.42    30.91     8.73P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   59   +9      70.23     3.64    11.51     0.54     2.77    48.78    14.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   58   +7      66.58     3.18     7.60     0.02     0.16    11.15     3.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   58   +1      67.15     3.56     0.47     0.07     0.36    16.56     3.72P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   57   +6      66.47     3.27     7.89     0.00     0.04    11.85     2.97P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   55   -1      63.64     3.29    -0.34     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   53   +1      62.87     3.49     1.57     0.00     0.01     1.53     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   52   +2      63.70     3.87     3.13     0.00     0.03     4.28     0.99P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              40   52   -2      59.32     3.27    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Preston          40   50   -4      57.53     3.14    -4.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.52R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   49   +1      56.30     3.23    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66R    0.00  
Norwich          40   49   -9      55.83     3.17   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.53R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -13      53.22     3.35   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.82R    0.00  
Southampton      40   46  -17      52.07     3.08   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.10R    0.03  
Coventry         39   45  -13      52.34     3.37   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.27R    0.04  
Leicester        40   44   +0      52.79     3.16     0.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.37R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        38   44   -5      54.52     3.74    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.29R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       40   38  -22      44.19     3.02   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.55R   19.28  
Colchester       40   33  -20      39.46     3.14   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   80.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 28 March 2008, Doncaster vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          39   79  +35      92.96     3.28    42.20    82.12    99.16   100.00    99.42P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   74  +24      88.38     3.71    29.32    17.48    85.37   100.00    88.92P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        40   72  +22      82.87     3.18    25.81     0.40    14.97    99.99    38.24P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     39   63  +23      75.77     3.31    27.45     0.00     0.42    94.08    31.17P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         39   62  +10      72.75     3.50    11.86     0.00     0.06    67.16     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         41   62   +9      68.66     2.90     8.93     0.00     0.00    20.31     3.46P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   59   +8      68.83     3.46     8.46     0.00     0.00    24.74     4.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            38   57  +27      71.52     3.67    32.41     0.00     0.02    63.06    18.92P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   57  +10      68.70     3.49    13.08     0.00     0.00    26.39     5.24P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   56   -8      62.26     3.02   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   55   +8      64.94     3.17    10.45     0.00     0.00     2.91     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   54   +1      62.86     3.26     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       40   52   +2      59.09     3.16     0.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     39   52  -14      59.57     3.39   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          40   48   -2      56.87     3.16    -0.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   48  -16      53.13     2.71   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.45R    0.00  
Cheltenham       40   47  -17      52.58     2.88   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.96R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   46   -3      58.19     3.99    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.54R    0.00  
Millwall         40   45  -14      51.58     3.11   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.84R    0.00  
Crewe            40   44  -16      51.38     3.20   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.46R    0.00  
Bournemouth      40   42  -17      48.35     2.93   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.78R    0.00  
Gillingham       39   39  -28      44.93     3.11   -34.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.80R    0.41  
Luton            39   30  -14      37.80     3.28   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.87R   20.81  
Port_Vale        40   29  -30      34.67     3.00   -34.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.78  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 March 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Milton_Keynes_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   39   82  +39      95.94     3.37    45.35    77.48    99.79   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   82  +36      92.40     3.24    39.37    21.02    97.46   100.00    98.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.37     3.44    26.73     0.86    46.68    99.98    63.42P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           39   73  +30      85.20     3.51    33.79     0.63    51.87    99.95    69.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.42     3.52    17.27     0.01     3.77    96.36    23.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.65     3.16    12.74     0.00     0.09    78.87    17.74P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   62   +5      72.06     3.33     7.69     0.00     0.00    32.53     5.97P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   60  +15      70.17     3.28    17.93     0.00     0.00    20.02     4.57P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             37   59  +12      74.99     4.16    17.47     0.00     0.33    71.70    16.40P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.48     3.16    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            40   55  -11      61.32     3.20   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   54   -5      62.11     3.49    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   51   +1      60.89     3.77    -0.57     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   49  -13      55.90     3.10   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 40   46   -5      54.86     3.33    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Barnet               37   45  -10      55.86     4.04   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   40   45  -31      52.38     3.27   -32.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.52R    0.14  
Shrewsbury           39   44   -6      53.63     3.57    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.04  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.66     3.18   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.15R    0.54  
Dag_&_Red            40   42  -19      48.08     3.08   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.56R    2.79  
Macclesfield         40   41  -18      48.87     3.26   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.97R    2.30  
Notts_County         39   40  -14      48.11     3.34   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.92R    3.09  
Mansfield            38   33  -19      42.82     3.77   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.28R   36.40  
Wrexham              37   33  -23      41.94     3.72   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.91R   54.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 27 March 2008, Crawley_Town vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           38   87  +31     101.63     3.78    36.79    96.34   100.00    97.16P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             36   72  +26      91.19     4.12    35.54     3.57    99.27    27.91P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       38   71  +25      84.18     3.80    28.39     0.07    82.36    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       39   71  +22      84.23     3.37    27.59     0.01    87.11    22.99P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           39   70  +30      82.66     3.53    34.92     0.01    76.26    20.64P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              37   65  +19      80.91     3.86    25.63     0.01    52.06    10.99P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              40   62   +4      72.22     3.20     7.53     0.00     0.32     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        39   61  +14      72.43     3.64    16.74     0.00     1.27     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           40   61  +10      69.11     3.27     9.84     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    36   56   +3      71.51     4.38     5.78     0.00     1.18     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
York                37   55   +2      67.56     4.02     1.87     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       38   53   +9      65.19     3.85    10.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        38   53   +5      65.19     3.82     6.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          38   53   +0      64.21     3.74     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      36   52   +2      67.10     4.27     4.15     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   37   48   +4      60.60     3.98     4.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              39   44   -9      52.53     3.46   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             37   43   -6      52.07     3.90   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            38   36  -19      46.00     3.67   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.00  
Altrincham          40   35  -25      39.86     2.92   -30.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.79R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      38   33  -27      40.92     3.48   -31.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.66R    0.00  
Northwich           37   30  -26      37.33     3.48   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.54R    0.02  
Stafford_Rangers    37   19  -43      25.70     3.41   -52.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   32.73  
Droylsden           36   17  -51      23.76     3.58   -64.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   67.25