Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 27 March 2008 at 22:37:40 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 March 2008, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   73  +49      88.05     3.09    57.08    88.58    97.52    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   68  +32      81.90     3.10    39.06     7.06    57.67    98.24    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   67  +35      80.78     3.10    42.03     4.36    44.25    95.33    99.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   59  +31      71.69     3.47    35.56     0.00     0.49     5.39    70.62    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   57  +22      69.31     3.18    26.98     0.00     0.06     1.05    28.79    97.79     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      31   50  +11      63.29     3.34    16.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76    61.03     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   49  +12      60.76     3.09    15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    24.37     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   49   +4      58.29     3.31     3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     8.11     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   49   +2      58.46     3.42     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.36     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   -3      54.56     3.27    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   39   +9      51.95     3.42    15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   34  -16      40.28     3.05   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   32  -24      37.61     2.96   -31.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.10R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -17      36.94     3.04   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.67R    0.00  
Reading         31   31  -21      39.93     3.44   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.00  
Sunderland      31   30  -21      38.05     3.40   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.72R    0.00  
Birmingham      31   27  -13      34.56     3.42   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.23R    0.00  
Bolton          31   26  -17      31.89     3.02   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.50R    0.00  
Fulham          31   23  -24      30.43     3.23   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.55R    0.00  
Derby           31   10  -51      13.19     2.34   -62.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            40   68  +12      77.81     3.33    14.32    28.26    54.33    98.23    64.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   67   +1      75.50     3.23     1.43     9.43    24.06    92.88    35.76P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   65  +15      74.37     3.29    16.72     6.79    19.42    88.50    38.87P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   65  +14      76.49     3.48    16.75    20.19    41.01    95.58    55.60P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   63  +26      77.49     3.84    32.20    34.59    57.50    97.35    70.66P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   59  +11      68.49     3.26    12.86     0.05     0.42    29.95     8.29P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   59   +9      70.30     3.61    11.61     0.61     2.72    49.64    14.24P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   58   +7      66.61     3.20     7.63     0.02     0.15    11.52     3.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   58   +1      67.19     3.57     0.53     0.05     0.32    16.75     3.81P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   57   +6      66.52     3.27     7.95     0.00     0.03    12.19     3.02P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   55   -1      63.67     3.29    -0.29     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   53   +1      62.86     3.50     1.58     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          38   52   +2      63.70     3.85     3.10     0.01     0.04     4.12     1.03P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              40   52   -2      59.31     3.25    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston          40   50   -4      57.55     3.18    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.54R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   49   +1      56.29     3.23    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.00  
Norwich          40   49   -9      55.79     3.18   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.69R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -13      53.22     3.34   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.31R    0.00  
Southampton      40   46  -17      52.02     3.06   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.58R    0.01  
Coventry         39   45  -13      52.26     3.36   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.97R    0.05  
Leicester        40   44   +0      52.76     3.14     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.00R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        38   44   -5      54.60     3.76    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.93R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       40   38  -22      44.20     3.02   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.50R   19.41  
Colchester       40   33  -20      39.50     3.16   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   80.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          39   79  +35      92.95     3.28    42.16    82.50    99.49   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   74  +24      88.39     3.67    29.32    17.33    90.00   100.00    92.53P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        39   69  +21      81.19     3.48    24.80     0.16     8.59    99.81    32.13P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     38   63  +24      77.10     3.58    28.48     0.01     1.83    96.81    33.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         39   62  +10      72.78     3.50    11.91     0.00     0.06    68.33    10.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   59   +8      68.83     3.46     8.46     0.00     0.00    25.51     4.02P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         40   59   +8      67.35     3.21     8.41     0.00     0.00    13.16     2.39P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            38   57  +27      71.67     3.69    32.62     0.00     0.03    64.93    19.99P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   57  +10      68.70     3.52    13.07     0.00     0.00    26.71     5.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   56   -8      62.29     3.02   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   55   +8      64.88     3.20    10.38     0.00     0.00     3.21     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   54   +1      62.92     3.25     1.98     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       40   52   +2      59.07     3.15     0.21     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     39   52  -14      59.55     3.37   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          39   48   -1      57.89     3.45    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   48  -16      53.07     2.72   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.50R    0.00  
Cheltenham       40   47  -17      52.57     2.89   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.81R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   46   -3      58.19     3.99    -2.94     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.53R    0.00  
Millwall         40   45  -14      51.52     3.10   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.17R    0.00  
Crewe            40   44  -16      51.46     3.20   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.78R    0.00  
Bournemouth      40   42  -17      48.33     2.94   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.26R    0.00  
Gillingham       39   39  -28      44.91     3.12   -34.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.89R    0.39  
Luton            39   30  -14      37.78     3.30   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   20.78  
Port_Vale        40   29  -30      34.67     2.98   -34.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.83  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 March 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Milton_Keynes_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   39   82  +39      95.96     3.35    45.40    77.98    99.79   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   82  +36      92.38     3.25    39.35    20.72    97.48   100.00    98.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.43     3.43    26.79     0.71    47.50    99.98    63.97P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           39   73  +30      85.17     3.51    33.76     0.59    50.95    99.95    69.42P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.47     3.51    17.36     0.01     3.85    96.53    23.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.68     3.16    12.80     0.00     0.09    79.46    18.10P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   62   +5      72.03     3.32     7.66     0.00     0.00    32.09     5.83P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   60  +15      70.17     3.26    17.92     0.00     0.00    19.88     4.51P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             37   59  +12      75.01     4.18    17.51     0.00     0.33    71.48    16.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.47     3.15    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            40   55  -11      61.33     3.18   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   54   -5      62.09     3.50    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   51   +1      60.80     3.75    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   49  -13      55.93     3.12   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 40   46   -5      54.88     3.33    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Barnet               37   45  -10      55.88     4.01   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   40   45  -31      52.38     3.28   -32.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58R    0.14  
Shrewsbury           39   44   -6      53.66     3.60    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.04  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.60     3.18   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.26R    0.57  
Dag_&_Red            40   42  -19      48.06     3.09   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.49R    2.71  
Macclesfield         40   41  -18      48.86     3.28   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.24R    2.45  
Notts_County         39   40  -14      48.05     3.34   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.16R    3.29  
Mansfield            38   33  -19      42.85     3.77   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.84R   36.00  
Wrexham              37   33  -23      41.93     3.73   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.74R   54.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 27 March 2008, Crawley_Town vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           38   87  +31     101.59     3.78    36.73    96.33   100.00    97.27P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             36   72  +26      91.08     4.12    35.34     3.57    99.14    27.60P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       38   71  +25      84.29     3.83    28.56     0.10    83.13    20.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       39   71  +22      84.13     3.38    27.50     0.00    86.75    22.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           39   70  +30      82.66     3.50    34.95     0.00    76.34    20.67P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              37   65  +19      80.87     3.86    25.57     0.00    51.68    10.59P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              40   62   +4      72.22     3.20     7.54     0.00     0.32     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        39   61  +14      72.45     3.65    16.78     0.00     1.27     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           40   61  +10      69.18     3.28     9.93     0.00     0.07     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    36   56   +3      71.50     4.36     5.71     0.00     1.15     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
York                37   55   +2      67.63     4.03     2.02     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       38   53   +9      65.21     3.88    10.98     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        38   53   +5      65.19     3.82     6.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          38   53   +0      64.24     3.73     0.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      36   52   +2      67.07     4.29     4.13     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   37   48   +4      60.67     4.00     4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              39   44   -9      52.50     3.47   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             37   43   -6      52.04     3.91   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth            38   36  -19      45.94     3.66   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20R    0.00  
Altrincham          40   35  -25      39.85     2.91   -30.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.90R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      38   33  -27      40.89     3.46   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.00R    0.00  
Northwich           37   30  -26      37.35     3.48   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.03R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers    37   19  -43      25.65     3.40   -52.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   33.62  
Droylsden           36   17  -51      23.83     3.61   -64.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   66.37