Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 March 2008 at 22:37:36 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 March 2008, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   73  +49      88.02     3.10    57.08    88.24    97.41    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   68  +32      81.96     3.10    39.10     7.45    58.43    98.28    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   67  +35      80.78     3.10    41.99     4.31    43.60    95.33    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   59  +31      71.73     3.45    35.60     0.00     0.49     5.35    70.90    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   57  +22      69.30     3.16    26.96     0.00     0.07     1.05    28.39    97.84     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      31   50  +11      63.30     3.35    16.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86    61.68     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   49  +12      60.74     3.09    15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    24.24     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   49   +4      58.23     3.29     3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     7.45     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   49   +2      58.44     3.40     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     8.36     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   -3      54.52     3.27    -1.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   39   +9      51.96     3.43    15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   34  -16      40.27     3.04   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   32  -24      37.62     2.96   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.05R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -17      36.92     3.02   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.65R    0.00  
Reading         31   31  -21      39.88     3.45   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.80R    0.00  
Sunderland      31   30  -21      38.06     3.41   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.84R    0.00  
Birmingham      31   27  -13      34.58     3.40   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.27R    0.00  
Bolton          31   26  -17      31.97     3.01   -23.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.09R    0.00  
Fulham          31   23  -24      30.42     3.23   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.55R    0.00  
Derby           31   10  -51      13.22     2.36   -62.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            40   68  +12      77.80     3.32    14.32    28.63    54.88    98.32    65.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   67   +1      75.46     3.24     1.36     9.35    23.96    92.58    35.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   65  +15      74.40     3.29    16.76     7.13    20.04    88.91    39.43P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   65  +14      76.40     3.48    16.61    19.67    40.10    95.35    54.49P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   63  +26      77.46     3.83    32.15    34.51    57.29    97.44    70.41P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   59  +11      68.52     3.26    12.91     0.04     0.44    30.32     8.44P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   59   +9      70.27     3.61    11.57     0.59     2.74    49.38    14.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   58   +7      66.60     3.19     7.63     0.02     0.14    11.56     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   58   +1      67.13     3.56     0.47     0.04     0.33    16.30     3.70P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   57   +6      66.51     3.29     7.96     0.00     0.04    12.29     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   55   -1      63.66     3.29    -0.30     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   53   +1      62.87     3.49     1.58     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          38   52   +2      63.71     3.85     3.10     0.00     0.02     4.32     1.05P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              40   52   -2      59.32     3.26    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.08R    0.00  
Preston          40   50   -4      57.54     3.15    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.59R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   49   +1      56.36     3.23    -0.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.53R    0.00  
Norwich          40   49   -9      55.84     3.19   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -13      53.21     3.35   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.68R    0.00  
Southampton      40   46  -17      52.07     3.08   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.17R    0.02  
Coventry         39   45  -13      52.32     3.41   -16.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.75R    0.06  
Leicester        40   44   +0      52.83     3.14     1.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.59R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed        38   44   -5      54.52     3.75    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.24R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       40   38  -22      44.17     3.00   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.68R   19.39  
Colchester       40   33  -20      39.47     3.13   -23.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R   80.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          39   79  +35      92.97     3.27    42.25    82.13    99.51   100.00    99.64P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   74  +24      88.41     3.69    29.32    17.65    89.50   100.00    92.19P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        39   69  +21      81.25     3.49    24.84     0.21     9.06    99.83    32.92P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     38   63  +24      77.08     3.58    28.45     0.01     1.85    96.68    33.16P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         39   62  +10      72.86     3.48    12.02     0.00     0.07    69.46    10.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   59   +8      68.81     3.46     8.43     0.00     0.00    25.29     4.23P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         40   59   +8      67.35     3.22     8.41     0.00     0.00    13.43     2.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            38   57  +27      71.53     3.71    32.45     0.00     0.02    63.97    19.16P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   57  +10      68.67     3.53    13.04     0.00     0.00    26.77     5.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   56   -8      62.28     3.02   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   55   +8      64.93     3.19    10.44     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   54   +1      62.80     3.26     1.81     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       40   52   +2      59.11     3.15     0.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   52  -14      59.52     3.37   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          39   48   -1      57.88     3.45    -0.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   48  -16      53.11     2.72   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.43R    0.00  
Cheltenham       40   47  -17      52.61     2.91   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.80R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   46   -3      58.17     4.02    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.58R    0.00  
Millwall         40   45  -14      51.53     3.10   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.06R    0.00  
Crewe            40   44  -16      51.46     3.21   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.74R    0.00  
Bournemouth      40   42  -17      48.29     2.93   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.78R    0.00  
Gillingham       39   39  -28      45.00     3.14   -33.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.59R    0.37  
Luton            39   30  -14      37.77     3.29   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   20.59  
Port_Vale        40   29  -30      34.68     2.97   -34.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.04  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 March 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Milton_Keynes_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   39   82  +39      95.96     3.35    45.38    78.12    99.76   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   82  +36      92.33     3.25    39.27    20.41    97.27   100.00    98.18P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.46     3.44    26.84     0.80    47.50    99.98    63.86P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           39   73  +30      85.20     3.51    33.81     0.66    51.21    99.96    69.26P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.47     3.53    17.36     0.00     3.77    96.42    23.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.68     3.16    12.78     0.00     0.12    78.96    17.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   62   +5      72.07     3.33     7.72     0.00     0.00    32.14     5.84P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   60  +15      70.19     3.27    17.94     0.00     0.00    19.72     4.55P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             37   59  +12      75.10     4.17    17.66     0.00     0.36    72.24    16.78P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.41     3.15    -3.74     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            40   55  -11      61.31     3.17   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   54   -5      62.05     3.51    -7.54     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   51   +1      60.92     3.76    -0.53     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   49  -13      55.96     3.10   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 40   46   -5      54.89     3.35    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Barnet               37   45  -10      55.87     4.02   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   40   45  -31      52.34     3.27   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.55R    0.09  
Shrewsbury           39   44   -6      53.61     3.59    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.03  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.63     3.18   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.10R    0.53  
Dag_&_Red            40   42  -19      48.05     3.06   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.36R    2.70  
Macclesfield         40   41  -18      48.85     3.26   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.99R    2.31  
Notts_County         39   40  -14      48.07     3.35   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.00R    3.12  
Mansfield            38   33  -19      42.85     3.79   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.83R   35.74  
Wrexham              37   33  -23      41.84     3.71   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.46R   55.45  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 March 2008, York vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           37   86  +31     103.40     3.94    39.41    98.13   100.00    98.59P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             36   72  +26      91.03     4.13    35.24     1.82    98.92    25.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       38   71  +25      84.25     3.81    28.53     0.03    80.75    19.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       39   71  +22      84.32     3.38    27.76     0.01    85.55    22.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           38   70  +31      84.35     3.81    36.49     0.01    84.24    22.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              37   65  +19      80.91     3.86    25.66     0.00    48.07    10.13P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              40   62   +4      72.23     3.20     7.57     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        39   61  +14      72.49     3.64    16.84     0.00     1.12     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           39   58   +9      67.16     3.58     8.25     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    36   56   +3      71.54     4.38     5.84     0.00     1.00     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
York                37   55   +2      67.49     4.02     1.76     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        37   53   +9      67.28     4.11    11.88     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          38   53   +0      64.25     3.76     0.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      36   52   +2      67.02     4.24     4.09     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       37   50   +5      62.82     4.10     5.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   37   48   +4      60.61     3.97     4.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              39   44   -9      52.61     3.48   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             37   43   -6      51.97     3.90   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            38   36  -19      46.02     3.64   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Altrincham          40   35  -25      39.95     2.95   -30.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.94R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      38   33  -27      40.93     3.48   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.39R    0.00  
Northwich           37   30  -26      37.26     3.46   -35.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.63R    0.02  
Stafford_Rangers    37   19  -43      25.60     3.38   -52.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   28.18  
Droylsden           35   16  -51      22.99     3.70   -67.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   71.81