Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 25 March 2008 at 22:37:59 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 March 2008, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   73  +49      88.01     3.12    57.06    88.29    97.45    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   68  +32      81.93     3.11    39.08     7.53    58.00    98.25    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   67  +35      80.80     3.09    42.02     4.19    43.99    95.49    99.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   59  +31      71.73     3.44    35.63     0.00     0.49     5.23    70.79    99.57     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   57  +22      69.29     3.19    26.95     0.00     0.07     1.03    28.57    97.80     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      31   50  +11      63.28     3.36    16.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77    61.04     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   49  +12      60.79     3.08    15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    24.58     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   49   +4      58.28     3.28     3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     7.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   49   +2      58.46     3.39     1.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.44     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   -3      54.56     3.29    -1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   39   +9      51.93     3.43    15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   34  -16      40.26     3.03   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   32  -24      37.65     2.96   -31.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.11R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -17      36.96     3.05   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.62R    0.00  
Reading         31   31  -21      39.93     3.45   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.71R    0.00  
Sunderland      31   30  -21      37.97     3.40   -23.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.77R    0.00  
Birmingham      31   27  -13      34.51     3.40   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.79R    0.00  
Bolton          31   26  -17      31.92     3.00   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.34R    0.00  
Fulham          31   23  -24      30.48     3.23   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.94R    0.00  
Derby           31   10  -51      13.20     2.35   -62.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            40   68  +12      77.77     3.31    14.28    28.16    54.50    98.28    64.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   67   +1      75.47     3.20     1.38     9.19    23.66    92.94    35.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   65  +15      74.45     3.28    16.81     6.99    20.31    89.16    40.06P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   65  +14      76.45     3.50    16.70    20.35    40.62    95.35    54.94P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   63  +26      77.47     3.84    32.13    34.60    57.25    97.52    70.25P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   59  +11      68.51     3.27    12.89     0.04     0.39    30.37     8.67P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   59   +9      70.24     3.63    11.52     0.58     2.74    49.14    14.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   58   +7      66.60     3.20     7.62     0.02     0.12    11.38     3.22P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   58   +1      67.13     3.56     0.46     0.07     0.33    16.55     3.75P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   57   +6      66.50     3.24     7.92     0.00     0.04    11.88     2.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   55   -1      63.67     3.29    -0.28     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   53   +1      62.78     3.49     1.48     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          38   52   +2      63.67     3.85     3.05     0.00     0.04     4.23     1.01P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR              40   52   -2      59.29     3.25    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston          40   50   -4      57.61     3.18    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.46R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   49   +1      56.31     3.25    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59R    0.00  
Norwich          40   49   -9      55.83     3.18   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.68R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -13      53.18     3.35   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.85R    0.01  
Southampton      40   46  -17      52.06     3.08   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.59R    0.02  
Coventry         39   45  -13      52.38     3.38   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.74R    0.07  
Leicester        40   44   +0      52.82     3.18     1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.25R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        38   44   -5      54.51     3.76    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.53R    0.02  
Scunthorpe       40   38  -22      44.23     3.03   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.40R   19.10  
Colchester       40   33  -20      39.47     3.15   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   80.76  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          39   79  +35      92.92     3.28    42.16    82.14    99.52   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   74  +24      88.36     3.70    29.27    17.64    89.32   100.00    92.07P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        39   69  +21      81.28     3.49    24.89     0.20     9.16    99.81    32.86P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     38   63  +24      77.15     3.60    28.54     0.01     1.92    96.83    33.57P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         39   62  +10      72.83     3.49    11.99     0.00     0.06    69.08    10.20P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   59   +8      68.86     3.46     8.47     0.00     0.00    25.95     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         40   59   +8      67.35     3.22     8.41     0.00     0.00    13.44     2.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            38   57  +27      71.51     3.73    32.40     0.00     0.03    63.79    18.74P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   57  +10      68.64     3.50    12.99     0.00     0.00    26.35     5.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   56   -8      62.33     3.05   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   55   +8      64.87     3.20    10.34     0.00     0.00     3.17     0.64P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   54   +1      62.85     3.26     1.89     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       40   52   +2      59.09     3.17     0.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   52  -14      59.56     3.39   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          39   48   -1      57.88     3.43    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   48  -16      53.10     2.71   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.42R    0.00  
Cheltenham       40   47  -17      52.58     2.88   -20.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.91R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   46   -3      58.16     3.99    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.59R    0.00  
Millwall         40   45  -14      51.54     3.11   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.26R    0.00  
Crewe            40   44  -16      51.39     3.20   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.51R    0.00  
Bournemouth      40   42  -17      48.35     2.93   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.84R    0.00  
Gillingham       39   39  -28      45.01     3.16   -33.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.37R    0.34  
Luton            39   30  -14      37.76     3.31   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   21.03  
Port_Vale        40   29  -30      34.67     2.98   -34.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   78.63  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 March 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Milton_Keynes_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   39   82  +39      96.01     3.35    45.47    78.60    99.78   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   82  +36      92.34     3.25    39.30    20.03    97.30   100.00    98.25P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.40     3.43    26.74     0.77    47.21    99.98    63.85P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           39   73  +30      85.18     3.51    33.78     0.59    51.42    99.95    69.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.43     3.53    17.28     0.00     3.83    96.31    24.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.68     3.17    12.78     0.00     0.12    79.30    17.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   62   +5      72.02     3.32     7.66     0.00     0.00    31.97     5.74P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   60  +15      70.23     3.28    18.01     0.00     0.00    20.23     4.50P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             37   59  +12      75.04     4.19    17.54     0.00     0.32    71.71    16.22P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.48     3.17    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            40   55  -11      61.37     3.19   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   54   -5      62.05     3.49    -7.54     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   51   +1      60.85     3.75    -0.65     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   49  -13      55.95     3.11   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bury                 40   46   -5      54.89     3.32    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Barnet               37   45  -10      55.90     4.03   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.18R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   40   45  -31      52.34     3.26   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.13  
Shrewsbury           39   44   -6      53.61     3.60    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.03  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.65     3.18   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.94R    0.56  
Dag_&_Red            40   42  -19      48.09     3.07   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.24R    2.78  
Macclesfield         40   41  -18      48.84     3.28   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.17R    2.36  
Notts_County         39   40  -14      48.03     3.34   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.47R    3.34  
Mansfield            38   33  -19      42.86     3.77   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.90R   35.71  
Wrexham              37   33  -23      41.87     3.70   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.03R   55.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 March 2008, York vs Northwich; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           37   86  +31     103.41     3.95    39.47    98.08   100.00    98.55P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             36   72  +26      91.08     4.13    35.38     1.84    98.94    25.78P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       38   71  +25      84.29     3.81    28.60     0.04    81.32    20.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       39   71  +22      84.30     3.38    27.71     0.01    85.32    22.18P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           38   70  +31      84.37     3.82    36.54     0.03    84.31    22.89P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              37   65  +19      80.85     3.86    25.57     0.00    47.67     9.61P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              40   62   +4      72.19     3.21     7.49     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        39   61  +14      72.45     3.63    16.79     0.00     1.05     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           39   58   +9      67.20     3.56     8.32     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    36   56   +3      71.66     4.34     5.98     0.00     1.01     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
York                37   55   +2      67.43     4.00     1.65     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        37   53   +9      67.29     4.11    11.93     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          38   53   +0      64.21     3.76     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      36   52   +2      66.99     4.27     4.05     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       37   50   +5      62.82     4.10     5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   37   48   +4      60.63     3.99     4.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              39   44   -9      52.67     3.47   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             37   43   -6      51.91     3.86   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            38   36  -19      46.00     3.66   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.12R    0.00  
Altrincham          40   35  -25      39.89     2.94   -30.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.40R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      38   33  -27      40.95     3.48   -31.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.60R    0.00  
Northwich           37   30  -26      37.31     3.47   -35.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.02R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers    37   19  -43      25.64     3.38   -52.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   27.52  
Droylsden           35   16  -51      22.93     3.66   -67.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   72.47