Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 24 March 2008 at 22:38:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 March 2008, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   73  +49      87.94     3.11    56.97    87.95    97.25    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   68  +32      81.97     3.10    39.15     7.48    58.14    98.34    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   67  +35      80.81     3.10    42.03     4.57    44.04    95.67    99.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   59  +31      71.63     3.46    35.48     0.00     0.50     5.04    70.00    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   57  +22      69.32     3.17    26.99     0.00     0.07     0.98    29.31    97.91     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      31   50  +11      63.33     3.35    16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79    61.60     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   49  +12      60.77     3.12    15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    24.42     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   49   +4      58.27     3.28     3.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     7.49     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   49   +2      58.40     3.42     1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     8.18     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   -3      54.45     3.27    -1.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   39   +9      52.00     3.43    15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   34  -16      40.23     3.05   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   32  -24      37.61     2.98   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.39R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -17      36.92     3.03   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.90R    0.00  
Reading         31   31  -21      39.92     3.45   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.76R    0.00  
Sunderland      31   30  -21      38.10     3.41   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.68R    0.00  
Birmingham      31   27  -13      34.57     3.41   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.40R    0.00  
Bolton          31   26  -17      31.94     3.02   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.86R    0.00  
Fulham          31   23  -24      30.46     3.26   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.28R    0.00  
Derby           31   10  -51      13.24     2.37   -62.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            40   68  +12      77.76     3.30    14.28    27.42    53.99    98.31    64.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   67   +1      75.55     3.24     1.48     9.75    24.49    92.97    36.17P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   65  +15      74.45     3.31    16.81     7.19    20.05    88.86    39.36P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   65  +14      76.47     3.47    16.74    19.99    40.60    95.58    55.10P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   63  +26      77.49     3.84    32.19    34.91    57.28    97.38    70.52P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   59  +11      68.52     3.26    12.92     0.05     0.45    30.60     8.98P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   59   +9      70.25     3.61    11.53     0.58     2.63    49.09    14.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   58   +7      66.60     3.19     7.60     0.01     0.11    11.27     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   58   +1      67.14     3.56     0.48     0.09     0.32    16.27     3.65P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   57   +6      66.51     3.25     7.97     0.00     0.05    12.06     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   55   -1      63.71     3.29    -0.24     0.00     0.00     1.79     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   53   +1      62.78     3.49     1.47     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          38   52   +2      63.70     3.86     3.11     0.00     0.03     4.35     1.07P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              40   52   -2      59.29     3.25    -3.69     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston          40   50   -4      57.56     3.15    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   49   +1      56.30     3.25    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65R    0.00  
Norwich          40   49   -9      55.80     3.17   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.63R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -13      53.16     3.33   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.57R    0.01  
Southampton      40   46  -17      52.01     3.08   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.72R    0.02  
Coventry         39   45  -13      52.30     3.36   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.51R    0.05  
Leicester        40   44   +0      52.82     3.18     1.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.90R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed        38   44   -5      54.55     3.75    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.12R    0.02  
Scunthorpe       40   38  -22      44.19     3.02   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.47R   19.59  
Colchester       40   33  -20      39.51     3.15   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.82R   80.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          39   79  +35      92.94     3.28    42.19    81.96    99.51   100.00    99.66P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   74  +24      88.43     3.71    29.37    17.82    89.75   100.00    92.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        39   69  +21      81.22     3.48    24.80     0.20     8.64    99.86    32.51P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     38   63  +24      77.11     3.59    28.51     0.02     2.03    96.76    33.40P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         39   62  +10      72.80     3.48    11.96     0.00     0.05    69.02    10.10P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         39   59   +8      68.84     3.44     8.49     0.00     0.00    25.49     4.39P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         40   59   +8      67.34     3.22     8.40     0.00     0.00    13.87     2.47P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            38   57  +27      71.51     3.70    32.36     0.00     0.03    63.66    19.03P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          39   57  +10      68.70     3.51    13.07     0.00     0.00    26.75     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   56   -8      62.33     3.04   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           40   55   +8      64.91     3.16    10.41     0.00     0.00     3.05     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      40   54   +1      62.86     3.27     1.91     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       40   52   +2      59.11     3.18     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   52  -14      59.52     3.37   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          39   48   -1      57.94     3.43    -0.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   48  -16      53.12     2.72   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.55R    0.00  
Cheltenham       40   47  -17      52.58     2.88   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.77R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   37   46   -3      58.11     3.99    -3.07     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.56R    0.00  
Millwall         40   45  -14      51.56     3.10   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.81R    0.00  
Crewe            40   44  -16      51.42     3.20   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.18R    0.00  
Bournemouth      40   42  -17      48.32     2.94   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.24R    0.01  
Gillingham       39   39  -28      44.93     3.13   -34.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.89R    0.35  
Luton            39   30  -14      37.84     3.28   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   20.02  
Port_Vale        40   29  -30      34.64     2.98   -34.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   79.62  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 March 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Milton_Keynes_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   39   82  +39      95.96     3.38    45.39    78.01    99.81   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         40   82  +36      92.35     3.24    39.31    20.56    97.45   100.00    98.40P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             39   74  +24      85.42     3.42    26.77     0.83    47.22    99.99    63.40P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           39   73  +30      85.16     3.52    33.75     0.59    51.05    99.95    69.42P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            39   69  +16      79.46     3.53    17.35     0.00     3.96    96.32    24.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   67  +12      75.68     3.17    12.76     0.00     0.10    79.45    18.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   62   +5      72.03     3.34     7.65     0.00     0.00    32.31     5.88P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   60  +15      70.15     3.27    17.91     0.00     0.00    19.74     4.34P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             37   59  +12      75.01     4.21    17.54     0.00     0.41    71.55    16.55P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              40   55   -1      61.47     3.18    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            40   55  -11      61.39     3.20   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            39   54   -5      62.12     3.52    -7.44     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             38   51   +1      60.86     3.75    -0.63     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   49  -13      55.92     3.11   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 40   46   -5      54.84     3.32    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Barnet               37   45  -10      55.91     4.01   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   40   45  -31      52.36     3.27   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49R    0.12  
Shrewsbury           39   44   -6      53.66     3.59    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.05  
Chester              40   43  -15      49.63     3.17   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.20R    0.58  
Dag_&_Red            40   42  -19      48.12     3.07   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.88R    2.54  
Macclesfield         40   41  -18      48.87     3.25   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.74R    2.26  
Notts_County         39   40  -14      48.10     3.32   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.70R    3.05  
Mansfield            38   33  -19      42.79     3.77   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.64R   36.08  
Wrexham              37   33  -23      41.83     3.71   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.67R   55.31  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 24 March 2008, Altrincham vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           37   86  +31     103.44     3.94    39.47    98.18   100.00    98.63P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             36   72  +26      91.03     4.11    35.27     1.78    98.93    25.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       38   71  +25      84.26     3.81    28.51     0.03    80.62    19.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       39   71  +22      84.35     3.37    27.82     0.00    85.72    22.65P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           38   70  +31      84.39     3.80    36.53     0.01    84.79    23.38P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              37   65  +19      80.88     3.83    25.63     0.00    47.43     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              40   62   +4      72.22     3.19     7.57     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        39   61  +14      72.46     3.63    16.78     0.00     1.07     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           39   58   +9      67.15     3.57     8.26     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    36   56   +3      71.53     4.34     5.78     0.00     0.94     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
York                36   54   +2      68.77     4.26     3.27     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        37   53   +9      67.25     4.11    11.83     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          38   53   +0      64.15     3.75     0.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      36   52   +2      67.06     4.27     4.11     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       37   50   +5      62.77     4.11     5.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   37   48   +4      60.66     3.98     4.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              39   44   -9      52.61     3.46   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             37   43   -6      51.95     3.90   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            38   36  -19      46.00     3.67   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.00  
Altrincham          40   35  -25      39.96     2.94   -30.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.80R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      38   33  -27      41.02     3.47   -31.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.55R    0.00  
Northwich           36   29  -26      36.85     3.68   -36.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.73R    0.02  
Stafford_Rangers    37   19  -43      25.65     3.39   -52.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   27.46  
Droylsden           35   16  -51      22.95     3.67   -67.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   72.52