Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 March 2008 at 22:39:52 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 March 2008, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   73  +49      88.03     3.10    57.07    88.46    97.52    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   68  +32      81.95     3.10    39.13     7.18    57.96    98.19    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   67  +35      80.81     3.08    42.04     4.36    44.02    95.51    99.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   59  +31      71.74     3.46    35.64     0.00     0.47     5.37    71.11    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   57  +22      69.29     3.16    26.98     0.00     0.04     0.94    28.28    97.91     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      31   50  +11      63.27     3.36    16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74    61.64     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   49  +12      60.73     3.08    15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    24.29     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   49   +4      58.26     3.28     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     7.73     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   49   +2      58.38     3.39     1.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.07     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   -3      54.57     3.28    -1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   39   +9      52.00     3.41    15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   34  -16      40.30     3.06   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   32  -24      37.60     2.95   -31.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.15R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -17      36.94     3.02   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.33R    0.00  
Reading         31   31  -21      39.88     3.43   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.71R    0.00  
Sunderland      31   30  -21      38.01     3.40   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.78R    0.00  
Birmingham      31   27  -13      34.57     3.42   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.19R    0.00  
Bolton          31   26  -17      31.88     3.00   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.01R    0.00  
Fulham          31   23  -24      30.49     3.22   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.06R    0.00  
Derby           31   10  -51      13.20     2.37   -62.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            40   68  +12      77.74     3.33    14.23    27.77    53.97    98.30    64.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   67   +1      75.50     3.23     1.43     9.63    24.38    92.69    35.97P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   65  +15      74.39     3.29    16.75     7.08    20.14    88.79    39.72P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   65  +14      76.45     3.46    16.69    20.20    40.49    95.62    54.88P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   63  +26      77.47     3.83    32.14    34.55    57.26    97.47    70.70P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   59  +11      68.56     3.26    12.95     0.06     0.42    30.73     8.55P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   59   +9      70.26     3.63    11.52     0.64     2.81    49.13    14.43P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   58   +7      66.60     3.20     7.62     0.02     0.14    11.32     3.11P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   58   +1      67.09     3.56     0.40     0.05     0.33    16.13     3.70P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   57   +6      66.57     3.25     8.04     0.00     0.04    12.34     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   55   -1      63.66     3.28    -0.31     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   53   +1      62.87     3.53     1.57     0.00     0.01     1.51     0.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          38   52   +2      63.74     3.87     3.17     0.00     0.03     4.23     1.03P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              40   52   -2      59.27     3.25    -3.67     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston          40   50   -4      57.58     3.17    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   49   +1      56.31     3.23    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.59R    0.00  
Norwich          40   49   -9      55.83     3.18   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.69R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -13      53.19     3.34   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.67R    0.01  
Southampton      40   46  -17      52.02     3.07   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.48R    0.02  
Coventry         39   45  -13      52.31     3.39   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.47R    0.06  
Leicester        40   44   +0      52.80     3.16     1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.10R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed        38   44   -5      54.55     3.77    -5.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.08R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       40   38  -22      44.20     3.02   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.49R   19.29  
Colchester       40   33  -20      39.48     3.14   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.85R   80.57  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Brighton vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          38   78  +35      94.33     3.49    43.67    90.60    99.54   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   71  +22      87.21     3.96    27.98     9.01    77.80    99.99    83.44P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        38   68  +21      82.06     3.75    25.49     0.35    17.50    99.80    39.47P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     37   62  +24      78.09     3.87    29.38     0.05     5.06    96.75    34.95P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         38   59   +9      70.94     3.78    10.59     0.00     0.05    46.64     6.72P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         39   59   +9      69.03     3.53     9.84     0.00     0.00    26.95     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   58   +8      68.52     3.69     7.49     0.00     0.00    22.42     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            38   57  +27      71.51     3.72    32.38     0.00     0.05    60.78    18.26P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   56  +10      69.86     3.78    14.15     0.00     0.01    38.88     7.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   56   -7      63.76     3.33    -9.73     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           39   54   +8      64.74     3.45     9.72     0.00     0.00     3.60     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   54   +3      63.80     3.49     3.21     0.00     0.00     2.21     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   52  -14      59.50     3.38   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       39   49   +0      57.96     3.44    -1.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Swindon          38   48   +0      59.57     3.75     0.99     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil           39   48  -14      54.10     3.02   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   45   -3      57.47     4.15    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.85R    0.00  
Millwall         39   44  -14      52.23     3.43   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.83R    0.00  
Cheltenham       39   44  -18      50.89     3.20   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.59R    0.00  
Crewe            39   43  -16      51.09     3.39   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.86R    0.00  
Bournemouth      39   39  -18      46.42     3.23   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.92R    0.04  
Gillingham       38   39  -27      46.15     3.44   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.23R    0.17  
Luton            38   29  -14      37.88     3.58   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.43R   14.29  
Port_Vale        39   26  -31      33.20     3.31   -35.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   85.50  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Barnet vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   38   79  +38      95.47     3.54    46.31    75.18    99.00   100.00    99.45P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   79  +35      91.57     3.49    39.70    18.92    91.68   100.00    94.65P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             38   74  +25      87.53     3.72    28.91     4.00    57.45    99.98    71.07P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           38   72  +30      86.34     3.75    34.94     1.89    48.82    99.95    68.15P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            38   68  +16      79.56     3.81    16.91     0.02     2.84    93.73    21.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   66  +12      76.19     3.51    12.93     0.00     0.14    76.25    17.47P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   62   +8      73.54     3.62    10.87     0.00     0.01    48.18     9.46P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   60  +16      71.95     3.58    19.60     0.00     0.00    35.49     8.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             36   56   +9      72.94     4.48    13.80     0.00     0.05    45.61     9.83P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              39   55   +0      63.24     3.49    -2.02     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   53   -5      61.71     3.71    -8.60     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            39   52  -12      59.36     3.46   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             37   48   +0      58.79     3.97    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         39   46  -14      53.59     3.33   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.02  
Barnet               36   45   -7      57.90     4.35    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.09R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   39   45  -30      52.78     3.45   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.16  
Shrewsbury           38   43   -6      54.34     3.86    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.06  
Bury                 39   43   -7      53.40     3.62    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.08  
Chester              39   43  -14      50.27     3.40   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.58R    0.63  
Dag_&_Red            39   41  -19      48.54     3.38   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.90R    3.76  
Notts_County         38   39  -14      48.20     3.61   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.32R    3.92  
Macclesfield         39   38  -21      46.78     3.53   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.61R    9.88  
Mansfield            37   33  -17      44.09     4.06   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.66R   26.90  
Wrexham              36   32  -23      42.19     4.01   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.67R   54.58  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Aldershot vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           36   83  +30     101.85     4.27    38.61    96.60    99.99    97.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       38   71  +23      86.12     3.65    29.40     0.19    88.07    24.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           37   70  +32      86.11     4.07    38.06     0.34    87.30    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             35   69  +25      89.77     4.42    35.06     2.70    96.04    24.59P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       37   68  +24      83.29     4.07    28.51     0.09    64.05    15.34P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              36   65  +21      83.03     4.12    28.92     0.08    61.75    13.33P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        38   61  +15      73.44     3.92    17.10     0.00     1.84     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              39   61   +4      72.80     3.50     7.90     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           38   58  +10      68.79     3.83     9.70     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
York                36   54   +2      68.77     4.30     3.25     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        36   53  +10      68.46     4.40    12.61     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    35   53   +2      69.51     4.58     4.24     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      35   51   +2      67.06     4.51     3.67     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          37   50   -1      62.14     4.00    -1.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   36   48   +6      62.17     4.24     7.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       36   47   +3      61.07     4.39     3.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             36   43   -4      54.41     4.20    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              38   41  -10      50.67     3.70   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Weymouth            37   33  -21      43.56     3.93   -23.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.29R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      37   33  -26      41.91     3.74   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.89R    0.00  
Altrincham          39   32  -27      38.76     3.26   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.60R    0.00  
Northwich           36   29  -26      36.80     3.67   -36.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.99R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers    36   19  -41      26.73     3.68   -51.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.25R   11.90  
Droylsden           34   13  -53      20.40     3.85   -71.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   88.09