Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 22 March 2008 at 22:37:32 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Aston_Villa vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   70  +46      86.62     3.44    54.26    77.74    94.76    99.61   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   67  +36      82.05     3.38    42.96    14.75    64.47    95.33    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   65  +31      80.48     3.45    38.33     7.44    39.18    92.28    99.44   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   59  +34      72.86     3.65    38.41     0.07     1.53    11.53    78.19    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   57  +22      69.19     3.16    26.81     0.00     0.05     1.25    21.89    97.68     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      31   50  +11      63.35     3.33    16.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57    61.44     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     31   49  +12      60.81     3.11    15.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    24.78     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       31   49   +4      58.29     3.28     3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.58     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   49   +2      58.39     3.38     1.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.92     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        31   44   -3      54.57     3.28    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   39   +9      51.91     3.43    15.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   31   34  -16      40.31     3.06   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   32  -24      37.63     2.97   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.94R    0.00  
Wigan           31   31  -17      36.95     3.04   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.32R    0.00  
Reading         31   31  -21      39.97     3.44   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.41R    0.00  
Sunderland      31   30  -21      37.94     3.40   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.78R    0.00  
Birmingham      31   27  -13      34.49     3.40   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.44R    0.00  
Bolton          31   26  -17      31.89     2.99   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.80R    0.00  
Fulham          31   23  -24      30.43     3.23   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.66R    0.00  
Derby           31   10  -51      13.15     2.34   -62.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Barnsley vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            40   68  +12      77.75     3.33    14.23    27.88    53.99    98.26    63.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   67   +1      75.58     3.22     1.53     9.70    25.10    93.32    37.10P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   65  +15      74.45     3.28    16.82     7.10    20.23    89.05    39.82P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   65  +14      76.41     3.46    16.63    19.86    39.90    95.49    54.38P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   63  +26      77.46     3.84    32.14    34.71    57.02    97.30    70.15P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         40   59  +11      68.51     3.25    12.88     0.06     0.42    30.11     8.59P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   59   +9      70.27     3.62    11.56     0.61     2.79    49.37    14.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   40   58   +7      66.62     3.20     7.64     0.02     0.14    11.45     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    39   58   +1      67.11     3.54     0.44     0.06     0.35    16.27     3.73P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   57   +6      66.48     3.27     7.92     0.00     0.04    11.92     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   55   -1      63.70     3.28    -0.27     0.00     0.00     1.81     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        39   53   +1      62.80     3.50     1.47     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          38   52   +2      63.69     3.86     3.09     0.00     0.03     4.07     1.02P    0.01R    0.00  
QPR              40   52   -2      59.28     3.24    -3.69     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Preston          40   50   -4      57.57     3.15    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Blackpool        40   49   +1      56.33     3.24    -0.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74R    0.00  
Norwich          40   49   -9      55.81     3.18   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   46  -13      53.15     3.32   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.16R    0.01  
Southampton      40   46  -17      52.05     3.06   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.47R    0.02  
Coventry         39   45  -13      52.36     3.38   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.77R    0.05  
Leicester        40   44   +0      52.83     3.15     1.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.88R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed        38   44   -5      54.54     3.75    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.19R    0.01  
Scunthorpe       40   38  -22      44.18     3.02   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.54R   19.48  
Colchester       40   33  -20      39.49     3.16   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.86R   80.38  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Brighton vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          38   78  +35      94.31     3.49    43.69    90.57    99.54   100.00    99.69P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   71  +22      87.19     3.96    27.97     9.03    77.50    99.99    83.19P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        38   68  +21      82.09     3.77    25.50     0.37    17.87    99.75    39.10P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     37   62  +24      78.10     3.85    29.39     0.04     4.99    96.84    35.30P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         38   59   +9      70.93     3.78    10.55     0.00     0.05    46.58     6.90P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         39   59   +9      69.01     3.53     9.83     0.00     0.00    26.42     4.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   58   +8      68.58     3.69     7.55     0.00     0.00    22.81     3.72P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            38   57  +27      71.51     3.72    32.39     0.00     0.04    60.68    17.84P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          38   56  +10      69.89     3.76    14.19     0.00     0.00    39.00     8.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   56   -7      63.74     3.34    -9.75     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           39   54   +8      64.77     3.44     9.75     0.00     0.00     3.64     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      39   54   +3      63.81     3.50     3.22     0.00     0.00     2.32     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   52  -14      59.52     3.39   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       39   49   +0      57.98     3.46    -1.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Swindon          38   48   +0      59.60     3.76     1.06     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil           39   48  -14      54.07     3.02   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.31R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   36   45   -3      57.46     4.18    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.89R    0.00  
Millwall         39   44  -14      52.22     3.42   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.65R    0.00  
Cheltenham       39   44  -18      50.85     3.18   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.86R    0.00  
Crewe            39   43  -16      51.10     3.40   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.82R    0.00  
Bournemouth      39   39  -18      46.39     3.23   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.91R    0.05  
Gillingham       38   39  -27      46.17     3.45   -33.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.04R    0.22  
Luton            38   29  -14      37.87     3.58   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.44R   14.41  
Port_Vale        39   26  -31      33.19     3.33   -35.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   85.32  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Barnet vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   38   79  +38      95.45     3.58    46.29    75.31    98.91   100.00    99.36P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         39   79  +35      91.51     3.48    39.64    18.73    91.50   100.00    94.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             38   74  +25      87.56     3.68    28.96     3.99    57.31    99.99    70.87P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           38   72  +30      86.40     3.76    34.99     1.95    49.26    99.93    69.06P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            38   68  +16      79.62     3.78    17.05     0.01     2.85    94.01    22.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   66  +12      76.11     3.51    12.86     0.00     0.12    75.86    17.13P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   62   +8      73.46     3.62    10.73     0.00     0.00    47.53     8.92P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         39   60  +16      71.97     3.56    19.62     0.00     0.00    35.88     8.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             36   56   +9      72.97     4.47    13.85     0.00     0.05    46.00     9.90P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              39   55   +0      63.19     3.47    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            38   53   -5      61.72     3.68    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            39   52  -12      59.37     3.45   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford             37   48   +0      58.76     4.02    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         39   46  -14      53.60     3.37   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.03  
Barnet               36   45   -7      58.01     4.35    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   45  -30      52.78     3.42   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.33R    0.12  
Shrewsbury           38   43   -6      54.33     3.89    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.08  
Bury                 39   43   -7      53.45     3.63    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.06  
Chester              39   43  -14      50.26     3.38   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.56R    0.60  
Dag_&_Red            39   41  -19      48.52     3.38   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.82R    3.75  
Notts_County         38   39  -14      48.17     3.65   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.49R    4.22  
Macclesfield         39   38  -21      46.69     3.53   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.44R   10.17  
Mansfield            37   33  -17      44.10     4.07   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.27R   26.93  
Wrexham              36   32  -23      42.20     4.00   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.41R   54.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 March 2008, Aldershot vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           36   83  +30     101.70     4.26    38.39    96.39   100.00    97.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       38   71  +23      86.13     3.65    29.43     0.20    88.19    24.21P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           37   70  +32      86.19     4.09    38.18     0.37    87.32    25.33P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             35   69  +25      89.75     4.39    34.98     2.86    96.00    24.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       37   68  +24      83.18     4.07    28.35     0.09    62.51    15.06P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              36   65  +21      83.15     4.12    29.14     0.09    63.06    13.44P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        38   61  +15      73.54     3.91    17.27     0.00     1.96     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              39   61   +4      72.74     3.48     7.78     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           38   58  +10      68.75     3.79     9.68     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
York                36   54   +2      68.79     4.28     3.26     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        36   53  +10      68.60     4.34    12.79     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    35   53   +2      69.50     4.58     4.21     0.00     0.31     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      35   51   +2      67.00     4.51     3.59     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          37   50   -1      62.11     3.99    -1.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   36   48   +6      62.09     4.26     6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       36   47   +3      61.03     4.36     3.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             36   43   -4      54.35     4.22    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              38   41  -10      50.70     3.72   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth            37   33  -21      43.58     3.88   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.26R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      37   33  -26      41.95     3.73   -31.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.65R    0.00  
Altrincham          39   32  -27      38.77     3.26   -32.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.65R    0.00  
Northwich           36   29  -26      36.79     3.68   -36.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.11R    0.02  
Stafford_Rangers    36   19  -41      26.67     3.68   -51.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.35R   12.77  
Droylsden           34   13  -53      20.52     3.87   -71.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   87.21