Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 20 March 2008 at 23:05:59 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 March 2008, Man_Utd vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   70  +46      86.53     3.45    54.15    77.18    94.61    99.65    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   67  +36      82.06     3.37    42.99    15.33    64.34    95.17    99.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   65  +31      80.49     3.42    38.30     7.39    39.19    91.30    99.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   59  +34      72.85     3.63    38.37     0.10     1.65    11.00    69.59    99.14     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   56  +22      70.42     3.42    28.10     0.00     0.22     2.86    29.52    95.74     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   50  +13      64.79     3.65    19.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.56    57.66     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   49  +13      63.40     3.32    18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62    38.62     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   48   +2      58.93     3.71     2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     6.11     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   46   +2      57.24     3.53     2.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.33     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   43   -3      54.07     3.49    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   36   +7      50.28     3.76    13.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   31  -15      37.70     3.28   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   31  -17      39.66     3.35   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   29  -26      36.10     3.28   -33.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.12R    0.00  
Reading         30   28  -22      38.52     3.77   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.53R    0.00  
Birmingham      30   27  -12      35.60     3.69   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.65R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   27  -22      35.14     3.56   -26.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.56R    0.00  
Bolton          30   25  -17      32.16     3.33   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.15R    0.00  
Fulham          30   23  -22      31.82     3.56   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.92R    0.00  
Derby           30   10  -50      13.71     2.58   -62.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 March 2008, Colchester vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            39   67  +12      78.59     3.61    14.97    31.79    59.00    98.58    68.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   67   +2      76.82     3.52     2.35    14.66    34.34    95.75    45.16P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   64  +14      76.60     3.76    16.38    17.56    37.74    94.37    52.27P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   62  +26      77.99     4.12    32.39    33.22    57.49    97.33    70.39P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   62  +13      72.50     3.56    14.43     2.18     7.85    73.10    25.69P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   58  +11      69.19     3.58    13.34     0.16     1.10    39.93    12.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   57   +7      66.95     3.48     7.65     0.04     0.31    15.91     4.35P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   57   +1      67.82     3.84     0.94     0.13     0.63    22.56     5.20P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   56   +8      68.96     3.87    11.00     0.23     1.31    36.63    10.39P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         39   56   +6      66.81     3.60     7.83     0.04     0.21    16.46     4.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   55   +0      65.11     3.58     0.82     0.00     0.02     5.91     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              39   51   -2      59.52     3.53    -3.84     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.19R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   50   +0      61.05     3.78     0.33     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.18P    0.14R    0.00  
Cardiff          37   49   +1      62.06     4.14     2.14     0.00     0.01     2.49     0.58P    0.12R    0.00  
Blackpool        39   48   +1      56.16     3.49    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.88R    0.00  
Preston          39   47   -5      55.89     3.47    -5.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.72R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   46  -12      54.70     3.65   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.40R    0.04  
Norwich          39   46  -13      53.93     3.41   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.54R    0.08  
Southampton      39   45  -17      52.70     3.39   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.07R    0.16  
Leicester        39   44   +2      54.40     3.45     3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.96R    0.06  
Coventry         38   44  -13      52.41     3.69   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.77R    0.38  
Sheff_Wed        37   43   -5      54.87     3.98    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   10.71R    0.11  
Scunthorpe       39   38  -21      45.24     3.29   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.32R   22.67  
Colchester       39   33  -16      40.84     3.47   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.18R   76.50  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 20 March 2008, Tranmere vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          37   77  +35      95.00     3.85    44.15    93.68    99.22   100.00    99.48P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        37   68  +22      84.09     4.00    27.36     1.77    41.67    99.90    57.79P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         36   68  +19      85.42     4.28    24.68     4.52    54.98    99.91    66.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     36   59  +23      76.50     4.13    28.44     0.03     3.91    91.70    32.95P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         39   59   +9      68.99     3.52     9.80     0.00     0.00    26.66     5.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   58   +9      71.05     4.07    10.15     0.00     0.12    48.06     7.44P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   56  +12      71.08     4.01    15.99     0.00     0.06    51.52    11.24P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   56   -4      65.14     3.68    -6.70     0.00     0.00     4.73     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   55   +7      67.18     4.00     6.92     0.00     0.00    15.82     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   54  +25      70.16     3.98    30.78     0.00     0.05    46.28    13.89P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   54   +4      65.16     3.79     4.30     0.00     0.00     6.11     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           38   53   +8      65.80     3.71    10.68     0.00     0.00     7.93     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       38   49   +2      59.58     3.73     1.36     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     38   49  -15      57.17     3.58   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.15R    0.00  
Swindon          37   48   +1      60.63     4.03     1.57     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   45   -2      59.45     4.42    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.08P    0.19R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   45  -15      51.87     3.23   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.23R    0.00  
Millwall         38   43  -14      51.99     3.66   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.44R    0.00  
Cheltenham       38   43  -18      50.75     3.43   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.07R    0.00  
Crewe            38   40  -18      49.06     3.66   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.58R    0.01  
Bournemouth      38   39  -17      47.89     3.57   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.37R    0.04  
Gillingham       37   36  -28      44.42     3.75   -34.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.80R    1.10  
Luton            37   28  -14      38.71     3.82   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.13R   11.52  
Port_Vale        39   26  -31      33.16     3.32   -35.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   87.33  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 March 2008, Rochdale vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   37   78  +38      95.96     3.87    46.49    70.57    97.83   100.00    98.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         38   78  +35      91.61     3.79    39.20    18.51    84.58   100.00    90.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             37   73  +25      88.48     3.98    29.82     5.19    52.83    99.98    68.24P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           37   72  +31      88.87     3.99    37.63     5.72    63.41    99.99    77.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            37   65  +14      78.56     4.07    15.87     0.01     1.15    88.47    19.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   63  +11      74.77     3.81    12.25     0.00     0.03    61.49    13.76P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +8      74.22     3.92    11.30     0.00     0.00    55.18    10.97P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   57  +14      71.09     3.81    18.84     0.00     0.00    28.03     6.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             35   56  +10      75.19     4.70    16.10     0.00     0.17    65.64    14.41P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   53   -4      62.76     3.95    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              38   52   -1      61.65     3.78    -3.02     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            38   49  -14      57.76     3.70   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             36   47   +0      58.96     4.26    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   46  -11      55.21     3.70   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   38   45  -28      53.53     3.65   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.16  
Shrewsbury           37   42   -6      54.99     4.13    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.12  
Bury                 38   42   -7      53.15     3.86    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.16  
Barnet               35   42  -10      55.65     4.56   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.70R    0.12  
Chester              38   40  -15      47.66     3.55   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.30R    5.76  
Dag_&_Red            38   40  -19      48.52     3.67   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.20R    5.30  
Macclesfield         38   38  -19      47.79     3.82   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.02R    8.35  
Notts_County         37   36  -15      45.85     3.86   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.97R   15.97  
Mansfield            36   33  -16      45.50     4.35   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.58R   21.24  
Wrexham              35   32  -21      43.60     4.31   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.30R   42.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 20 March 2008, Grays_Athletic vs Droylsden; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           35   80  +29     101.37     4.42    39.80    95.86    99.99    96.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       37   70  +23      87.58     3.84    31.17     0.73    95.33    27.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           36   67  +30      85.01     4.33    36.81     0.32    84.67    24.16P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             34   66  +23      89.11     4.62    34.79     2.96    95.85    24.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       36   65  +23      81.73     4.35    27.60     0.07    57.85    13.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              35   62  +20      81.85     4.39    28.71     0.06    59.74    12.74P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              38   60   +4      72.98     3.77     7.54     0.00     1.33     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        37   58  +14      72.25     4.18    16.73     0.00     2.24     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           37   57  +10      69.29     4.10     9.93     0.00     0.34     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        35   53  +11      69.60     4.63    13.21     0.00     0.85     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    34   53   +4      70.47     4.81     5.56     0.00     1.24     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
York                35   53   +2      68.96     4.54     2.94     0.00     0.43     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      35   51   +2      67.00     4.55     3.58     0.00     0.13     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   35   47   +6      62.87     4.55     7.55     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       35   47   +4      61.96     4.63     3.81     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          36   47   -4      59.78     4.24    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             35   43   -1      56.39     4.55    -3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              37   41   -9      51.63     3.96   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      36   33  -22      43.91     4.06   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.82R    0.00  
Weymouth            36   32  -21      42.96     4.02   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.65R    0.00  
Altrincham          38   32  -26      39.17     3.41   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.09R    0.00  
Northwich           35   26  -30      34.71     3.89   -41.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.86R    0.12  
Stafford_Rangers    35   19  -39      27.35     3.88   -51.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.60R   10.12  
Droylsden           34   13  -53      20.28     3.85   -71.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   89.76