Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 19 March 2008 at 22:37:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 19 March 2008, Man_Utd vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   70  +46      86.53     3.47    54.12    76.86    94.32    99.63    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   67  +36      82.06     3.38    42.99    15.54    64.29    95.07    99.57   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   65  +31      80.52     3.43    38.34     7.52    39.56    91.46    99.07   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   59  +34      72.87     3.65    38.42     0.07     1.64    11.14    69.88    99.10     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   56  +22      70.40     3.41    28.09     0.00     0.18     2.69    29.12    95.70     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   50  +13      64.77     3.68    18.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.69    57.19     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   49  +13      63.45     3.33    18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62    39.20     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   48   +2      58.95     3.71     2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     6.07     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   46   +2      57.25     3.55     2.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.36     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   43   -3      54.08     3.49    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   36   +7      50.23     3.75    12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   31  -15      37.73     3.28   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.89R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   31  -17      39.66     3.34   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.06R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   29  -26      36.18     3.29   -33.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.50R    0.00  
Reading         30   28  -22      38.51     3.77   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.55R    0.00  
Birmingham      30   27  -12      35.56     3.69   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.13R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   27  -22      35.10     3.56   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.46R    0.00  
Bolton          30   25  -17      32.19     3.33   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.38R    0.00  
Fulham          30   23  -22      31.80     3.56   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.02R    0.01  
Derby           30   10  -50      13.66     2.53   -62.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.99  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 March 2008, Colchester vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            39   67  +12      78.54     3.62    14.89    31.43    58.63    98.43    67.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   67   +2      76.77     3.50     2.31    14.48    33.87    95.76    44.49P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   64  +14      76.64     3.75    16.45    17.74    38.34    94.41    52.90P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   62  +26      77.98     4.14    32.37    33.61    57.68    97.17    70.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   62  +13      72.52     3.56    14.44     2.13     7.97    73.22    25.66P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   58  +11      69.19     3.55    13.36     0.17     1.07    39.98    12.21P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   57   +7      66.92     3.45     7.63     0.04     0.23    15.52     4.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   57   +1      67.84     3.83     0.99     0.16     0.74    22.56     5.55P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   56   +8      68.94     3.87    10.98     0.21     1.27    36.75    10.21P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         39   56   +6      66.81     3.58     7.84     0.02     0.18    16.63     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   55   +0      65.07     3.56     0.79     0.00     0.01     5.82     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              39   51   -2      59.47     3.53    -3.88     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.23R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   50   +0      61.06     3.80     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.22P    0.14R    0.00  
Cardiff          37   49   +1      62.12     4.15     2.19     0.00     0.01     2.69     0.67P    0.12R    0.00  
Blackpool        39   48   +1      56.18     3.51    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.72R    0.00  
Preston          39   47   -5      55.91     3.44    -5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.01  
Barnsley         38   46  -12      54.66     3.64   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.57R    0.03  
Norwich          39   46  -13      53.95     3.43   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.77R    0.07  
Southampton      39   45  -17      52.74     3.38   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.40R    0.12  
Leicester        39   44   +2      54.43     3.46     3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.92R    0.08  
Coventry         38   44  -13      52.38     3.65   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.03R    0.43  
Sheff_Wed        37   43   -5      54.84     4.00    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.00R    0.09  
Scunthorpe       39   38  -21      45.21     3.29   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.45R   23.16  
Colchester       39   33  -16      40.89     3.46   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R   76.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 March 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          37   77  +35      95.00     3.84    44.15    93.71    99.26   100.00    99.48P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        37   68  +22      84.10     3.98    27.36     1.67    41.95    99.93    57.88P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         36   68  +19      85.40     4.25    24.69     4.57    54.77    99.94    65.88P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     36   59  +23      76.59     4.12    28.57     0.05     3.79    92.62    33.33P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   58   +9      71.07     4.07    10.18     0.00     0.09    49.21     7.48P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   56  +12      71.09     4.00    15.96     0.00     0.07    53.02    11.71P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   56   +7      67.96     3.77     8.71     0.00     0.00    20.56     3.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   56   -4      65.08     3.63    -6.76     0.00     0.00     4.77     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   55   +7      67.12     4.00     6.84     0.00     0.00    16.14     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   54  +25      70.15     3.98    30.77     0.00     0.05    47.44    14.04P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   54   +4      65.14     3.76     4.26     0.00     0.00     6.37     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           38   53   +8      65.79     3.70    10.65     0.00     0.00     8.31     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       38   49   +2      59.60     3.73     1.39     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     38   49  -15      57.16     3.59   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.15R    0.00  
Swindon          37   48   +1      60.69     4.02     1.66     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   45   -2      59.48     4.41    -2.68     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.10P    0.22R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   45  -15      51.83     3.24   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.70R    0.00  
Millwall         38   43  -14      51.93     3.63   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.70R    0.00  
Cheltenham       38   43  -18      50.77     3.47   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.34R    0.00  
Crewe            38   40  -18      49.08     3.67   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.33R    0.02  
Bournemouth      38   39  -17      47.94     3.55   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.07R    0.05  
Gillingham       37   36  -28      44.46     3.77   -34.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.57R    1.77  
Luton            37   28  -14      38.74     3.87   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.91R   14.81  
Port_Vale        38   26  -29      33.88     3.49   -34.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   83.35  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 March 2008, Rochdale vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   37   78  +38      96.00     3.87    46.54    70.88    97.78   100.00    98.65P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         38   78  +35      91.62     3.77    39.25    18.50    84.67   100.00    90.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             37   73  +25      88.45     3.99    29.78     5.01    52.45    99.99    67.69P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           37   72  +31      88.90     3.98    37.65     5.61    63.71    99.97    78.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            37   65  +14      78.55     4.05    15.88     0.01     1.17    88.56    19.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   63  +11      74.69     3.79    12.14     0.00     0.03    61.17    13.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +8      74.16     3.90    11.20     0.00     0.01    55.48    11.09P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   57  +14      71.02     3.84    18.73     0.00     0.00    27.99     6.50P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             35   56  +10      75.12     4.74    15.99     0.00     0.18    65.54    14.61P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   53   -4      62.76     3.94    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              38   52   -1      61.68     3.79    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            38   49  -14      57.78     3.71   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             36   47   +0      58.99     4.28    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   46  -11      55.16     3.67   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   38   45  -28      53.53     3.64   -32.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.15  
Shrewsbury           37   42   -6      55.02     4.17    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.15  
Bury                 38   42   -7      53.18     3.86    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.08R    0.20  
Barnet               35   42  -10      55.68     4.58   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.67R    0.11  
Chester              38   40  -15      47.62     3.54   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.09R    6.10  
Dag_&_Red            38   40  -19      48.57     3.63   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.83R    5.28  
Macclesfield         38   38  -19      47.77     3.81   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.99R    8.41  
Notts_County         37   36  -15      45.91     3.90   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.81R   16.10  
Mansfield            36   33  -16      45.49     4.33   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.75R   21.50  
Wrexham              35   32  -21      43.70     4.30   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.89R   41.99  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 March 2008, Crawley_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           35   80  +29     101.32     4.44    39.70    95.55   100.00    96.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       37   70  +23      87.59     3.85    31.14     0.91    95.37    28.27P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           36   67  +30      84.98     4.31    36.79     0.38    84.85    24.14P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             34   66  +23      89.09     4.63    34.76     2.96    95.78    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       36   65  +23      81.69     4.41    27.56     0.10    57.48    13.45P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              35   62  +20      81.85     4.41    28.70     0.10    59.93    12.62P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              38   60   +4      72.92     3.81     7.42     0.00     1.37     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        37   58  +14      72.27     4.17    16.75     0.00     2.26     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           37   57  +10      69.38     4.12    10.06     0.00     0.41     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        35   53  +11      69.58     4.59    13.19     0.00     0.81     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    34   53   +4      70.46     4.82     5.50     0.00     1.25     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
York                35   53   +2      68.97     4.56     2.96     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      34   48   +0      66.03     4.73     2.60     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   35   47   +6      62.89     4.54     7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       35   47   +4      61.89     4.61     3.71     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          36   47   -4      59.79     4.24    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             35   43   -1      56.45     4.52    -3.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              37   41   -9      51.72     3.95   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      36   33  -22      43.97     4.07   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.89R    0.00  
Weymouth            36   32  -21      43.01     4.04   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.73R    0.00  
Altrincham          38   32  -26      39.13     3.42   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.32R    0.00  
Northwich           35   26  -30      34.70     3.90   -41.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.46R    0.19  
Stafford_Rangers    35   19  -39      27.33     3.87   -51.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.63R   12.30  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.90     3.98   -70.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   87.51