Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 18 March 2008 at 22:37:28 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 March 2008, Birmingham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 29 67 +44 86.12 3.57 54.40 70.94 91.31 99.38 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 67 +36 82.05 3.34 43.03 15.59 58.75 95.13 99.64 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 64 +31 81.54 3.72 39.13 13.39 48.43 93.57 99.19 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 59 +34 72.82 3.66 38.35 0.08 1.35 9.55 70.07 99.02 0.00 0.00 Everton 30 56 +22 70.31 3.43 28.00 0.00 0.16 2.34 28.80 95.44 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 30 50 +13 64.78 3.66 19.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.60 57.13 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 30 49 +13 63.48 3.35 18.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66 39.98 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 48 +2 58.82 3.69 1.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 5.60 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 30 46 +2 57.27 3.57 2.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.38 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 30 43 -3 54.15 3.49 -2.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 35 +7 50.21 4.05 12.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 Wigan 30 31 -15 37.68 3.28 -22.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.26R 0.00 Middlesbrough 30 31 -17 39.70 3.35 -20.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.08R 0.00 Newcastle 30 29 -26 36.14 3.27 -33.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.89R 0.00 Reading 30 28 -22 38.51 3.77 -23.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.75R 0.00 Birmingham 30 27 -12 35.61 3.71 -15.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.19R 0.00 Sunderland 30 27 -22 35.12 3.56 -26.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.68R 0.00 Bolton 29 25 -15 32.36 3.40 -23.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.33R 0.00 Fulham 30 23 -22 31.85 3.57 -25.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.83R 0.01 Derby 30 10 -50 13.64 2.55 -62.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.99Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 March 2008, Colchester vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Stoke 39 67 +12 78.56 3.61 14.94 31.67 58.70 98.46 68.20P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 39 67 +2 76.84 3.49 2.39 14.87 34.63 95.94 45.82P 0.00 0.00 Watford 38 64 +14 76.62 3.77 16.42 17.87 38.13 94.30 52.10P 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 37 62 +26 77.92 4.14 32.23 32.93 57.08 97.07 69.91P 0.00 0.00 Hull 39 62 +13 72.48 3.56 14.41 2.09 7.88 72.99 25.78P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 39 58 +11 69.17 3.57 13.33 0.17 1.05 40.10 11.73P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 39 57 +7 66.98 3.46 7.66 0.03 0.24 15.94 4.43P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 38 57 +1 67.80 3.85 0.93 0.14 0.74 22.26 5.22P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 38 56 +8 68.90 3.90 10.93 0.22 1.32 36.23 10.28P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 39 56 +6 66.86 3.59 7.90 0.01 0.18 16.98 4.21P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 39 55 +0 65.13 3.57 0.87 0.00 0.02 6.09 1.39P 0.00 0.00 QPR 39 51 -2 59.50 3.51 -3.81 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.05P 0.21R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 38 50 +0 61.09 3.81 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.20P 0.15R 0.00 Cardiff 37 49 +1 62.15 4.14 2.23 0.00 0.01 2.64 0.67P 0.13R 0.00 Blackpool 39 48 +1 56.18 3.52 -1.26 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 2.85R 0.00 Preston 39 47 -5 55.95 3.46 -5.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.53R 0.00 Barnsley 38 46 -12 54.63 3.65 -15.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 10.96R 0.03 Norwich 39 46 -13 53.93 3.41 -15.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.40R 0.07 Southampton 39 45 -17 52.68 3.40 -20.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.08R 0.17 Leicester 39 44 +2 54.36 3.46 3.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.87R 0.07 Coventry 38 44 -13 52.39 3.68 -16.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.59R 0.41 Sheff_Wed 37 43 -5 54.84 3.99 -5.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.77R 0.09 Scunthorpe 39 38 -21 45.20 3.32 -24.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.30R 23.56 Colchester 39 33 -16 40.95 3.45 -19.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.14R 75.61League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 March 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Swansea 37 77 +35 95.09 3.82 44.29 93.77 99.24 100.00 99.46P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 37 68 +22 84.16 3.97 27.43 1.62 42.26 99.93 58.31P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 36 68 +19 85.43 4.27 24.71 4.60 54.68 99.95 65.95P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 36 59 +23 76.62 4.11 28.57 0.01 3.63 92.68 33.20P 0.00 0.00 Southend 37 58 +9 71.00 4.07 10.07 0.00 0.09 48.73 7.09P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 37 56 +12 71.10 4.00 16.01 0.00 0.06 53.01 11.85P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 38 56 +7 68.02 3.77 8.79 0.00 0.00 21.33 3.93P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 38 56 -4 65.07 3.64 -6.76 0.00 0.00 4.74 0.56P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 37 55 +7 67.17 3.97 6.90 0.00 0.00 16.46 2.93P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 37 54 +25 70.13 3.95 30.73 0.00 0.05 47.28 13.88P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 38 54 +4 65.09 3.77 4.17 0.00 0.00 6.26 0.95P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 38 53 +8 65.74 3.69 10.59 0.00 0.00 7.92 1.64P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 38 49 +2 59.57 3.74 1.34 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 0.03R 0.00 Huddersfield 38 49 -15 57.20 3.59 -18.75 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Swindon 37 48 +1 60.73 4.01 1.75 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.12P 0.01R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 45 -2 59.50 4.45 -2.64 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.08P 0.20R 0.00 Yeovil 38 45 -15 51.80 3.22 -20.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.56R 0.00 Millwall 38 43 -14 51.99 3.65 -16.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.31R 0.00 Cheltenham 38 43 -18 50.78 3.46 -22.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.04R 0.00 Crewe 38 40 -18 49.12 3.68 -20.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.79R 0.03 Bournemouth 38 39 -17 47.87 3.53 -21.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.63R 0.06 Gillingham 37 36 -28 44.31 3.73 -34.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.38R 1.88 Luton 37 28 -14 38.70 3.86 -16.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.93R 14.83 Port_Vale 38 26 -29 33.89 3.49 -34.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.97R 83.20 Adjustments: Leeds -15 Luton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 March 2008, Rochdale vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Milton_Keynes_Dons 37 78 +38 95.97 3.85 46.48 70.77 97.76 100.00 98.65P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 38 78 +35 91.57 3.77 39.16 17.99 84.26 100.00 90.10P 0.00 0.00 Hereford 37 73 +25 88.57 3.99 29.96 5.45 53.32 99.99 68.68P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 37 72 +31 88.90 3.96 37.67 5.78 63.28 99.98 77.93P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 37 65 +14 78.53 4.06 15.85 0.01 1.19 88.23 18.95P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 38 63 +11 74.79 3.77 12.27 0.00 0.03 61.45 13.78P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 38 61 +8 74.29 3.93 11.40 0.00 0.02 56.15 11.05P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 38 57 +14 71.03 3.81 18.76 0.00 0.00 27.40 6.38P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 35 56 +10 75.18 4.72 16.07 0.00 0.15 65.60 14.32P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 37 53 -4 62.70 3.95 -8.14 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 38 52 -1 61.64 3.79 -3.04 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 38 49 -14 57.73 3.70 -17.57 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Bradford 36 47 +0 58.94 4.31 -2.71 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 38 46 -11 55.20 3.69 -14.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16R 0.02 Accrington_Stanley 38 45 -28 53.55 3.65 -32.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07R 0.18 Shrewsbury 37 42 -6 55.03 4.17 -5.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60R 0.10 Bury 38 42 -7 53.21 3.87 -6.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.17R 0.21 Barnet 35 42 -10 55.58 4.57 -12.22 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.67R 0.13 Chester 38 40 -15 47.61 3.55 -20.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.99R 5.98 Dag_&_Red 38 40 -19 48.53 3.65 -22.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.20R 5.19 Macclesfield 38 38 -19 47.79 3.79 -20.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.70R 8.20 Notts_County 37 36 -15 45.85 3.90 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.25R 16.50 Mansfield 36 33 -16 45.54 4.34 -17.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.29R 20.95 Wrexham 35 32 -21 43.62 4.31 -25.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.89R 42.54Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 March 2008, Crawley_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Aldershot 35 80 +29 101.28 4.45 39.60 95.59 99.99 96.50P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 37 70 +23 87.46 3.87 30.99 0.88 94.89 27.68P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 36 67 +30 85.01 4.33 36.84 0.36 85.18 23.95P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 34 66 +23 89.09 4.63 34.71 3.01 95.74 24.02P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 36 65 +23 81.75 4.38 27.65 0.07 57.74 13.87P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 35 62 +20 81.88 4.37 28.77 0.09 59.85 12.82P 0.00 0.00 Histon 38 60 +4 73.00 3.80 7.53 0.00 1.39 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 37 58 +14 72.24 4.16 16.69 0.00 2.22 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 37 57 +10 69.41 4.12 10.09 0.00 0.35 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 35 53 +11 69.65 4.64 13.29 0.00 0.82 0.15P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 34 53 +4 70.47 4.82 5.56 0.00 1.32 0.22P 0.00 0.00 York 35 53 +2 68.88 4.52 2.81 0.00 0.43 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Grays_Athletic 34 48 +0 65.97 4.78 2.52 0.00 0.06 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 35 47 +6 62.89 4.55 7.61 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 35 47 +4 61.83 4.61 3.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 36 47 -4 59.77 4.24 -5.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 35 43 -1 56.40 4.57 -3.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 37 41 -9 51.72 3.97 -11.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Farsley_Celtic 36 33 -22 43.86 4.07 -26.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.04R 0.00 Weymouth 36 32 -21 43.03 4.05 -25.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.66R 0.00 Altrincham 38 32 -26 39.18 3.44 -33.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.25R 0.00 Northwich 35 26 -30 34.75 3.88 -41.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.54R 0.22 Stafford_Rangers 35 19 -39 27.38 3.89 -50.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.55R 12.57 Droylsden 33 13 -51 20.97 4.02 -70.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.96R 87.21