Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 March 2008 at 22:37:28 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 March 2008, Birmingham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   67  +44      86.12     3.57    54.40    70.94    91.31    99.38    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   67  +36      82.05     3.34    43.03    15.59    58.75    95.13    99.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +31      81.54     3.72    39.13    13.39    48.43    93.57    99.19   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   59  +34      72.82     3.66    38.35     0.08     1.35     9.55    70.07    99.02     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   56  +22      70.31     3.43    28.00     0.00     0.16     2.34    28.80    95.44     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   50  +13      64.78     3.66    19.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.60    57.13     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   49  +13      63.48     3.35    18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66    39.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   48   +2      58.82     3.69     1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.60     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   46   +2      57.27     3.57     2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.38     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   43   -3      54.15     3.49    -2.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   35   +7      50.21     4.05    12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   31  -15      37.68     3.28   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.26R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   31  -17      39.70     3.35   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   29  -26      36.14     3.27   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.89R    0.00  
Reading         30   28  -22      38.51     3.77   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.75R    0.00  
Birmingham      30   27  -12      35.61     3.71   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.19R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   27  -22      35.12     3.56   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.68R    0.00  
Bolton          29   25  -15      32.36     3.40   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.33R    0.00  
Fulham          30   23  -22      31.85     3.57   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.83R    0.01  
Derby           30   10  -50      13.64     2.55   -62.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.99  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 March 2008, Colchester vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            39   67  +12      78.56     3.61    14.94    31.67    58.70    98.46    68.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   67   +2      76.84     3.49     2.39    14.87    34.63    95.94    45.82P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   64  +14      76.62     3.77    16.42    17.87    38.13    94.30    52.10P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   62  +26      77.92     4.14    32.23    32.93    57.08    97.07    69.91P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   62  +13      72.48     3.56    14.41     2.09     7.88    72.99    25.78P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   58  +11      69.17     3.57    13.33     0.17     1.05    40.10    11.73P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   57   +7      66.98     3.46     7.66     0.03     0.24    15.94     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   57   +1      67.80     3.85     0.93     0.14     0.74    22.26     5.22P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   56   +8      68.90     3.90    10.93     0.22     1.32    36.23    10.28P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         39   56   +6      66.86     3.59     7.90     0.01     0.18    16.98     4.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   55   +0      65.13     3.57     0.87     0.00     0.02     6.09     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              39   51   -2      59.50     3.51    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.21R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   50   +0      61.09     3.81     0.37     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.20P    0.15R    0.00  
Cardiff          37   49   +1      62.15     4.14     2.23     0.00     0.01     2.64     0.67P    0.13R    0.00  
Blackpool        39   48   +1      56.18     3.52    -1.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    2.85R    0.00  
Preston          39   47   -5      55.95     3.46    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.53R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   46  -12      54.63     3.65   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   10.96R    0.03  
Norwich          39   46  -13      53.93     3.41   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.40R    0.07  
Southampton      39   45  -17      52.68     3.40   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.08R    0.17  
Leicester        39   44   +2      54.36     3.46     3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.87R    0.07  
Coventry         38   44  -13      52.39     3.68   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.59R    0.41  
Sheff_Wed        37   43   -5      54.84     3.99    -5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.77R    0.09  
Scunthorpe       39   38  -21      45.20     3.32   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.30R   23.56  
Colchester       39   33  -16      40.95     3.45   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.14R   75.61  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 March 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          37   77  +35      95.09     3.82    44.29    93.77    99.24   100.00    99.46P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        37   68  +22      84.16     3.97    27.43     1.62    42.26    99.93    58.31P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         36   68  +19      85.43     4.27    24.71     4.60    54.68    99.95    65.95P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     36   59  +23      76.62     4.11    28.57     0.01     3.63    92.68    33.20P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   58   +9      71.00     4.07    10.07     0.00     0.09    48.73     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   56  +12      71.10     4.00    16.01     0.00     0.06    53.01    11.85P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   56   +7      68.02     3.77     8.79     0.00     0.00    21.33     3.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   56   -4      65.07     3.64    -6.76     0.00     0.00     4.74     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   55   +7      67.17     3.97     6.90     0.00     0.00    16.46     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   54  +25      70.13     3.95    30.73     0.00     0.05    47.28    13.88P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   54   +4      65.09     3.77     4.17     0.00     0.00     6.26     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           38   53   +8      65.74     3.69    10.59     0.00     0.00     7.92     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       38   49   +2      59.57     3.74     1.34     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     38   49  -15      57.20     3.59   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Swindon          37   48   +1      60.73     4.01     1.75     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   35   45   -2      59.50     4.45    -2.64     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.08P    0.20R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   45  -15      51.80     3.22   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.56R    0.00  
Millwall         38   43  -14      51.99     3.65   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.31R    0.00  
Cheltenham       38   43  -18      50.78     3.46   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.04R    0.00  
Crewe            38   40  -18      49.12     3.68   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.79R    0.03  
Bournemouth      38   39  -17      47.87     3.53   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.63R    0.06  
Gillingham       37   36  -28      44.31     3.73   -34.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.38R    1.88  
Luton            37   28  -14      38.70     3.86   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.93R   14.83  
Port_Vale        38   26  -29      33.89     3.49   -34.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   83.20  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 March 2008, Rochdale vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   37   78  +38      95.97     3.85    46.48    70.77    97.76   100.00    98.65P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         38   78  +35      91.57     3.77    39.16    17.99    84.26   100.00    90.10P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             37   73  +25      88.57     3.99    29.96     5.45    53.32    99.99    68.68P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           37   72  +31      88.90     3.96    37.67     5.78    63.28    99.98    77.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            37   65  +14      78.53     4.06    15.85     0.01     1.19    88.23    18.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   63  +11      74.79     3.77    12.27     0.00     0.03    61.45    13.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +8      74.29     3.93    11.40     0.00     0.02    56.15    11.05P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   57  +14      71.03     3.81    18.76     0.00     0.00    27.40     6.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             35   56  +10      75.18     4.72    16.07     0.00     0.15    65.60    14.32P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   53   -4      62.70     3.95    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              38   52   -1      61.64     3.79    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            38   49  -14      57.73     3.70   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             36   47   +0      58.94     4.31    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   46  -11      55.20     3.69   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   38   45  -28      53.55     3.65   -32.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.18  
Shrewsbury           37   42   -6      55.03     4.17    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.10  
Bury                 38   42   -7      53.21     3.87    -6.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.21  
Barnet               35   42  -10      55.58     4.57   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.67R    0.13  
Chester              38   40  -15      47.61     3.55   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.99R    5.98  
Dag_&_Red            38   40  -19      48.53     3.65   -22.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.20R    5.19  
Macclesfield         38   38  -19      47.79     3.79   -20.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.70R    8.20  
Notts_County         37   36  -15      45.85     3.90   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.25R   16.50  
Mansfield            36   33  -16      45.54     4.34   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.29R   20.95  
Wrexham              35   32  -21      43.62     4.31   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.89R   42.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 March 2008, Crawley_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           35   80  +29     101.28     4.45    39.60    95.59    99.99    96.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       37   70  +23      87.46     3.87    30.99     0.88    94.89    27.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           36   67  +30      85.01     4.33    36.84     0.36    85.18    23.95P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             34   66  +23      89.09     4.63    34.71     3.01    95.74    24.02P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       36   65  +23      81.75     4.38    27.65     0.07    57.74    13.87P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              35   62  +20      81.88     4.37    28.77     0.09    59.85    12.82P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              38   60   +4      73.00     3.80     7.53     0.00     1.39     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        37   58  +14      72.24     4.16    16.69     0.00     2.22     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           37   57  +10      69.41     4.12    10.09     0.00     0.35     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        35   53  +11      69.65     4.64    13.29     0.00     0.82     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    34   53   +4      70.47     4.82     5.56     0.00     1.32     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
York                35   53   +2      68.88     4.52     2.81     0.00     0.43     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      34   48   +0      65.97     4.78     2.52     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   35   47   +6      62.89     4.55     7.61     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       35   47   +4      61.83     4.61     3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          36   47   -4      59.77     4.24    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             35   43   -1      56.40     4.57    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              37   41   -9      51.72     3.97   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      36   33  -22      43.86     4.07   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            36   32  -21      43.03     4.05   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.66R    0.00  
Altrincham          38   32  -26      39.18     3.44   -33.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.25R    0.00  
Northwich           35   26  -30      34.75     3.88   -41.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.54R    0.22  
Stafford_Rangers    35   19  -39      27.38     3.89   -50.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.55R   12.57  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.97     4.02   -70.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   87.21