Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 17 March 2008 at 22:37:30 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 March 2008, Birmingham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   67  +44      86.11     3.59    54.35    70.60    91.25    99.40    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   67  +36      82.07     3.34    43.08    15.83    59.19    94.98    99.60   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +31      81.53     3.74    39.10    13.47    47.99    93.46    99.24   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   59  +34      72.86     3.66    38.38     0.10     1.42     9.76    69.94    99.09     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   56  +22      70.37     3.38    28.08     0.00     0.16     2.38    28.84    95.84     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   50  +13      64.81     3.66    19.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.68    57.41     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   49  +13      63.43     3.33    18.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65    39.32     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   48   +2      58.82     3.69     1.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.66     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   46   +2      57.22     3.53     2.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.29     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   43   -3      54.06     3.50    -2.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   35   +7      50.17     4.04    12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   31  -15      37.75     3.29   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   31  -17      39.69     3.33   -20.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.06R    0.00  
Newcastle       30   29  -26      36.13     3.27   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.22R    0.00  
Reading         30   28  -22      38.50     3.75   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.65R    0.00  
Birmingham      30   27  -12      35.56     3.71   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.47R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   27  -22      35.15     3.58   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.60R    0.00  
Bolton          29   25  -15      32.36     3.40   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.08R    0.00  
Fulham          30   23  -22      31.85     3.56   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.82R    0.00  
Derby           30   10  -50      13.68     2.56   -62.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2008, Blackpool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            39   67  +12      78.51     3.60    14.85    31.82    59.77    98.77    68.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   67   +2      76.78     3.51     2.30    14.88    35.09    96.61    45.96P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   64  +14      76.60     3.75    16.36    17.96    39.21    95.14    53.33P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   62  +26      77.91     4.13    32.19    33.68    57.76    97.65    70.67P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   59  +11      70.87     3.88    12.44     1.11     4.58    58.90    19.16P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   58  +11      69.21     3.57    13.37     0.16     1.19    44.13    13.57P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   57   +7      67.03     3.48     7.75     0.05     0.28    19.12     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   56   +8      68.90     3.86    10.91     0.20     1.32    39.57    11.02P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         39   56   +6      66.88     3.59     7.96     0.03     0.22    19.88     5.14P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   55   +0      65.12     3.59     0.87     0.00     0.03     7.37     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   54   +0      66.65     4.09     0.61     0.10     0.52    18.22     4.44P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              39   51   -2      59.51     3.54    -3.82     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.16R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   50   +0      61.10     3.81     0.39     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.28P    0.15R    0.00  
Cardiff          37   49   +1      62.17     4.16     2.27     0.00     0.02     3.16     0.81P    0.14R    0.00  
Blackpool        39   48   +1      56.14     3.51    -1.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.12R    0.00  
Preston          39   47   -5      55.91     3.47    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.93R    0.01  
Barnsley         38   46  -12      54.68     3.65   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.23R    0.10  
Norwich          39   46  -13      53.91     3.44   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.66R    0.25  
Southampton      39   45  -17      52.73     3.40   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.51R    0.50  
Leicester        39   44   +2      54.41     3.45     3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.50R    0.17  
Coventry         38   44  -13      52.33     3.65   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.48R    1.10  
Sheff_Wed        37   43   -5      54.89     4.01    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.42R    0.23  
Scunthorpe       38   38  -20      46.05     3.53   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.38R   26.87  
Colchester       38   33  -14      42.25     3.76   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.32R   70.76  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          36   74  +33      93.34     4.18    42.00    87.39    97.62   100.00    98.34P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        37   68  +22      84.16     3.99    27.43     3.69    42.58    99.90    58.39P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         36   68  +19      85.50     4.29    24.83     8.83    55.92    99.90    66.71P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     36   59  +23      76.45     4.12    28.36     0.09     3.62    91.03    32.59P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   58   +9      71.08     4.09    10.18     0.00     0.11    47.13     7.11P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   56  +12      71.13     3.99    16.04     0.00     0.07    50.67    11.46P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   56   +7      68.05     3.77     8.85     0.00     0.00    19.54     3.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   56   -4      65.10     3.63    -6.72     0.00     0.00     4.15     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   55   +8      68.94     4.28     8.52     0.00     0.02    28.08     5.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   54  +25      70.11     3.98    30.71     0.00     0.05    44.16    13.16P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   54   +4      65.16     3.78     4.29     0.00     0.00     5.85     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           38   53   +8      65.84     3.69    10.71     0.00     0.00     7.32     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       38   49   +2      59.57     3.75     1.33     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          37   48   +1      60.59     4.01     1.53     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     37   46  -16      55.15     3.85   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.63R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   45   +0      60.84     4.70    -0.62     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.25P    0.11R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   45  -15      51.80     3.25   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.45R    0.00  
Millwall         38   43  -14      51.95     3.63   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.23R    0.00  
Cheltenham       38   43  -18      50.72     3.45   -22.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.23R    0.00  
Crewe            38   40  -18      49.08     3.67   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.97R    0.02  
Bournemouth      38   39  -17      47.86     3.56   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.22R    0.05  
Gillingham       37   36  -28      44.47     3.77   -34.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.23R    1.75  
Luton            37   28  -14      38.70     3.85   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.92R   15.03  
Port_Vale        38   26  -29      33.88     3.50   -34.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   83.14  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 March 2008, Rochdale vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   37   78  +38      95.98     3.88    46.50    70.95    97.79   100.00    98.74P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         38   78  +35      91.56     3.76    39.15    17.99    84.15   100.00    89.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             37   73  +25      88.57     3.98    29.92     5.30    53.56    99.98    68.54P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           37   72  +31      88.88     3.97    37.65     5.75    63.04    99.98    77.79P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            37   65  +14      78.53     4.05    15.84     0.01     1.17    88.29    18.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   63  +11      74.85     3.79    12.35     0.00     0.02    62.47    14.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +8      74.19     3.90    11.27     0.00     0.01    54.85    10.97P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   57  +14      71.01     3.83    18.72     0.00     0.00    27.32     6.24P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             35   56  +10      75.27     4.73    16.21     0.00     0.26    65.91    14.65P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   53   -4      62.71     3.97    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              38   52   -1      61.66     3.77    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            38   49  -14      57.76     3.71   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             36   47   +0      58.94     4.28    -2.73     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   46  -11      55.19     3.70   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   38   45  -28      53.59     3.66   -32.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93R    0.14  
Shrewsbury           37   42   -6      55.06     4.15    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.61R    0.13  
Bury                 38   42   -7      53.15     3.86    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.22  
Barnet               35   42  -10      55.63     4.54   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.64R    0.13  
Chester              38   40  -15      47.62     3.55   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.84R    5.89  
Dag_&_Red            38   40  -19      48.52     3.64   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.09R    5.16  
Macclesfield         38   38  -19      47.86     3.82   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.19R    8.01  
Notts_County         37   36  -15      45.81     3.89   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.41R   16.30  
Mansfield            36   33  -16      45.51     4.36   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.24R   21.10  
Wrexham              35   32  -21      43.54     4.28   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.73R   42.92  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 March 2008, Burton_Albion vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           35   80  +29     101.23     4.41    39.49    94.29   100.00    95.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       36   70  +24      89.35     4.11    32.74     2.30    97.27    31.37P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           36   67  +30      84.94     4.36    36.74     0.32    83.10    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             34   66  +23      88.99     4.66    34.64     2.93    95.15    22.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       36   65  +23      81.75     4.39    27.66     0.07    55.66    12.61P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              35   62  +20      82.00     4.39    28.93     0.09    58.81    12.65P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        36   58  +15      74.19     4.44    18.64     0.00     5.82     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           37   57  +10      69.43     4.11    10.15     0.00     0.36     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              37   57   +3      71.31     4.06     6.43     0.00     0.64     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    33   53   +5      71.95     5.07     6.73     0.00     2.68     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        34   50  +10      67.62     4.87    11.68     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
York                34   50   +1      66.61     4.78     0.69     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      34   48   +0      66.05     4.74     2.64     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   35   47   +6      62.89     4.55     7.59     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       35   47   +4      61.85     4.59     3.63     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          36   47   -4      59.82     4.20    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             35   43   -1      56.38     4.51    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              37   41   -9      51.77     3.95   -11.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      36   33  -22      43.98     4.08   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.10R    0.00  
Altrincham          38   32  -26      39.14     3.43   -33.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.54R    0.00  
Weymouth            35   31  -21      43.45     4.32   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.84R    0.00  
Northwich           34   25  -30      34.97     4.18   -41.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.10R    0.20  
Stafford_Rangers    35   19  -39      27.42     3.90   -50.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.44R   11.67  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.79     3.95   -70.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   88.12