Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 16 March 2008 at 22:37:28 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 March 2008, Fulham vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   67  +44      86.13     3.57    54.43    71.29    91.54    99.43    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   67  +36      81.99     3.34    42.93    15.37    58.30    94.93    99.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +31      81.51     3.73    39.06    13.25    48.58    93.44    99.16   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   59  +34      72.82     3.66    38.34     0.09     1.40     9.67    69.75    99.10     0.00     0.00  
Everton         30   56  +22      70.35     3.41    28.09     0.00     0.18     2.51    28.95    95.72     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   50  +13      64.79     3.67    19.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.78    57.47     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   49  +13      63.41     3.33    18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68    39.12     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   48   +2      58.80     3.70     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.86     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   46   +2      57.22     3.54     2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.33     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   43   -3      54.14     3.50    -2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   35   +7      50.19     4.04    12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           30   31  -15      37.72     3.26   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.15R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   31  -17      39.64     3.33   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.27R    0.00  
Reading         30   28  -22      38.46     3.79   -23.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   28  -26      35.83     3.51   -34.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.74R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   27  -22      35.20     3.56   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.30R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   26  -12      36.77     4.00   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.78R    0.00  
Bolton          29   25  -15      32.44     3.42   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.81R    0.00  
Fulham          30   23  -22      31.78     3.55   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.93R    0.00  
Derby           30   10  -50      13.68     2.55   -62.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2008, Blackpool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            39   67  +12      78.58     3.63    14.96    33.14    60.32    98.69    69.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   67   +2      76.75     3.51     2.27    14.54    34.89    96.47    45.59P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   64  +14      76.63     3.75    16.42    17.73    39.04    95.32    53.49P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   62  +26      77.87     4.15    32.16    32.93    57.47    97.59    70.40P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   59  +11      70.86     3.86    12.43     1.06     4.56    58.82    19.39P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   58  +11      69.18     3.55    13.33     0.17     1.20    43.86    13.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   57   +7      66.97     3.48     7.66     0.05     0.35    18.70     5.16P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   56   +8      68.92     3.88    10.93     0.25     1.35    40.51    11.35P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         39   56   +6      66.87     3.57     7.95     0.03     0.22    19.59     4.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   55   +0      65.11     3.54     0.86     0.00     0.02     7.22     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   54   +0      66.71     4.10     0.68     0.10     0.57    18.76     4.53P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              39   51   -2      59.51     3.52    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.25R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   50   +0      61.04     3.78     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.23P    0.17R    0.00  
Cardiff          37   49   +1      62.15     4.13     2.26     0.00     0.02     3.15     0.80P    0.13R    0.00  
Blackpool        39   48   +1      56.18     3.50    -1.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.96R    0.00  
Preston          39   47   -5      55.95     3.46    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.78R    0.01  
Barnsley         38   46  -12      54.69     3.68   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   11.26R    0.11  
Norwich          39   46  -13      53.94     3.43   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.38R    0.22  
Southampton      39   45  -17      52.76     3.43   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.51R    0.50  
Leicester        39   44   +2      54.36     3.45     3.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.75R    0.20  
Coventry         38   44  -13      52.35     3.65   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.20R    1.03  
Sheff_Wed        37   43   -5      54.84     4.00    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   11.60R    0.24  
Scunthorpe       38   38  -20      46.05     3.52   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.56R   26.87  
Colchester       38   33  -14      42.24     3.76   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.44R   70.81  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          36   74  +33      93.42     4.19    42.14    88.02    97.73   100.00    98.42P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        37   68  +22      84.10     3.99    27.38     3.66    42.72    99.88    58.33P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         36   68  +19      85.41     4.26    24.66     8.24    55.56    99.92    66.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     36   59  +23      76.50     4.13    28.44     0.08     3.75    91.10    33.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   58   +9      71.01     4.08    10.12     0.00     0.11    46.27     6.96P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   56  +12      71.14     4.01    16.06     0.00     0.06    50.79    11.54P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   56   +7      68.07     3.78     8.86     0.00     0.00    19.65     3.61P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   56   -4      65.06     3.65    -6.75     0.00     0.00     4.23     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   55   +8      68.94     4.32     8.52     0.00     0.02    27.81     5.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   54  +25      70.16     3.97    30.78     0.00     0.05    45.15    13.70P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   54   +4      65.18     3.77     4.31     0.00     0.00     5.69     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           38   53   +8      65.82     3.69    10.69     0.00     0.00     7.24     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       38   49   +2      59.55     3.73     1.33     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          37   48   +1      60.65     4.00     1.62     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     37   46  -16      55.14     3.82   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.68R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   45   +0      60.77     4.70    -0.73     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.28P    0.11R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   45  -15      51.83     3.24   -20.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.54R    0.00  
Millwall         38   43  -14      51.95     3.64   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.41R    0.00  
Cheltenham       38   43  -18      50.79     3.45   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.74R    0.00  
Crewe            38   40  -18      49.10     3.67   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.82R    0.02  
Bournemouth      38   39  -17      47.89     3.57   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.27R    0.06  
Gillingham       37   36  -28      44.44     3.77   -34.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.45R    1.78  
Luton            37   28  -14      38.67     3.86   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.96R   15.11  
Port_Vale        38   26  -29      33.89     3.49   -34.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   83.03  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 March 2008, Rochdale vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   37   78  +38      96.05     3.86    46.60    71.43    97.81   100.00    98.71P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         38   78  +35      91.54     3.78    39.12    17.73    83.98   100.00    89.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             37   73  +25      88.57     3.97    29.93     5.09    53.48    99.98    68.89P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           37   72  +31      88.92     3.99    37.67     5.74    63.40    99.99    78.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            37   65  +14      78.55     4.05    15.86     0.01     1.11    88.50    18.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   63  +11      74.78     3.80    12.26     0.00     0.02    61.92    14.13P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +8      74.19     3.91    11.26     0.00     0.02    55.39    10.76P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   57  +14      71.00     3.82    18.71     0.00     0.00    27.43     6.25P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             35   56  +10      75.15     4.70    16.06     0.00     0.18    65.52    14.49P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   53   -4      62.72     3.98    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              38   52   -1      61.71     3.77    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            38   49  -14      57.79     3.71   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             36   47   +0      58.92     4.29    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   46  -11      55.20     3.67   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   38   45  -28      53.53     3.63   -32.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.13  
Shrewsbury           37   42   -6      55.03     4.20    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.16  
Bury                 38   42   -7      53.14     3.89    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09R    0.21  
Barnet               35   42  -10      55.64     4.58   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.65R    0.13  
Chester              38   40  -15      47.59     3.52   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.86R    5.96  
Dag_&_Red            38   40  -19      48.50     3.64   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.39R    5.42  
Macclesfield         38   38  -19      47.80     3.85   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.06R    8.38  
Notts_County         37   36  -15      45.95     3.87   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.22R   15.68  
Mansfield            36   33  -16      45.49     4.32   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.43R   20.96  
Wrexham              35   32  -21      43.59     4.31   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.44R   42.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 March 2008, Burton_Albion vs Weymouth; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           35   80  +29     101.32     4.43    39.71    94.32   100.00    95.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       36   70  +24      89.27     4.13    32.65     2.24    97.12    30.36P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           36   67  +30      84.97     4.29    36.74     0.33    83.49    23.13P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             34   66  +23      89.16     4.61    34.86     2.97    95.55    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       36   65  +23      81.77     4.38    27.68     0.08    56.01    12.87P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              35   62  +20      81.92     4.40    28.86     0.05    57.95    12.51P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        36   58  +15      74.26     4.44    18.76     0.00     5.76     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           37   57  +10      69.41     4.11    10.14     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              37   57   +3      71.34     4.05     6.46     0.00     0.58     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    33   53   +5      71.89     5.07     6.61     0.00     2.65     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        34   50  +10      67.54     4.89    11.56     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
York                34   50   +1      66.50     4.78     0.50     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      34   48   +0      65.98     4.74     2.52     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   35   47   +6      62.86     4.58     7.52     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       35   47   +4      61.89     4.59     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          36   47   -4      59.81     4.21    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             35   43   -1      56.43     4.51    -3.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              37   41   -9      51.72     3.95   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      36   33  -22      43.95     4.09   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.23R    0.00  
Altrincham          38   32  -26      39.14     3.43   -33.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.94R    0.00  
Weymouth            35   31  -21      43.37     4.33   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.21R    0.00  
Northwich           34   25  -30      35.02     4.18   -41.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.18R    0.21  
Stafford_Rangers    35   19  -39      27.48     3.88   -50.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.46R   11.87  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.86     3.98   -70.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   87.92