Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 15 March 2008 at 22:37:29 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2008, Arsenal vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   67  +44      86.21     3.57    54.53    71.80    91.88    99.35    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   67  +36      81.92     3.38    42.83    14.98    57.28    92.92    98.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   64  +31      81.52     3.71    39.12    13.09    48.27    90.79    98.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   59  +34      72.90     3.61    38.47     0.09     1.36     9.06    56.18    99.21     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   56  +23      72.62     3.66    30.52     0.05     1.21     7.88    45.28    98.30     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      30   50  +13      64.87     3.67    19.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.95    58.56     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     30   49  +13      63.39     3.33    18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31    37.79     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   46   +2      57.20     3.54     2.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.28     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   45   +1      57.24     4.00     1.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.28     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        30   43   -3      54.01     3.48    -2.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   35   +8      51.49     4.30    13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   30   31  -17      39.59     3.35   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78R    0.00  
Wigan           29   28  -16      36.20     3.59   -22.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.39R    0.00  
Reading         30   28  -22      38.51     3.76   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.53R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   28  -26      35.86     3.52   -34.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.78R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   27  -22      35.26     3.58   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.86R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   26  -12      36.80     4.00   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.78R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.61     3.70   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.63R    0.00  
Fulham          29   20  -23      29.28     3.73   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.25R    0.04  
Derby           30   10  -50      13.71     2.55   -62.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2008, Blackpool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            39   67  +12      78.52     3.62    14.85    31.82    59.46    98.70    68.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   67   +2      76.75     3.51     2.26    14.81    34.97    96.64    45.71P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   64  +14      76.57     3.77    16.35    17.84    38.74    94.87    53.11P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   62  +26      77.97     4.13    32.32    33.84    58.58    97.61    71.24P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   59  +11      70.88     3.85    12.44     1.12     4.67    58.99    19.32P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         39   58  +11      69.23     3.57    13.40     0.18     1.23    44.36    13.49P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   39   57   +7      67.04     3.48     7.77     0.04     0.27    19.15     5.21P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   56   +8      68.92     3.89    10.96     0.24     1.31    40.20    11.29P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         39   56   +6      66.81     3.59     7.82     0.02     0.19    19.02     4.87P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   55   +0      65.13     3.56     0.85     0.00     0.02     7.30     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   54   +0      66.71     4.09     0.69     0.10     0.54    18.70     4.65P    0.00     0.00  
QPR              39   51   -2      59.47     3.53    -3.87     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P    0.21R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        38   50   +0      61.07     3.79     0.38     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.22P    0.14R    0.00  
Cardiff          37   49   +1      62.14     4.15     2.22     0.00     0.01     3.17     0.76P    0.14R    0.00  
Blackpool        39   48   +1      56.15     3.49    -1.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.00R    0.00  
Preston          39   47   -5      55.94     3.46    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.82R    0.01  
Barnsley         38   46  -12      54.74     3.66   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   10.92R    0.08  
Norwich          39   46  -13      53.96     3.44   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.40R    0.25  
Southampton      39   45  -17      52.69     3.41   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.16R    0.53  
Leicester        39   44   +2      54.33     3.44     3.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.95R    0.18  
Coventry         38   44  -13      52.36     3.68   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.08R    1.11  
Sheff_Wed        37   43   -5      54.85     3.99    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.51R    0.21  
Scunthorpe       38   38  -20      46.08     3.52   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.33R   26.73  
Colchester       38   33  -14      42.26     3.77   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.34R   70.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          36   74  +33      93.38     4.17    42.08    87.66    97.66   100.00    98.38P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        37   68  +22      84.17     3.98    27.47     3.60    42.66    99.89    58.92P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         36   68  +19      85.48     4.27    24.75     8.67    55.64    99.91    66.20P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     36   59  +23      76.52     4.14    28.43     0.06     3.78    91.34    32.95P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         37   58   +9      71.01     4.08    10.11     0.00     0.10    46.68     7.26P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          37   56  +12      71.08     4.00    15.97     0.00     0.08    50.48    11.37P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         38   56   +7      68.09     3.78     8.90     0.00     0.00    20.08     3.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   56   -4      65.09     3.64    -6.71     0.00     0.00     4.41     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   55   +8      68.90     4.27     8.42     0.00     0.02    27.86     4.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            37   54  +25      70.08     3.98    30.67     0.00     0.05    44.22    12.95P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      38   54   +4      65.08     3.75     4.15     0.00     0.00     5.47     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           38   53   +8      65.80     3.68    10.68     0.00     0.00     7.31     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       38   49   +2      59.58     3.75     1.37     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          37   48   +1      60.59     4.00     1.51     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield     37   46  -16      55.17     3.84   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.80R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   45   +0      60.81     4.69    -0.70     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.29P    0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   45  -15      51.83     3.24   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.38R    0.00  
Millwall         38   43  -14      51.97     3.66   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.50R    0.00  
Cheltenham       38   43  -18      50.77     3.45   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.91R    0.00  
Crewe            38   40  -18      49.09     3.66   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.91R    0.02  
Bournemouth      38   39  -17      47.94     3.58   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.91R    0.07  
Gillingham       37   36  -28      44.43     3.74   -34.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.53R    1.75  
Luton            37   28  -14      38.71     3.86   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.00R   15.18  
Port_Vale        38   26  -29      33.89     3.50   -34.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   82.98  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2008, Barnet vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   37   78  +38      96.03     3.86    46.56    71.20    97.70   100.00    98.63P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         38   78  +35      91.56     3.76    39.16    17.79    84.15   100.00    89.91P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             37   73  +25      88.53     4.01    29.88     5.21    52.98    99.98    68.52P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           37   72  +31      88.96     3.98    37.76     5.79    63.84    99.99    78.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            37   65  +14      78.53     4.04    15.82     0.01     1.16    89.63    19.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   63  +11      74.76     3.78    12.23     0.00     0.03    64.45    14.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   61   +8      74.24     3.90    11.33     0.00     0.00    58.74    11.78P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         38   57  +14      70.96     3.81    18.65     0.00     0.00    29.56     6.94P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             34   53   +7      73.89     4.98    13.61     0.00     0.13    56.23    12.13P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            37   53   -4      62.72     3.95    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              38   52   -1      61.74     3.79    -2.90     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            38   49  -14      57.77     3.70   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             36   47   +0      58.95     4.27    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   46  -11      55.18     3.65   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   37   45  -25      54.52     3.89   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.67R    0.08  
Shrewsbury           37   42   -6      55.08     4.17    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.10  
Bury                 38   42   -7      53.18     3.87    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.18  
Barnet               35   42  -10      55.60     4.59   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.72R    0.15  
Chester              38   40  -15      47.65     3.56   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.80R    5.78  
Dag_&_Red            38   40  -19      48.50     3.66   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.56R    5.37  
Macclesfield         38   38  -19      47.78     3.79   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.89R    8.32  
Notts_County         37   36  -15      45.86     3.88   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.75R   16.16  
Mansfield            36   33  -16      45.52     4.35   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.21R   21.04  
Wrexham              35   32  -21      43.59     4.29   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.48R   42.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2008, Cambridge_Utd vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           35   80  +29     101.32     4.43    39.69    94.39   100.00    95.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       36   70  +24      89.32     4.11    32.70     2.22    97.34    31.06P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           36   67  +30      85.02     4.31    36.86     0.33    84.59    23.30P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             34   66  +23      89.19     4.61    34.95     2.95    95.93    23.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       35   62  +22      81.01     4.60    28.07     0.04    50.84    11.95P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              35   62  +20      81.97     4.38    28.89     0.07    60.34    12.59P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        36   58  +15      74.37     4.40    18.94     0.00     6.44     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           37   57  +10      69.41     4.13    10.13     0.00     0.42     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              37   57   +3      71.44     4.06     6.60     0.00     0.77     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    33   53   +5      71.83     5.06     6.52     0.00     2.72     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        34   50  +10      67.61     4.87    11.69     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
York                34   50   +1      66.51     4.77     0.51     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      34   48   +0      66.16     4.72     2.77     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   35   47   +6      62.74     4.55     7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       35   47   +4      61.85     4.61     3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          36   47   -4      59.88     4.22    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             35   43   -1      56.29     4.49    -3.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              37   41   -9      51.66     3.95   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      36   33  -22      43.89     4.06   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.16R    0.00  
Altrincham          38   32  -26      39.15     3.41   -33.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.95R    0.00  
Weymouth            34   31  -20      43.96     4.50   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.37R    0.00  
Northwich           34   25  -30      34.88     4.13   -41.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.03R    0.27  
Stafford_Rangers    35   19  -39      27.43     3.90   -50.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.53R   11.72  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.80     3.97   -70.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   88.02