Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 14 March 2008 at 22:37:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Aston_Villa vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         29   66  +36      83.87     3.50    45.58    28.21    75.17    97.16    99.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.95     3.67    56.07    62.66    89.47    99.11    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   61  +30      80.63     3.96    39.22     9.02    33.48    86.52    97.39    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   56  +33      72.58     3.78    39.91     0.07     1.09     9.11    54.67    98.63     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   56  +23      72.51     3.68    30.33     0.03     0.80     8.06    46.15    98.34     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   49  +15      64.66     3.61    20.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.50    55.56     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   47  +11      63.34     4.00    17.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.62    38.72     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +3      58.60     3.85     3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   45   +1      57.38     4.01     1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.16     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   40   -4      52.41     3.80    -3.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   35   +8      51.54     4.31    13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   30  -17      38.70     3.42   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.89R    0.00  
Wigan           29   28  -16      36.17     3.58   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.62R    0.00  
Reading         29   28  -21      38.57     3.87   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.09R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   28  -26      35.97     3.54   -34.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.99R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   27  -21      35.79     3.76   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.56R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   26  -12      36.74     4.00   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.45R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.59     3.71   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.57R    0.00  
Fulham          29   20  -23      29.34     3.77   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.82R    0.05  
Derby           29   10  -49      13.82     2.61   -64.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.95  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Cardiff vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     38   67   +3      78.31     3.80     3.54    16.51    40.30    98.69    51.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   66  +12      78.72     3.92    14.55    22.19    49.67    98.81    61.15P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   63  +14      77.39     4.08    17.04    16.36    37.47    96.69    53.10P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   62  +29      80.35     4.36    36.77    44.57    69.86    99.40    80.21P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         38   56   +8      68.09     3.86     9.68     0.06     0.50    37.19     9.88P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   56   +6      69.39     4.13     7.73     0.22     1.34    47.76    13.08P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   55  +10      67.36     3.85    12.13     0.03     0.26    32.40     9.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   55   +2      66.89     3.84     3.44     0.01     0.11    22.76     5.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   54   +5      65.63     3.75     6.04     0.01     0.07    15.65     4.24P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          37   53   +6      67.41     4.18     9.13     0.05     0.35    32.93     8.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   51   -2      64.20     4.32    -2.46     0.01     0.07    10.53     2.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          36   48   +1      62.33     4.41     1.92     0.00     0.02     5.56     1.43P    0.20R    0.00  
QPR              38   48   -4      58.32     3.83    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    1.54R    0.01  
Blackpool        38   47   +1      56.88     3.81    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    2.99R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        37   47   -2      59.61     4.06    -1.40     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.18P    1.05R    0.00  
Preston          38   46   -5      55.98     3.72    -6.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    5.36R    0.05  
Barnsley         37   46  -10      55.89     3.90   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    7.93R    0.12  
Norwich          38   46  -11      55.04     3.69   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   10.34R    0.27  
Southampton      38   45  -12      53.85     3.67   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.25R    0.51  
Coventry         37   43  -13      52.76     3.98   -16.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.13R    1.78  
Sheff_Wed        36   42   -5      55.28     4.30    -5.30     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   12.39R    0.50  
Leicester        38   41   -1      51.63     3.68    -1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.72R    2.42  
Scunthorpe       37   38  -18      47.26     3.83   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.43R   23.05  
Colchester       37   32  -14      42.75     4.07   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.63R   71.27  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          35   74  +35      95.66     4.37    45.46    90.81    98.47   100.00    98.96P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        36   68  +23      85.72     4.26    28.78     3.70    49.20    99.94    63.09P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         35   67  +19      85.89     4.54    24.84     5.42    47.95    99.91    60.22P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     35   58  +23      77.40     4.38    29.18     0.07     4.21    93.39    32.83P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   55  +12      70.95     4.21    15.43     0.00     0.04    50.07    10.64P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         36   55   +8      69.55     4.31     9.28     0.00     0.03    34.30     4.82P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            36   53  +25      71.42     4.19    32.01     0.00     0.09    59.15    17.72P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   53  +11      68.06     3.95    14.93     0.00     0.01    22.59     4.88P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   53   +5      66.64     4.06     7.15     0.00     0.00    13.52     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   53   -5      62.99     3.88    -8.45     0.00     0.00     2.12     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         35   52   +7      66.88     4.52     6.87     0.00     0.00    16.80     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   51   +2      62.84     3.99     1.36     0.00     0.00     2.29     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       37   49   +4      60.78     4.01     3.15     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          36   47   +1      60.67     4.27     1.09     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     36   46  -15      56.54     4.12   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.56R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   45   +1      62.45     4.95     0.74     0.00     0.00     3.89     0.66P    0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil           37   45  -13      52.99     3.55   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.31R    0.00  
Millwall         37   43  -13      53.55     3.94   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.11R    0.00  
Cheltenham       37   40  -19      49.03     3.71   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.97R    0.01  
Crewe            37   37  -21      46.80     3.90   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.69R    0.16  
Bournemouth      37   36  -19      46.30     3.80   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.28R    0.15  
Gillingham       36   36  -25      46.49     4.08   -30.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.15R    0.44  
Luton            36   25  -17      36.12     4.07   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R   28.06  
Port_Vale        37   25  -29      33.45     3.71   -35.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   71.18  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         37   77  +35      92.88     4.01    40.55    33.25    92.61   100.00    95.26P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   36   75  +34      94.88     4.12    43.27    57.60    96.69   100.00    97.89P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             36   70  +24      86.88     4.27    28.83     3.68    45.28    99.88    62.35P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           36   69  +30      87.89     4.21    37.43     5.45    63.44    99.94    78.22P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   63  +12      76.08     4.05    13.17     0.00     0.41    74.68    17.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            36   62  +13      77.28     4.35    15.41     0.02     1.32    82.22    17.74P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   58   +7      72.34     4.19     9.90     0.00     0.02    40.17     7.81P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   57  +15      72.53     4.11    19.94     0.00     0.03    46.48    11.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             34   53   +7      73.74     4.99    13.39     0.00     0.19    54.38    11.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              37   52   +0      62.46     4.00    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   50   -6      60.99     4.22   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            37   49  -12      59.21     4.01   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             35   47   +1      61.01     4.57    -0.64     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   46  -10      56.33     3.95   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   45  -25      54.58     3.90   -29.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           36   42   -5      56.89     4.46    -3.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.18R    0.04  
Bury                 37   42   -6      55.24     4.15    -4.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.03  
Chester              37   40  -13      49.13     3.84   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.93R    1.28  
Dag_&_Red            37   40  -15      49.49     3.85   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.44R    1.31  
Barnet               34   39  -12      53.64     4.83   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.89R    0.34  
Notts_County         36   35  -15      45.35     4.07   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.57R   11.41  
Macclesfield         37   35  -20      45.72     4.07   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.81R   11.28  
Mansfield            35   30  -17      43.33     4.58   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.51R   25.12  
Wrexham              34   29  -22      41.34     4.52   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.03R   49.17  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 13 March 2008, Stevenage vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           35   80  +29     101.11     4.46    39.33    94.38    99.99    95.74P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           36   67  +30      85.05     4.32    36.88     0.33    85.21    23.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       35   67  +23      88.30     4.36    32.57     1.83    95.20    29.83P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             34   66  +23      89.10     4.63    34.82     3.26    95.78    23.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       35   62  +22      81.03     4.63    28.11     0.09    51.88    12.61P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              35   62  +20      81.95     4.39    28.87     0.10    61.15    12.75P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           36   56  +10      70.50     4.37    11.20     0.00     0.96     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        35   55  +13      72.83     4.75    17.07     0.00     4.31     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              36   54   +2      69.68     4.30     5.40     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    33   53   +5      71.84     5.07     6.55     0.00     3.02     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        33   50  +12      70.25     5.10    15.72     0.00     1.84     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
York                34   50   +1      66.58     4.78     0.64     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   34   47   +7      64.45     4.83     8.87     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       35   47   +4      61.76     4.61     3.46     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      33   45   -1      64.66     5.01     2.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          35   44   -5      58.48     4.47    -5.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             34   43   +1      57.59     4.80    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              36   41   -8      52.50     4.19   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      35   32  -22      43.68     4.31   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.66R    0.00  
Altrincham          37   32  -25      40.12     3.68   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.65R    0.00  
Weymouth            34   31  -20      44.02     4.51   -25.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.64R    0.00  
Northwich           33   22  -32      32.26     4.33   -45.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.94R    1.43  
Stafford_Rangers    34   19  -38      28.52     4.16   -50.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.14R    9.13  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.85     3.98   -70.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   89.44