Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 13 March 2008 at 22:38:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Aston_Villa vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         29   66  +36      83.77     3.51    45.43    27.69    75.06    96.89    99.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.90     3.66    55.97    62.95    89.48    99.08    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   61  +30      80.59     3.95    39.17     9.24    33.48    86.42    97.25    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   56  +33      72.61     3.80    39.94     0.09     1.19     9.38    54.91    98.64     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   56  +23      72.52     3.66    30.30     0.03     0.79     8.17    46.07    98.32     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   49  +15      64.66     3.59    20.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.54    55.98     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   47  +11      63.35     4.00    17.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.64    38.53     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +3      58.55     3.82     3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     4.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   45   +1      57.34     4.03     1.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.15     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   40   -4      52.43     3.79    -3.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   35   +8      51.56     4.31    13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   30  -17      38.70     3.42   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.96R    0.00  
Wigan           29   28  -16      36.22     3.59   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.67R    0.00  
Reading         29   28  -21      38.60     3.84   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.89R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   28  -26      35.96     3.54   -34.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.30R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   27  -21      35.88     3.75   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.90R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   26  -12      36.73     4.04   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.84R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.59     3.70   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.74R    0.00  
Fulham          29   20  -23      29.35     3.77   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.71R    0.04  
Derby           29   10  -49      13.83     2.63   -64.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Cardiff vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     38   67   +3      78.29     3.79     3.52    16.56    40.27    98.64    51.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   66  +12      78.68     3.91    14.50    22.14    49.20    98.79    60.79P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   63  +14      77.43     4.09    17.06    16.62    37.70    96.91    53.24P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   62  +29      80.34     4.33    36.78    44.29    70.05    99.41    80.31P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         38   56   +8      68.10     3.88     9.67     0.07     0.53    37.41     9.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   56   +6      69.35     4.12     7.65     0.21     1.33    47.08    12.88P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   55  +10      67.36     3.84    12.12     0.05     0.29    32.11     9.44P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   55   +2      66.93     3.83     3.49     0.02     0.12    22.91     5.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   54   +5      65.61     3.78     6.02     0.01     0.10    15.83     4.36P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          37   53   +6      67.41     4.20     9.10     0.03     0.32    32.94     8.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   51   -2      64.20     4.33    -2.49     0.01     0.07    10.52     2.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          36   48   +1      62.41     4.43     2.06     0.00     0.02     5.94     1.55P    0.21R    0.00  
QPR              38   48   -4      58.33     3.81    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    1.49R    0.01  
Blackpool        38   47   +1      56.87     3.81    -0.84     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    3.13R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        37   47   -2      59.55     4.04    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.20P    1.11R    0.00  
Preston          38   46   -5      56.02     3.75    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    5.30R    0.05  
Barnsley         37   46  -10      55.88     3.91   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    7.84R    0.09  
Norwich          38   46  -11      55.02     3.70   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   10.29R    0.25  
Southampton      38   45  -12      53.82     3.68   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.50R    0.50  
Coventry         37   43  -13      52.73     3.94   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.36R    1.72  
Sheff_Wed        36   42   -5      55.36     4.30    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   12.01R    0.47  
Leicester        38   41   -1      51.65     3.68    -1.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.24R    2.38  
Scunthorpe       37   38  -18      47.23     3.80   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.67R   22.97  
Colchester       37   32  -14      42.74     4.04   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.83R   71.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          35   74  +35      95.64     4.37    45.39    90.71    98.39   100.00    98.84P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        36   68  +23      85.75     4.25    28.82     3.76    49.83    99.94    63.26P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         35   67  +19      85.85     4.54    24.80     5.45    47.37    99.91    59.91P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     35   58  +23      77.44     4.38    29.24     0.07     4.23    93.39    32.90P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   55  +12      71.04     4.20    15.53     0.00     0.04    50.79    10.94P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         36   55   +8      69.62     4.31     9.46     0.00     0.03    34.90     5.25P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            36   53  +25      71.34     4.21    31.92     0.00     0.10    58.75    17.62P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   53  +11      68.06     3.96    14.93     0.00     0.00    22.72     4.82P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   53   +5      66.58     4.07     7.09     0.00     0.00    13.07     2.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   53   -5      62.98     3.89    -8.49     0.00     0.00     2.07     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         35   52   +7      66.80     4.51     6.74     0.00     0.01    16.20     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   51   +2      62.83     3.99     1.36     0.00     0.00     2.42     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       37   49   +4      60.80     3.99     3.16     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          36   47   +1      60.66     4.29     1.10     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     36   46  -15      56.49     4.13   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00P    0.56R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   45   +1      62.37     4.97     0.58     0.00     0.00     3.78     0.60P    0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil           37   45  -13      53.04     3.55   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.15R    0.00  
Millwall         37   43  -13      53.55     3.94   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.99R    0.00  
Cheltenham       37   40  -19      48.91     3.72   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.24R    0.01  
Crewe            37   37  -21      46.77     3.90   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.89R    0.15  
Bournemouth      37   36  -19      46.34     3.84   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.64R    0.21  
Gillingham       36   36  -25      46.48     4.05   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.71R    0.53  
Luton            36   25  -17      36.30     4.04   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.83R   26.76  
Port_Vale        37   25  -29      33.47     3.69   -35.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   72.34  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         37   77  +35      92.87     4.00    40.57    33.42    92.53   100.00    95.18P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   36   75  +34      94.85     4.12    43.23    57.08    96.75   100.00    97.96P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             36   70  +24      86.87     4.27    28.82     3.68    45.12    99.89    62.32P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           36   69  +30      87.91     4.25    37.46     5.81    63.68    99.94    78.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   63  +12      76.07     4.06    13.16     0.00     0.40    74.29    17.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            36   62  +13      77.31     4.33    15.46     0.01     1.30    82.13    17.87P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   58   +7      72.40     4.20     9.99     0.00     0.01    40.66     8.13P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   57  +15      72.56     4.09    20.00     0.00     0.03    46.66    10.97P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             34   53   +7      73.74     5.00    13.37     0.00     0.19    54.39    11.60P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              37   52   +0      62.45     3.97    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   50   -6      60.91     4.22   -10.34     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            37   49  -12      59.25     4.03   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             35   47   +1      61.00     4.57    -0.63     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   46  -10      56.42     3.96   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   45  -25      54.63     3.90   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           36   42   -5      56.92     4.45    -3.38     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.15R    0.02  
Bury                 37   42   -6      55.17     4.15    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.04  
Chester              37   40  -13      49.08     3.84   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.93R    1.25  
Dag_&_Red            37   40  -15      49.40     3.83   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.76R    1.40  
Barnet               34   39  -12      53.69     4.86   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.89R    0.40  
Notts_County         36   35  -15      45.40     4.08   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.24R   11.22  
Macclesfield         37   35  -20      45.69     4.04   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.48R   11.06  
Mansfield            35   30  -17      43.34     4.62   -19.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.34R   25.27  
Wrexham              34   29  -22      41.30     4.49   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.66R   49.34  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 13 March 2008, Stevenage vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           35   80  +29     101.19     4.45    39.45    94.41   100.00    95.69P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           36   67  +30      85.01     4.32    36.87     0.33    85.12    23.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       35   67  +23      88.29     4.37    32.57     1.90    95.25    29.43P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             34   66  +23      89.17     4.59    34.97     3.22    96.05    24.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       35   62  +22      80.98     4.59    28.01     0.08    51.40    12.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              35   62  +20      81.89     4.40    28.77     0.06    60.70    12.71P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           36   56  +10      70.58     4.38    11.34     0.00     1.08     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        35   55  +13      72.91     4.73    17.19     0.00     4.47     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              36   54   +2      69.66     4.32     5.34     0.00     0.40     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    33   53   +5      72.00     5.09     6.81     0.00     3.18     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        33   50  +12      70.21     5.12    15.63     0.00     2.03     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
York                34   50   +1      66.51     4.79     0.56     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   34   47   +7      64.33     4.81     8.68     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       35   47   +4      61.81     4.59     3.58     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      33   45   -1      64.73     5.00     2.07     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          35   44   -5      58.49     4.50    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             34   43   +1      57.57     4.79    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              36   41   -8      52.43     4.15   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      35   32  -22      43.62     4.28   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.69R    0.00  
Altrincham          37   32  -25      40.00     3.65   -32.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            34   31  -20      43.97     4.51   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.63R    0.00  
Northwich           33   22  -32      32.29     4.35   -45.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.52R    1.34  
Stafford_Rangers    34   19  -38      28.51     4.14   -50.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.16R    9.28  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.87     4.00   -70.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   89.37