Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 12 March 2008 at 22:37:47 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Aston_Villa vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         29   66  +36      83.77     3.50    45.40    27.59    74.86    96.88    99.60   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.95     3.68    56.09    63.39    89.47    99.08    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   61  +30      80.63     3.93    39.22     8.89    33.67    86.52    97.30    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   56  +33      72.59     3.79    39.90     0.11     1.13     9.18    54.59    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   56  +23      72.56     3.68    30.44     0.03     0.87     8.31    46.35    98.35     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     29   49  +15      64.66     3.62    20.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.60    55.63     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      29   47  +11      63.34     3.99    17.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.60    38.80     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +3      58.60     3.85     3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.14     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   45   +1      57.32     4.03     1.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.12     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   40   -4      52.41     3.81    -3.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   35   +8      51.61     4.30    13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   30  -17      38.68     3.43   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.99R    0.00  
Wigan           29   28  -16      36.20     3.57   -22.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.32R    0.00  
Reading         29   28  -21      38.52     3.85   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.33R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   28  -26      35.99     3.53   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.13R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   27  -21      35.87     3.75   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.77R    0.00  
Birmingham      29   26  -12      36.77     4.02   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.32R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.58     3.69   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.95R    0.00  
Fulham          29   20  -23      29.28     3.77   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.18R    0.05  
Derby           29   10  -49      13.82     2.61   -64.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.95  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Cardiff vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     38   67   +3      78.35     3.81     3.59    16.72    40.94    98.63    52.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   66  +12      78.65     3.90    14.46    21.51    48.92    98.84    60.36P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   63  +14      77.38     4.05    17.01    16.15    37.24    96.87    52.96P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   62  +29      80.42     4.36    36.92    45.24    70.14    99.43    80.55P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         38   56   +8      68.13     3.89     9.74     0.06     0.49    37.69    10.08P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   56   +6      69.37     4.13     7.70     0.21     1.29    47.36    12.54P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   55  +10      67.40     3.86    12.16     0.05     0.33    32.43     9.65P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   55   +2      66.94     3.85     3.50     0.01     0.12    22.98     5.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   54   +5      65.63     3.77     6.04     0.00     0.08    15.70     4.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          37   53   +6      67.41     4.17     9.10     0.03     0.35    32.57     8.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   51   -2      64.17     4.30    -2.53     0.02     0.09    10.14     2.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          36   48   +1      62.36     4.42     1.96     0.00     0.02     5.79     1.36P    0.19R    0.00  
QPR              38   48   -4      58.31     3.82    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.08P    1.44R    0.01  
Blackpool        38   47   +1      56.85     3.81    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    3.06R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        37   47   -2      59.53     4.05    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.16P    1.11R    0.00  
Preston          38   46   -5      55.96     3.74    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    5.33R    0.05  
Barnsley         37   46  -10      55.87     3.91   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.01R    0.11  
Norwich          38   46  -11      55.06     3.69   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   10.24R    0.23  
Southampton      38   45  -12      53.83     3.67   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.38R    0.47  
Coventry         37   43  -13      52.79     3.96   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.85R    1.84  
Sheff_Wed        36   42   -5      55.31     4.28    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   12.07R    0.46  
Leicester        38   41   -1      51.61     3.67    -1.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.12R    2.38  
Scunthorpe       37   38  -18      47.27     3.82   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.32R   22.85  
Colchester       37   32  -14      42.73     4.05   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.86R   71.56  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          35   74  +35      95.66     4.39    45.44    90.81    98.25   100.00    98.79P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        36   68  +23      85.78     4.23    28.86     3.73    50.42    99.94    64.10P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         35   67  +19      85.83     4.52    24.81     5.37    47.12    99.89    59.41P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     35   58  +23      77.36     4.39    29.13     0.09     4.02    93.12    32.71P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   55  +12      71.01     4.20    15.50     0.00     0.04    50.39    10.76P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         36   55   +8      69.69     4.34     9.52     0.00     0.04    35.87     5.19P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            36   53  +25      71.35     4.22    31.93     0.00     0.10    58.59    17.60P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   53  +11      68.02     3.96    14.87     0.00     0.00    22.42     4.75P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   53   +5      66.56     4.05     7.05     0.00     0.00    12.86     2.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   53   -5      63.03     3.86    -8.39     0.00     0.00     2.05     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         35   52   +7      66.90     4.50     6.92     0.00     0.01    16.83     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      37   51   +2      62.87     4.01     1.37     0.00     0.00     2.35     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       37   49   +4      60.77     4.01     3.14     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          36   47   +1      60.68     4.25     1.08     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     36   46  -15      56.50     4.15   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.62R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   45   +1      62.30     4.95     0.44     0.00     0.00     3.65     0.61P    0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil           37   45  -13      53.05     3.54   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.00  
Millwall         37   43  -13      53.51     3.94   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.04R    0.00  
Cheltenham       37   40  -19      48.94     3.70   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.37R    0.01  
Crewe            37   37  -21      46.72     3.90   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.02R    0.18  
Bournemouth      37   36  -19      46.39     3.84   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.34R    0.19  
Gillingham       36   36  -25      46.42     4.09   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.78R    0.45  
Luton            36   25  -17      36.37     4.07   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.77R   26.16  
Port_Vale        37   25  -29      33.44     3.69   -35.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   73.01  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         37   77  +35      92.81     4.01    40.45    32.43    92.39   100.00    95.05P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   36   75  +34      94.94     4.13    43.33    58.36    96.85   100.00    98.12P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             36   70  +24      86.89     4.31    28.83     3.78    45.72    99.91    62.91P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           36   69  +30      87.83     4.24    37.36     5.43    62.92    99.95    77.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   63  +12      76.10     4.09    13.19     0.00     0.48    74.23    17.60P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            36   62  +13      77.29     4.33    15.45     0.00     1.38    82.53    17.67P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   58   +7      72.39     4.19     9.98     0.00     0.02    40.53     8.24P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   57  +15      72.56     4.10    19.97     0.00     0.03    46.72    11.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             34   53   +7      73.68     5.00    13.28     0.00     0.20    53.96    11.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              37   52   +0      62.49     4.00    -2.73     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            36   50   -6      60.90     4.24   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            37   49  -12      59.32     4.04   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             35   47   +1      60.95     4.55    -0.75     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   46  -10      56.40     4.00   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   45  -25      54.57     3.91   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.02  
Shrewsbury           36   42   -5      56.89     4.45    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.15R    0.02  
Bury                 37   42   -6      55.20     4.15    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.04  
Chester              37   40  -13      49.13     3.88   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.14R    1.28  
Dag_&_Red            37   40  -15      49.45     3.85   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.50R    1.38  
Barnet               34   39  -12      53.64     4.83   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.81R    0.36  
Notts_County         36   35  -15      45.48     4.06   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.32R   10.82  
Macclesfield         37   35  -20      45.69     4.07   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.18R   11.63  
Mansfield            35   30  -17      43.38     4.56   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.22R   24.81  
Wrexham              34   29  -22      41.30     4.48   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.09R   49.64  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 March 2008, Aldershot vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           35   80  +29     101.16     4.42    39.42    94.72   100.00    95.85P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       35   67  +23      88.20     4.37    32.42     1.79    95.50    29.53P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             34   66  +23      89.14     4.60    34.89     3.13    96.34    24.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           35   64  +29      83.92     4.58    36.67     0.24    79.54    22.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       35   62  +22      80.99     4.59    28.04     0.07    53.86    13.06P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              35   62  +20      81.87     4.39    28.74     0.06    62.36    13.10P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           36   56  +10      70.58     4.36    11.32     0.00     1.35     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        35   55  +13      72.83     4.77    17.06     0.00     4.75     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              36   54   +2      69.63     4.33     5.29     0.00     0.45     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    33   53   +5      71.92     5.05     6.71     0.00     3.44     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        33   50  +12      70.24     5.07    15.70     0.00     2.05     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
York                34   50   +1      66.56     4.78     0.61     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   34   47   +7      64.39     4.83     8.80     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       34   47   +5      62.70     4.81     3.76     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      33   45   -1      64.70     5.01     2.04     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          35   44   -5      58.55     4.46    -5.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             34   43   +1      57.58     4.77    -2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              36   41   -8      52.51     4.16   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      35   32  -22      43.63     4.30   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.47R    0.00  
Altrincham          37   32  -25      40.06     3.66   -32.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.69R    0.00  
Weymouth            34   31  -20      44.00     4.50   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.72R    0.00  
Northwich           33   22  -32      32.24     4.31   -45.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.03R    1.41  
Stafford_Rangers    34   19  -38      28.55     4.17   -50.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.14R    9.19  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.86     4.03   -70.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   89.40