Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 11 March 2008 at 22:37:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 March 2008, Sunderland vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         29   66  +36      83.92     3.47    45.68    29.75    78.78    97.34    99.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.88     3.68    55.99    62.68    90.52    99.11    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   58  +25      80.01     4.09    36.05     7.42    28.66    82.65    95.80    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   56  +33      72.60     3.79    39.94     0.12     1.21    10.81    54.10    98.49     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   56  +23      72.50     3.65    30.24     0.03     0.82     9.79    45.75    98.29     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   48  +15      66.26     3.84    22.82     0.00     0.01     0.30     4.24    71.42     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +3      58.55     3.83     3.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     3.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   45   +1      57.41     4.01     1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.44     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   44   +9      62.30     4.27    16.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.45    25.18     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   40   -4      52.36     3.82    -4.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   35   +8      51.75     4.29    13.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   29  -17      37.95     3.56   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.07R    0.00  
Wigan           29   28  -16      36.22     3.61   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.51R    0.00  
Reading         29   28  -21      38.52     3.84   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.11R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   28  -26      36.03     3.56   -34.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.97R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   27  -21      35.87     3.75   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.91R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   26  -10      37.46     4.20   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.88R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.61     3.71   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.40R    0.00  
Fulham          29   20  -23      29.28     3.77   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.15R    0.07  
Derby           28   10  -44      14.02     2.68   -61.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 March 2008, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     38   67   +3      78.37     3.79     3.62    14.58    38.40    98.61    49.78P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   66  +12      78.72     3.89    14.55    18.55    46.91    98.73    59.31P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   63  +14      77.39     4.07    16.99    14.02    35.07    96.41    51.34P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   61  +29      81.42     4.61    37.96    52.05    75.01    99.47    83.65P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         38   56   +8      68.05     3.86     9.61     0.06     0.42    35.16     9.20P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   56   +7      70.87     4.37     8.91     0.67     3.32    59.67    17.71P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         38   55  +10      67.36     3.84    12.12     0.02     0.24    30.20     8.78P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   55   +2      67.03     3.85     3.65     0.00     0.12    22.30     5.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          37   53   +6      67.45     4.17     9.15     0.03     0.28    31.22     8.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   53   +5      65.33     4.00     4.99     0.02     0.13    14.01     3.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   51   -2      64.17     4.29    -2.54     0.00     0.08     9.56     2.17P    0.02R    0.00  
QPR              38   48   -4      58.28     3.80    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.08P    1.46R    0.00  
Blackpool        38   47   +1      56.88     3.82    -0.86     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P    3.05R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        37   47   -2      59.50     4.04    -1.55     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.18P    1.09R    0.00  
Preston          38   46   -5      55.97     3.75    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    5.40R    0.07  
Barnsley         37   46  -10      55.88     3.92   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    8.13R    0.09  
Norwich          38   46  -11      55.04     3.69   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.83R    0.28  
Cardiff          35   45   +0      60.61     4.68     0.81     0.00     0.01     3.33     0.89P    1.07R    0.02  
Southampton      38   45  -12      53.76     3.68   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.01R    0.49  
Coventry         37   43  -13      52.81     3.98   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.52R    1.73  
Sheff_Wed        36   42   -5      55.31     4.28    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   11.91R    0.44  
Leicester        38   41   -1      51.61     3.68    -1.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.04R    2.39  
Scunthorpe       37   38  -18      47.31     3.85   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.67R   22.78  
Colchester       37   32  -14      42.74     4.04   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.81R   71.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 March 2008, Carlisle vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          35   74  +35      95.58     4.38    45.35    90.58    98.30   100.00    98.88P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        36   68  +23      85.65     4.25    28.69     3.64    48.73    99.93    62.52P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         35   67  +19      85.91     4.54    24.88     5.70    48.44    99.87    60.45P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     35   58  +23      77.46     4.39    29.26     0.08     4.34    93.22    33.05P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          36   55  +12      71.03     4.19    15.51     0.00     0.06    50.20    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         36   55   +8      69.63     4.36     9.46     0.00     0.03    34.93     5.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            36   53  +25      71.32     4.21    31.90     0.00     0.09    58.01    17.61P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           37   53  +11      68.01     3.97    14.85     0.00     0.00    22.14     4.72P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         37   53   +5      66.57     4.05     7.07     0.00     0.00    12.60     2.19P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   53   -5      63.03     3.88    -8.38     0.00     0.00     2.09     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         35   52   +7      66.88     4.50     6.84     0.00     0.00    16.49     2.72P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   50   +2      62.90     4.22     0.91     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       37   49   +4      60.76     3.99     3.14     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          36   47   +1      60.76     4.28     1.25     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield     36   46  -15      56.52     4.13   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.58R    0.00  
Yeovil           37   45  -13      52.95     3.54   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.45R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   +1      63.03     5.23     1.00     0.00     0.00     5.68     0.95P    0.06R    0.00  
Millwall         37   43  -13      53.56     3.96   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.17R    0.00  
Cheltenham       37   40  -19      48.94     3.70   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.74R    0.01  
Crewe            37   37  -21      46.79     3.91   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.41R    0.17  
Bournemouth      37   36  -19      46.40     3.83   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.00R    0.15  
Gillingham       36   36  -25      46.39     4.10   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.90R    0.45  
Luton            36   25  -17      36.35     4.07   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.77R   26.46  
Port_Vale        37   25  -29      33.43     3.73   -35.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   72.76  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 March 2008, Brentford vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         37   77  +35      92.87     4.02    40.55    33.38    92.68   100.00    95.27P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   36   75  +34      94.84     4.13    43.21    57.37    96.77   100.00    97.98P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             36   70  +24      86.86     4.30    28.81     3.66    45.25    99.91    62.64P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           36   69  +30      87.88     4.23    37.43     5.57    63.27    99.93    78.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   63  +12      75.98     4.07    13.02     0.00     0.39    73.65    16.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            36   62  +13      77.31     4.32    15.46     0.01     1.37    82.33    17.52P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   58   +7      72.33     4.17     9.91     0.00     0.02    39.45     7.79P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   57  +15      72.61     4.09    20.05     0.00     0.05    47.50    11.55P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             34   53   +7      73.72     4.99    13.36     0.00     0.20    54.40    11.93P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              37   52   +0      62.49     3.99    -2.71     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            35   50   -5      62.86     4.50    -8.35     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            37   49  -12      59.27     4.03   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   46  -10      56.36     3.97   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Bradford             34   44   +0      59.34     4.85    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   42   -5      56.84     4.45    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.15R    0.02  
Bury                 37   42   -6      55.23     4.13    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.28R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   36   42  -26      52.39     4.15   -31.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.32  
Chester              36   40  -12      50.44     4.17   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.55R    0.73  
Dag_&_Red            37   40  -15      49.47     3.83   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.90R    1.54  
Barnet               34   39  -12      53.72     4.80   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.82R    0.35  
Notts_County         36   35  -15      45.43     4.06   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.44R   11.30  
Macclesfield         37   35  -20      45.69     4.05   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.27R   11.52  
Mansfield            35   30  -17      43.36     4.59   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.83R   25.82  
Wrexham              34   29  -22      41.44     4.53   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.64R   48.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 March 2008, Aldershot vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           35   80  +29     101.17     4.42    39.43    94.82   100.00    95.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       35   67  +23      88.26     4.33    32.51     1.71    95.67    29.69P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             34   66  +23      89.11     4.62    34.82     3.07    96.15    23.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           35   64  +29      83.92     4.59    36.71     0.27    79.31    22.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       35   62  +22      80.96     4.59    27.96     0.06    53.48    12.67P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              35   62  +20      81.90     4.38    28.79     0.08    62.66    13.09P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           36   56  +10      70.56     4.36    11.28     0.00     1.26     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        35   55  +13      72.95     4.74    17.27     0.00     4.96     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              36   54   +2      69.71     4.35     5.43     0.00     0.45     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    33   53   +5      71.98     5.05     6.78     0.00     3.43     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        33   50  +12      70.38     5.12    15.89     0.00     2.28     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
York                34   50   +1      66.53     4.78     0.59     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   34   47   +7      64.32     4.80     8.67     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       34   47   +5      62.65     4.82     3.67     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      33   45   -1      64.64     5.01     1.97     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          35   44   -5      58.50     4.45    -5.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             34   43   +1      57.46     4.77    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              36   41   -8      52.42     4.18   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      35   32  -22      43.66     4.31   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.53R    0.00  
Altrincham          37   32  -25      40.07     3.68   -32.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.80R    0.00  
Weymouth            34   31  -20      44.01     4.50   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.65R    0.00  
Northwich           33   22  -32      32.29     4.31   -45.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.86R    1.31  
Stafford_Rangers    34   19  -38      28.55     4.15   -50.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.21R    9.09  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.85     4.01   -70.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   89.59