Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 10 March 2008 at 22:37:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 March 2008, Sunderland vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         29   66  +36      83.89     3.51    45.63    28.99    78.12    97.26    99.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.97     3.66    56.11    63.52    90.60    99.24    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   58  +25      80.07     4.08    36.14     7.38    29.23    83.06    95.93    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   56  +33      72.50     3.78    39.79     0.08     1.13    10.19    53.44    98.36     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   56  +23      72.51     3.71    30.28     0.04     0.92     9.93    46.16    98.16     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   48  +15      66.27     3.82    22.78     0.00     0.01     0.30     4.38    71.39     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +3      58.61     3.86     3.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.28     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   45   +1      57.44     4.01     1.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.66     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   44   +9      62.21     4.28    15.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.44    24.81     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   40   -4      52.35     3.84    -4.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   35   +8      51.72     4.29    13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   29  -17      37.88     3.57   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.25R    0.00  
Wigan           29   28  -16      36.20     3.58   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.70R    0.00  
Reading         29   28  -21      38.53     3.86   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.10R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   28  -26      36.08     3.57   -34.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.52R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   27  -21      35.89     3.74   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.61R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   26  -10      37.42     4.22   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.36R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.65     3.72   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.11R    0.00  
Fulham          29   20  -23      29.29     3.76   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.36R    0.07  
Derby           28   10  -44      14.07     2.72   -61.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 March 2008, Blackpool vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     37   66   +3      78.81     4.09     3.72    18.26    44.31    97.29    53.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   63  +11      77.12     4.19    13.56    11.37    32.17    93.68    46.41P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   62  +14      77.77     4.34    17.05    17.00    39.51    94.72    53.70P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   61  +29      81.45     4.61    37.98    51.95    75.88    99.05    83.99P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         37   56   +9      69.48     4.17    10.67     0.28     1.57    41.42    11.59P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   56   +7      70.79     4.39     8.75     0.65     3.11    51.44    15.08P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   55  +11      69.28     4.10    13.86     0.21     1.41    41.08    13.24P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   53   +9      69.51     4.46    13.17     0.23     1.63    44.20    13.33P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   53   +5      65.40     4.02     5.08     0.02     0.10    10.63     2.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          37   52   +1      65.46     4.14     2.72     0.00     0.06    10.87     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   51   -1      65.49     4.56    -1.51     0.03     0.24    12.52     2.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        37   47   +2      58.24     4.11     0.14     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.09P    1.12R    0.02  
Norwich          37   46  -10      56.31     3.98   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.47R    0.11  
Cardiff          35   45   +0      60.67     4.68     0.88     0.00     0.01     2.29     0.55P    0.73R    0.03  
QPR              37   45   -5      56.60     4.06    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.70R    0.12  
Sheff_Utd        36   44   -3      58.29     4.27    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    2.27R    0.04  
Preston          37   43   -6      54.24     4.00    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.85R    0.41  
Coventry         36   43  -12      53.81     4.23   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.48R    1.18  
Barnsley         36   43  -13      53.54     4.13   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.62R    0.92  
Southampton      37   42  -13      52.07     3.95   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.61R    1.91  
Leicester        37   41   +0      53.26     4.00     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   16.08R    1.22  
Sheff_Wed        35   39   -6      53.35     4.55    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   19.27R    2.06  
Scunthorpe       36   35  -19      45.05     4.05   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.87R   43.83  
Colchester       36   32  -13      44.21     4.33   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.92R   48.14  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 March 2008, Carlisle vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          34   73  +35      96.87     4.59    46.75    93.65    99.04   100.00    99.31P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        35   65  +22      85.17     4.44    29.54     2.66    48.71    99.79    61.77P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         34   64  +18      85.05     4.74    25.05     3.56    43.96    99.55    56.08P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     34   57  +23      77.95     4.63    29.48     0.13     6.77    91.83    32.53P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   55  +13      73.16     4.47    17.60     0.00     0.40    63.88    13.95P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         35   54   +8      69.73     4.57     9.10     0.00     0.12    30.26     4.40P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            35   53  +26      74.21     4.36    35.20     0.00     1.00    76.86    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         36   52   +5      66.11     4.25     5.85     0.00     0.00     8.75     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           36   50   +9      67.10     4.21    14.05     0.00     0.01    12.78     2.70P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   50   +2      63.01     4.24     1.09     0.00     0.00     2.12     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   50   -6      61.35     4.14    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         34   49   +6      64.44     4.69     4.76     0.00     0.00     6.48     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          35   47   +2      62.31     4.55     2.54     0.00     0.00     2.23     0.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool       36   46   +3      59.59     4.25     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    0.06R    0.00  
Huddersfield     35   46  -14      57.32     4.34   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    0.41R    0.00  
Yeovil           36   45  -12      54.59     3.85   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.22R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   +1      63.00     5.17     0.97     0.00     0.00     4.14     0.65P    0.06R    0.00  
Millwall         36   40  -14      51.57     4.20   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.41R    0.00  
Crewe            36   37  -19      48.93     4.19   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.68R    0.06  
Cheltenham       36   37  -20      46.02     3.80   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.23R    0.10  
Bournemouth      36   36  -17      47.12     4.04   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.38R    0.07  
Gillingham       35   36  -24      46.78     4.20   -31.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.62R    0.21  
Luton            35   25  -16      36.84     4.23   -20.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.95R   13.82  
Port_Vale        36   22  -31      31.10     3.90   -38.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   85.74  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 March 2008, Chesterfield vs Milton_Keynes_Dons; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   36   75  +34      94.95     4.11    43.37    58.93    97.09   100.00    98.26P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         36   74  +34      92.05     4.27    40.83    28.27    89.91   100.00    93.49P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           35   68  +30      88.95     4.48    38.48     9.93    73.60    99.95    83.92P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             35   67  +23      85.88     4.50    28.84     2.85    37.32    99.61    56.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   60  +11      74.94     4.30    12.82     0.00     0.30    62.53    14.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            35   59  +11      75.20     4.60    12.65     0.01     0.63    63.88    12.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   58  +10      74.45     4.49    14.00     0.00     0.17    59.09    13.22P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         37   57  +15      72.58     4.12    20.02     0.00     0.06    45.67    11.27P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             33   53   +9      75.57     5.24    16.10     0.01     0.93    66.90    15.57P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            35   50   -5      62.74     4.51    -8.57     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              36   49   -3      60.38     4.20    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            36   49  -11      59.99     4.23   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             34   44   +0      59.25     4.80    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.08P    0.03R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         36   43  -11      54.64     4.23   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   36   42  -26      52.38     4.11   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.51R    0.41  
Shrewsbury           35   41   -5      56.58     4.66    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.37R    0.06  
Chester              36   40  -12      50.49     4.20   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.08R    0.95  
Dag_&_Red            36   40  -14      51.01     4.15   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.78R    1.01  
Bury                 36   39   -9      52.68     4.38    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.21R    0.46  
Barnet               33   39   -9      55.66     5.12   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.99R    0.19  
Notts_County         35   35  -14      46.88     4.35   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.46R    7.57  
Macclesfield         36   32  -21      43.92     4.36   -23.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.00R   24.20  
Mansfield            34   30  -16      44.23     4.84   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.50R   22.20  
Wrexham              33   29  -21      42.13     4.68   -26.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.57R   42.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 March 2008, York vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           34   77  +27      99.98     4.70    38.09    86.34    99.98    89.42P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       35   67  +23      88.31     4.36    32.62     2.70    94.65    30.26P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             33   66  +24      91.23     4.84    37.05    10.25    97.71    30.39P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           35   64  +29      83.84     4.59    36.54     0.37    76.23    20.94P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              35   62  +20      82.00     4.37    28.99     0.15    59.69    12.52P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       34   61  +22      81.63     4.84    28.47     0.18    55.33    13.37P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           36   56  +10      70.55     4.37    11.28     0.00     1.03     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        35   55  +13      72.84     4.74    17.10     0.00     4.17     0.80P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              35   54   +4      70.73     4.57     6.77     0.00     1.02     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    32   53   +8      74.28     5.33    11.23     0.00     8.44     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
York                34   50   +1      66.59     4.78     0.70     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        32   47  +11      69.07     5.38    15.39     0.00     1.35     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       34   47   +5      62.59     4.79     3.58     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   33   44   +4      61.71     5.05     4.21     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      32   44   -1      65.00     5.28     1.97     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          35   44   -5      58.49     4.51    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              36   41   -8      52.35     4.13   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             33   40   +0      55.24     5.04    -4.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham          36   32  -24      40.90     3.90   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.16R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      34   31  -22      43.86     4.58   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            33   30  -20      44.68     4.83   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.00  
Northwich           33   22  -32      32.24     4.33   -45.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.70R    1.42  
Stafford_Rangers    34   19  -38      28.53     4.14   -50.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.60R    8.92  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.81     4.01   -70.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   89.66