Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 9 March 2008 at 22:37:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 March 2008, Sunderland vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         29   66  +36      83.85     3.47    45.60    28.31    77.80    97.20    99.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.98     3.67    56.09    63.89    90.33    99.16    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   58  +25      80.11     4.09    36.21     7.67    29.79    83.30    95.91    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   56  +33      72.57     3.78    39.91     0.10     1.19    10.38    53.98    98.36     0.00     0.00  
Everton         29   56  +23      72.48     3.69    30.25     0.03     0.87     9.70    45.77    98.24     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   48  +15      66.30     3.83    22.87     0.00     0.01     0.25     4.24    71.72     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +3      58.58     3.86     3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.04     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   45   +1      57.36     4.04     1.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     2.54     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   44   +9      62.24     4.27    15.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.44    24.86     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        29   40   -4      52.27     3.80    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   35   +8      51.70     4.28    13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   29  -17      37.87     3.58   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.25R    0.00  
Wigan           29   28  -16      36.26     3.61   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.02R    0.00  
Reading         29   28  -21      38.49     3.88   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.44R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   28  -26      36.03     3.58   -34.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.91R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   27  -21      35.90     3.74   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.70R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   26  -10      37.49     4.20   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.86R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.60     3.69   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.76R    0.00  
Fulham          29   20  -23      29.34     3.76   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.06R    0.12  
Derby           28   10  -44      14.11     2.71   -61.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.88  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 March 2008, Blackpool vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     37   66   +3      78.86     4.12     3.79    19.07    45.29    97.32    54.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   63  +11      77.08     4.22    13.50    11.38    32.14    93.67    46.04P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   62  +14      77.64     4.31    16.86    16.31    38.40    94.48    52.41P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   61  +29      81.48     4.60    38.01    51.83    75.97    99.22    83.97P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         37   56   +9      69.39     4.14    10.54     0.26     1.42    40.54    11.39P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   56   +7      70.88     4.38     8.90     0.61     3.33    52.43    15.62P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   55  +11      69.23     4.12    13.81     0.20     1.29    40.76    13.13P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   53   +9      69.55     4.42    13.24     0.27     1.72    44.56    13.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   53   +5      65.48     4.00     5.17     0.02     0.12    10.75     2.95P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   52   +1      65.46     4.13     2.72     0.00     0.07    10.70     2.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   51   -1      65.52     4.55    -1.48     0.06     0.24    12.58     2.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        37   47   +2      58.33     4.08     0.29     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    1.08R    0.01  
Norwich          37   46  -10      56.30     3.98   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P    4.65R    0.13  
Cardiff          35   45   +0      60.52     4.70     0.69     0.00     0.01     2.17     0.54P    0.86R    0.02  
QPR              37   45   -5      56.59     4.06    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    3.71R    0.14  
Sheff_Utd        36   44   -3      58.29     4.31    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    2.28R    0.03  
Preston          37   43   -6      54.21     3.97    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   10.88R    0.44  
Coventry         36   43  -12      53.89     4.23   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   17.54R    1.09  
Barnsley         36   43  -13      53.55     4.12   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   18.41R    0.90  
Southampton      37   42  -13      52.04     3.95   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.16R    1.99  
Leicester        37   41   +0      53.25     3.99     0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.11R    1.20  
Sheff_Wed        35   39   -6      53.32     4.58    -6.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   19.77R    2.04  
Scunthorpe       36   35  -19      45.02     4.04   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.89R   44.35  
Colchester       36   32  -13      44.28     4.35   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.67R   47.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 March 2008, Carlisle vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          34   73  +35      96.85     4.57    46.71    93.67    99.04   100.00    99.32P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        35   65  +22      85.20     4.43    29.59     2.61    47.93    99.77    61.21P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         34   64  +18      85.17     4.75    25.26     3.60    44.76    99.59    57.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     34   57  +23      77.99     4.64    29.52     0.10     6.84    91.88    32.64P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   55  +13      73.03     4.46    17.43     0.00     0.38    62.80    13.59P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         35   54   +8      69.74     4.56     9.09     0.00     0.10    30.58     4.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            35   53  +26      74.21     4.35    35.21     0.00     0.94    77.05    25.07P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         36   52   +5      66.09     4.26     5.81     0.00     0.00     8.79     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           36   50   +9      67.10     4.21    13.98     0.00     0.00    12.94     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   50   +2      62.99     4.25     1.05     0.00     0.00     2.30     0.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   50   -6      61.33     4.14    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton         34   49   +6      64.44     4.71     4.72     0.00     0.00     6.48     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          35   47   +2      62.27     4.52     2.50     0.00     0.00     2.05     0.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool       36   46   +3      59.64     4.23     2.94     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P    0.06R    0.00  
Huddersfield     35   46  -14      57.31     4.36   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.44R    0.00  
Yeovil           36   45  -12      54.56     3.84   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    2.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   +1      63.16     5.19     1.17     0.00     0.00     4.51     0.71P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall         36   40  -14      51.58     4.18   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.00R    0.00  
Crewe            36   37  -19      49.08     4.23   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.35R    0.03  
Cheltenham       36   37  -20      45.94     3.78   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.05R    0.12  
Bournemouth      36   36  -17      47.10     4.01   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.43R    0.06  
Gillingham       35   36  -24      46.64     4.17   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.78R    0.21  
Luton            35   25  -16      36.81     4.22   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.85R   13.97  
Port_Vale        36   22  -31      31.10     3.91   -38.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   85.61  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 March 2008, Chester vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         36   74  +34      92.15     4.24    40.97    34.00    90.61   100.00    93.76P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   35   72  +33      93.59     4.39    42.73    49.60    94.25   100.00    96.43P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           35   68  +30      88.97     4.48    38.51    12.58    74.05    99.93    83.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             35   67  +23      85.90     4.50    28.83     3.80    38.61    99.52    57.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   60  +11      74.96     4.28    12.84     0.00     0.39    61.15    14.47P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            35   59  +11      75.21     4.63    12.67     0.01     0.69    62.03    12.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   58  +10      74.43     4.47    13.97     0.00     0.20    57.05    12.56P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         36   57  +16      73.57     4.35    20.48     0.00     0.20    53.39    13.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             33   53   +9      75.48     5.23    15.97     0.01     1.01    64.91    15.10P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            35   50   -5      62.77     4.48    -8.50     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              36   49   -3      60.45     4.21    -6.28     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            36   49  -11      59.93     4.18   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             34   44   +0      59.17     4.81    -2.03     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         36   43  -11      54.72     4.24   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.45R    0.05  
Accrington_Stanley   36   42  -26      52.41     4.14   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.46R    0.40  
Shrewsbury           35   41   -5      56.50     4.67    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.38R    0.07  
Chester              36   40  -12      50.41     4.17   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.08R    1.02  
Dag_&_Red            36   40  -14      51.10     4.13   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.68R    1.02  
Bury                 36   39   -9      52.69     4.39    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.20R    0.46  
Barnet               33   39   -9      55.68     5.09   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.92R    0.20  
Notts_County         35   35  -14      46.86     4.36   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.61R    7.50  
Macclesfield         36   32  -21      43.90     4.33   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.11R   24.41  
Mansfield            34   30  -16      44.23     4.83   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.03R   22.15  
Wrexham              33   29  -21      42.17     4.72   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.04R   42.71  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 March 2008, Altrincham vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           34   77  +27      99.92     4.69    37.95    85.60    99.98    88.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       35   67  +23      88.21     4.36    32.50     2.51    93.39    28.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             33   66  +24      91.46     4.81    37.47    10.71    97.59    31.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           35   64  +29      83.87     4.54    36.57     0.37    73.67    20.44P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              34   62  +21      83.97     4.65    30.94     0.58    71.69    16.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       34   61  +22      81.46     4.87    28.26     0.23    49.55    11.44P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           36   56  +10      70.56     4.39    11.29     0.00     0.82     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        35   55  +13      72.88     4.72    17.17     0.00     3.42     0.61P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              35   54   +4      70.66     4.56     6.69     0.00     0.75     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    32   53   +8      74.49     5.33    11.53     0.01     7.86     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        32   47  +11      69.09     5.33    15.45     0.00     1.10     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       34   47   +5      62.62     4.83     3.63     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
York                33   47   +0      64.46     5.03    -1.16     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   33   44   +4      61.62     5.04     4.08     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      32   44   -1      65.18     5.26     2.20     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          35   44   -5      58.46     4.45    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              36   41   -8      52.37     4.15   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             33   40   +0      55.17     5.03    -4.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham          36   32  -24      40.81     3.88   -32.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.12R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      34   31  -22      43.71     4.59   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.43R    0.01  
Weymouth            33   30  -20      44.71     4.82   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.52R    0.00  
Northwich           33   22  -32      32.22     4.33   -45.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.50R    1.37  
Stafford_Rangers    34   19  -38      28.53     4.16   -50.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.48R    9.20  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.84     3.99   -70.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   89.42