Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 8 March 2008 at 22:37:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 March 2008, Blackburn vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         28   65  +36      85.18     3.71    47.19    38.40    83.78    98.42    99.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.91     3.67    56.00    55.15    88.93    99.07    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   58  +25      80.24     4.05    36.39     6.39    25.80    85.16    96.78    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   56  +33      72.68     3.79    40.03     0.05     1.03    10.29    60.79    98.52     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   53  +22      71.35     3.96    29.90     0.02     0.45     6.85    37.46    96.27     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   48  +15      66.21     3.81    22.73     0.00     0.00     0.21     4.64    71.30     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       29   46   +3      58.58     3.81     3.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     4.14     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   45   +1      57.44     4.00     1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.68     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   44   +9      62.31     4.29    16.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.53    26.36     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   40   +0      53.90     4.11     0.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   32   +4      49.79     4.63     8.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   29  -17      37.99     3.60   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.80R    0.00  
Reading         29   28  -21      38.70     3.87   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.58R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   28  -26      36.03     3.58   -34.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.73R    0.00  
Wigan           28   27  -16      35.62     3.79   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.43R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   27  -20      36.51     3.97   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.18R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   26  -10      37.46     4.19   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.99R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.67     3.73   -22.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.44R    0.00  
Fulham          29   20  -23      29.32     3.77   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.83R    0.07  
Derby           28   10  -44      13.98     2.69   -61.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 March 2008, Blackpool vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     37   66   +3      78.85     4.10     3.75    18.53    44.75    97.22    54.25P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   63  +11      77.18     4.20    13.68    11.44    32.49    94.01    46.64P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   62  +14      77.67     4.34    16.89    16.51    38.64    94.37    52.52P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   61  +29      81.51     4.60    38.09    52.10    76.06    99.18    84.15P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         37   56   +9      69.45     4.17    10.63     0.24     1.44    41.07    11.72P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   56   +7      70.87     4.40     8.87     0.65     3.24    52.14    15.60P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         37   55  +11      69.29     4.12    13.88     0.19     1.39    41.38    13.17P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   53   +9      69.48     4.45    13.15     0.27     1.56    43.65    12.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   53   +5      65.42     4.03     5.11     0.02     0.12    10.69     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   52   +1      65.44     4.13     2.66     0.01     0.06    10.65     2.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   51   -1      65.53     4.55    -1.48     0.04     0.25    12.63     2.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        37   47   +2      58.22     4.10     0.11     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.08P    1.22R    0.01  
Norwich          37   46  -10      56.31     3.98   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.79R    0.13  
Cardiff          35   45   +0      60.58     4.66     0.75     0.00     0.01     2.15     0.54P    0.78R    0.02  
QPR              37   45   -5      56.60     4.06    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    3.68R    0.08  
Sheff_Utd        36   44   -3      58.24     4.32    -2.01     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    2.31R    0.03  
Preston          37   43   -6      54.22     3.98    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   10.68R    0.41  
Coventry         36   43  -12      53.81     4.19   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.84R    1.14  
Barnsley         36   43  -13      53.62     4.15   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   18.05R    0.83  
Southampton      37   42  -13      52.03     3.95   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.17R    2.11  
Leicester        37   41   +0      53.24     3.98     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.23R    1.24  
Sheff_Wed        35   39   -6      53.31     4.55    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   19.80R    2.06  
Scunthorpe       36   35  -19      45.10     4.05   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.44R   43.42  
Colchester       36   32  -13      44.21     4.35   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.00R   48.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 March 2008, Carlisle vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          34   73  +35      96.85     4.61    46.75    93.82    99.04   100.00    99.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        35   65  +22      85.11     4.45    29.46     2.59    48.22    99.76    61.47P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         34   64  +18      85.08     4.71    25.10     3.50    44.37    99.58    56.77P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     34   57  +23      77.97     4.63    29.51     0.09     6.89    91.83    32.26P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          35   55  +13      73.10     4.43    17.53     0.00     0.36    63.68    13.97P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         35   54   +8      69.75     4.57     9.14     0.00     0.07    30.59     4.15P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            35   53  +26      74.24     4.35    35.23     0.00     1.03    77.11    25.26P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         36   52   +5      66.05     4.24     5.74     0.00     0.00     8.65     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           36   50   +9      67.06     4.19    13.96     0.00     0.00    12.63     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      36   50   +2      63.13     4.26     1.23     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   50   -6      61.41     4.14    -9.41     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         34   49   +6      64.39     4.68     4.63     0.00     0.00     6.10     1.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          35   47   +2      62.33     4.51     2.54     0.00     0.00     2.02     0.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool       36   46   +3      59.67     4.25     2.96     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.05P    0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield     35   46  -14      57.33     4.35   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.42R    0.00  
Yeovil           36   45  -12      54.60     3.82   -17.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   +1      63.00     5.20     0.95     0.00     0.00     4.29     0.72P    0.04R    0.00  
Millwall         36   40  -14      51.49     4.18   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.36R    0.00  
Crewe            36   37  -19      48.99     4.21   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.22R    0.04  
Cheltenham       36   37  -20      45.94     3.77   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.14R    0.11  
Bournemouth      36   36  -17      47.13     4.04   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.02R    0.08  
Gillingham       35   36  -24      46.75     4.19   -31.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.01R    0.24  
Luton            35   25  -16      36.91     4.25   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.70R   13.36  
Port_Vale        36   22  -31      31.06     3.88   -38.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   86.17  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 March 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         36   74  +34      92.02     4.27    40.77    33.14    90.00   100.00    93.51P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   35   72  +33      93.69     4.39    42.92    50.85    94.55   100.00    96.60P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           35   68  +30      88.91     4.47    38.44    12.04    73.54    99.93    83.68P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             35   67  +23      86.01     4.51    28.99     3.96    39.47    99.59    58.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   60  +11      74.97     4.27    12.86     0.00     0.37    61.09    14.15P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            35   59  +11      75.12     4.62    12.51     0.01     0.65    61.42    12.21P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   58  +10      74.52     4.48    14.10     0.00     0.21    57.86    13.08P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         36   57  +16      73.55     4.31    20.44     0.00     0.20    53.27    13.22P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             33   53   +9      75.50     5.21    15.97     0.01     1.01    64.70    15.19P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            35   50   -5      62.77     4.51    -8.48     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              36   49   -3      60.41     4.19    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            36   49  -11      59.96     4.19   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             34   44   +0      59.11     4.80    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         36   43  -11      54.73     4.22   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   36   42  -26      52.49     4.13   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88R    0.19  
Shrewsbury           35   41   -5      56.49     4.66    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.34R    0.04  
Chester              35   40  -10      52.60     4.48   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.89R    0.24  
Dag_&_Red            36   40  -14      51.10     4.15   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.95R    0.61  
Bury                 36   39   -9      52.75     4.37    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.77R    0.26  
Barnet               33   39   -9      55.64     5.09   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.76R    0.11  
Notts_County         35   35  -14      47.01     4.37   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.31R    4.74  
Macclesfield         36   32  -21      43.95     4.34   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.90R   16.80  
Mansfield            34   30  -16      44.31     4.81   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.33R   15.36  
Wrexham              32   26  -23      39.39     4.89   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.53R   61.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 March 2008, Crawley_Town vs Salisbury; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           34   77  +27      99.99     4.71    38.10    86.20    99.97    89.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       35   67  +23      88.20     4.39    32.43     2.55    93.02    29.22P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             33   66  +24      91.30     4.83    37.23    10.22    97.18    30.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           35   64  +29      83.79     4.57    36.45     0.37    71.72    19.82P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              34   62  +21      83.96     4.65    30.92     0.49    70.60    15.97P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       34   61  +22      81.39     4.87    28.15     0.16    48.08    11.37P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           36   56  +10      70.60     4.37    11.35     0.00     0.78     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        34   55  +14      75.30     4.97    19.92     0.00     9.53     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              35   54   +4      70.62     4.57     6.63     0.00     0.69     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    32   53   +8      74.40     5.34    11.42     0.01     7.08     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        32   47  +11      69.21     5.39    15.64     0.00     1.13     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       34   47   +5      62.69     4.78     3.78     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
York                33   47   +0      64.35     5.03    -1.36     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   33   44   +4      61.58     5.01     4.01     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      32   44   -1      65.13     5.28     2.19     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          35   44   -5      58.51     4.48    -5.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              36   41   -8      52.36     4.17   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             33   40   +0      55.12     5.02    -4.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      34   31  -22      43.73     4.55   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.39R    0.00  
Weymouth            33   30  -20      44.82     4.81   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.98R    0.00  
Altrincham          35   29  -25      38.45     4.11   -35.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.30R    0.02  
Northwich           33   22  -32      32.17     4.32   -45.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.49R    1.28  
Stafford_Rangers    34   19  -38      28.64     4.17   -50.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.90R    8.94  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.77     3.98   -70.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   89.76