Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 7 March 2008 at 22:37:52 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 March 2008, Liverpool vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         28   65  +36      85.33     3.69    47.50    39.78    84.98    98.68    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.91     3.70    55.96    54.09    88.73    99.20    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   58  +25      80.13     4.07    36.21     6.05    25.03    85.21    96.61    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   53  +30      72.18     3.97    39.32     0.06     0.82     9.38    56.58    96.87     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   53  +22      71.40     3.97    29.95     0.02     0.44     7.29    40.60    95.36     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   48  +15      66.23     3.83    22.77     0.00     0.00     0.22     5.33    67.28     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   45   +3      60.06     4.10     5.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     8.45     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   45   +3      59.58     4.35     4.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     7.83     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   44   +9      62.21     4.25    15.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.69    23.64     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   40   +0      53.93     4.12     0.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   32   +4      49.84     4.58     8.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   29  -17      37.88     3.57   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.98R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   28  -23      36.44     3.70   -33.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.40R    0.00  
Wigan           28   27  -16      35.65     3.79   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.76R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   27  -20      36.43     3.96   -26.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.87R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   26  -10      37.43     4.22   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.00R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.53     3.71   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.84R    0.00  
Reading         28   25  -23      36.40     4.15   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.36R    0.00  
Fulham          28   19  -23      28.79     3.97   -29.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.77R    0.13  
Derby           28   10  -44      14.03     2.67   -61.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 March 2008, Coventry vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     36   65   +3      79.07     4.31     3.61    19.20    43.23    96.22    52.72P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   62  +14      77.69     4.35    16.91    15.19    35.34    93.33    49.96P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   62  +11      78.00     4.47    14.34    15.15    37.41    93.42    50.12P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   61  +29      81.43     4.58    37.90    48.05    72.58    98.96    81.49P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         36   56  +10      71.54     4.36    12.70     0.91     3.89    56.18    17.08P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   55  +12      71.30     4.38    15.76     0.87     4.17    55.97    19.55P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   53   +9      69.47     4.45    13.13     0.21     1.25    39.56    11.63P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   53   +5      69.65     4.59     7.46     0.37     1.72    36.99    10.32P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   51   +1      65.44     4.41     2.02     0.01     0.12    10.04     2.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   51   -1      65.37     4.57    -1.70     0.04     0.22    10.37     2.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   50   +4      64.15     4.28     4.64     0.01     0.06     6.06     1.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        36   46   +2      59.34     4.38     1.31     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.17P    0.79R    0.02  
Norwich          36   46   -9      57.69     4.27   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    2.31R    0.09  
Cardiff          35   45   +0      60.59     4.68     0.75     0.00     0.01     1.70     0.44P    0.57R    0.02  
QPR              36   45   -4      57.86     4.34    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.07P    1.92R    0.06  
Barnsley         36   43  -13      53.64     4.13   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   14.76R    1.11  
Sheff_Utd        35   41   -4      55.97     4.52    -3.86     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    6.19R    0.43  
Southampton      36   41  -13      51.91     4.17   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.78R    3.27  
Leicester        36   40   +0      53.79     4.26     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.64R    1.36  
Preston          36   40   -7      51.73     4.18    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.52R    2.94  
Coventry         35   40  -13      52.32     4.49   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.01R    4.07  
Sheff_Wed        34   36   -7      51.67     4.86    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.40R    5.91  
Scunthorpe       35   35  -17      45.99     4.30   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.11R   38.86  
Colchester       35   32  -12      45.30     4.58   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.98R   41.85  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 7 March 2008, Swansea vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          34   73  +35      96.83     4.61    46.62    94.72    99.22   100.00    99.47P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        34   62  +21      84.81     4.62    30.56     2.58    50.61    99.57    63.33P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         33   61  +16      83.62     5.02    23.34     2.39    34.92    98.53    48.34P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     33   56  +23      78.94     4.90    30.32     0.28    12.01    92.61    36.31P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   55  +15      75.57     4.66    21.08     0.02     2.10    79.20    20.21P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   52   +7      67.61     4.48     8.18     0.00     0.02    14.87     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         34   51   +6      68.63     4.81     7.95     0.00     0.09    21.67     3.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   50  +24      73.43     4.53    34.76     0.01     1.00    68.75    21.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   50   -5      63.57     4.45    -7.26     0.00     0.00     2.62     0.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         33   49   +8      65.67     4.93     6.52     0.00     0.03     9.73     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           35   47   +7      65.28     4.44    11.71     0.00     0.00     6.03     1.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          35   47   +2      62.21     4.54     2.38     0.00     0.00     1.79     0.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Northampton      35   47   +0      60.36     4.41    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   +1      63.01     5.23     0.96     0.00     0.01     3.75     0.65P    0.07R    0.00  
Hartlepool       35   43   -1      58.19     4.45    -0.76     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.55R    0.00  
Huddersfield     34   43  -15      55.01     4.56   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.39R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   42  -13      53.05     4.09   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.76R    0.00  
Millwall         36   40  -14      51.56     4.18   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.30R    0.00  
Cheltenham       35   37  -19      47.07     4.02   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.07R    0.10  
Bournemouth      35   36  -15      47.58     4.17   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.19R    0.05  
Crewe            35   36  -19      48.78     4.42   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.59R    0.12  
Gillingham       34   36  -20      47.96     4.47   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.45R    0.19  
Luton            34   25  -14      37.88     4.45   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.59R   11.50  
Port_Vale        35   22  -30      31.27     4.01   -39.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   88.04  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 7 March 2008, Chesterfield vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   35   72  +33      93.69     4.38    42.91    46.94    94.81   100.00    96.83P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         35   71  +33      91.25     4.46    41.07    25.78    87.53   100.00    92.01P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           34   68  +32      91.24     4.68    41.80    24.78    86.95    99.98    92.21P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             34   64  +21      84.88     4.75    27.84     2.50    29.15    99.37    51.08P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         36   57  +16      73.50     4.33    20.38     0.00     0.18    62.36    16.30P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   57  +10      75.13     4.75    14.47     0.00     0.42    70.70    16.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   57   +9      72.54     4.51     9.86     0.00     0.17    47.48    11.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            34   56  +10      73.60     4.88    11.69     0.00     0.40    57.80    11.56P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             32   50   +5      73.33     5.52    11.15     0.00     0.39    54.96    11.66P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   50   -4      64.36     4.78    -7.17     0.00     0.00     4.79     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              36   49   -3      60.42     4.20    -6.29     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            35   46  -12      58.51     4.51   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford             33   44   +1      60.45     5.12    -1.22     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.31P    0.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         36   43  -11      54.68     4.19   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.05  
Accrington_Stanley   35   42  -24      53.28     4.35   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.26R    0.26  
Shrewsbury           34   40   -5      56.57     4.90    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.54R    0.06  
Chester              35   40  -10      52.54     4.49   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88R    0.44  
Dag_&_Red            35   40  -13      51.50     4.30   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.92R    0.75  
Barnet               32   38   -9      56.17     5.34   -10.39     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P    1.22R    0.16  
Bury                 35   36  -10      50.90     4.65   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.80R    1.40  
Notts_County         34   34  -14      47.35     4.63   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.95R    5.98  
Macclesfield         35   32  -20      45.29     4.61   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.36R   13.80  
Mansfield            33   30  -12      46.08     5.11   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.72R   10.72  
Wrexham              32   26  -23      39.45     4.93   -30.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.80R   66.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2008, Altrincham vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           34   77  +27     100.19     4.67    38.50    83.28    99.97    86.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       34   67  +24      90.87     4.55    35.42     6.81    97.15    34.93P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             33   66  +24      91.14     4.87    36.95     8.19    96.59    27.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           34   64  +30      86.42     4.76    39.58     1.20    85.36    24.86P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              34   62  +21      84.22     4.64    31.34     0.46    71.69    15.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       33   58  +19      79.52     5.10    24.77     0.06    29.90     6.47P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        34   55  +14      75.40     4.96    20.05     0.00     8.34     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           35   55  +10      70.51     4.63    10.66     0.00     0.88     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              34   54   +6      72.92     4.82    10.06     0.00     2.25     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    32   53   +8      74.29     5.32    11.26     0.00     6.04     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
York                33   47   +0      64.23     5.02    -1.58     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        31   46  +11      69.86     5.61    16.13     0.00     1.51     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       33   44   +4      60.93     5.04     2.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   33   44   +4      61.40     5.01     3.76     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      31   44   +0      66.85     5.53     3.65     0.00     0.26     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          34   44   -2      60.33     4.77    -1.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              35   40   -8      53.21     4.39   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             32   37   -2      52.44     5.21    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Altrincham          35   29  -25      38.55     4.12   -35.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.29R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      33   28  -23      41.07     4.73   -30.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.74R    0.01  
Weymouth            32   27  -21      42.03     4.96   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.42R    0.01  
Northwich           33   22  -32      32.13     4.30   -46.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.95R    1.40  
Stafford_Rangers    33   18  -38      28.05     4.30   -51.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.75R   11.21  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.92     4.01   -70.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   87.36