Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 6 March 2008 at 22:37:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 March 2008, Liverpool vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         28   65  +36      85.31     3.73    47.47    39.31    84.44    98.56    99.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.92     3.68    55.96    54.28    88.93    99.19    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   58  +25      80.13     4.09    36.25     6.33    25.36    85.36    96.76    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   53  +30      72.10     3.97    39.16     0.07     0.84     9.20    55.64    96.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   53  +22      71.44     3.96    30.01     0.01     0.43     7.40    41.43    95.51     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   48  +15      66.25     3.84    22.83     0.00     0.00     0.26     5.34    67.42     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   45   +3      60.10     4.10     5.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     8.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   45   +3      59.61     4.35     4.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19     7.97     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   44   +9      62.18     4.27    15.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.63    23.38     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   40   +0      53.81     4.08     0.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   32   +4      49.83     4.59     8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   29  -17      37.91     3.61   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.12R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   28  -23      36.51     3.70   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.17R    0.00  
Wigan           28   27  -16      35.68     3.77   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.71R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   27  -20      36.46     3.93   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.46R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   26  -10      37.43     4.21   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.13R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.55     3.72   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.42R    0.00  
Reading         28   25  -23      36.29     4.14   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.03R    0.00  
Fulham          28   19  -23      28.78     3.95   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.96R    0.16  
Derby           28   10  -44      14.05     2.68   -61.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 March 2008, Coventry vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     36   65   +3      79.08     4.35     3.57    19.56    43.37    96.00    52.67P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   62  +14      77.65     4.37    16.86    15.12    35.23    92.87    49.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   62  +11      78.01     4.49    14.38    15.26    37.19    93.47    49.70P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   61  +29      81.36     4.59    37.80    47.53    72.50    98.81    81.38P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         36   56  +10      71.53     4.39    12.71     0.95     4.05    55.89    17.46P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   55  +12      71.38     4.37    15.87     0.91     4.13    57.03    20.07P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   53   +9      69.42     4.43    13.04     0.22     1.30    38.58    11.56P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   53   +5      69.67     4.63     7.53     0.39     1.87    37.46    10.52P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   51   +1      65.39     4.38     1.96     0.01     0.07     9.90     2.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   51   -1      65.48     4.57    -1.52     0.04     0.23    10.98     2.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   50   +4      64.17     4.27     4.65     0.01     0.04     6.11     1.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        36   46   +2      59.31     4.35     1.25     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.19P    0.73R    0.02  
Norwich          36   46   -9      57.72     4.27   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    2.21R    0.08  
Cardiff          35   45   +0      60.58     4.69     0.76     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.41P    0.57R    0.02  
QPR              36   45   -4      57.88     4.33    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.07P    1.81R    0.07  
Barnsley         36   43  -13      53.66     4.14   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.62R    1.14  
Sheff_Utd        35   41   -4      56.00     4.52    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    6.08R    0.37  
Southampton      36   41  -13      51.99     4.18   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.02R    3.32  
Leicester        36   40   +0      53.69     4.26     0.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.14R    1.54  
Preston          36   40   -7      51.81     4.17    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.78R    2.72  
Coventry         35   40  -13      52.18     4.47   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.74R    4.23  
Sheff_Wed        34   36   -7      51.59     4.81    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   28.62R    6.04  
Scunthorpe       35   35  -17      45.98     4.28   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.26R   38.73  
Colchester       35   32  -12      45.30     4.56   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.39R   41.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2008, Brighton vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          33   73  +36     100.11     4.71    50.87    98.04    99.79   100.00    99.85P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        34   62  +21      84.86     4.59    30.65     0.93    50.27    99.56    63.48P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         33   61  +16      83.63     5.02    23.37     0.95    34.54    98.55    47.96P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     33   56  +23      78.97     4.87    30.38     0.07    12.08    93.11    36.26P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   55  +15      75.48     4.72    20.93     0.00     2.14    78.37    19.75P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   52   +7      67.64     4.47     8.20     0.00     0.01    14.86     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         34   51   +6      68.59     4.80     7.87     0.00     0.08    21.43     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   50  +24      73.51     4.54    34.91     0.00     1.05    69.39    22.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   50   -5      63.63     4.43    -7.21     0.00     0.00     2.86     0.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         33   49   +8      65.48     4.90     6.23     0.00     0.04     9.25     1.66P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           35   47   +7      65.37     4.46    11.83     0.00     0.00     6.51     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          35   47   +2      62.24     4.49     2.40     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton      35   47   +0      60.24     4.43    -2.52     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   +1      62.92     5.17     0.79     0.00     0.00     3.50     0.57P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool       35   43   -1      58.21     4.46    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.38R    0.00  
Huddersfield     34   43  -15      55.00     4.59   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    2.78R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   42  -13      53.11     4.10   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.46R    0.00  
Millwall         35   37  -15      48.44     4.27   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.94R    0.06  
Cheltenham       35   37  -19      47.10     4.04   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.61R    0.07  
Bournemouth      35   36  -15      47.49     4.15   -22.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.86R    0.10  
Crewe            35   36  -19      48.77     4.39   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.65R    0.12  
Gillingham       34   36  -20      47.96     4.45   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.64R    0.17  
Luton            34   25  -14      37.92     4.49   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.68R   11.33  
Port_Vale        35   22  -30      31.26     4.01   -39.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   88.14  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2008, Barnet vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         35   71  +33      91.33     4.46    41.17    28.62    88.44    99.99    92.84P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   34   69  +32      92.68     4.63    42.80    40.20    92.13    99.99    95.32P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           34   68  +32      91.39     4.66    42.01    28.21    88.05   100.00    93.13P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             34   64  +21      84.85     4.76    27.75     2.97    29.78    99.49    51.76P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   57  +10      75.26     4.77    14.65     0.00     0.47    73.92    17.68P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   57   +9      72.38     4.51     9.62     0.00     0.16    49.86    11.29P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            34   56  +10      73.50     4.91    11.49     0.01     0.43    60.01    12.21P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         35   54  +13      71.84     4.60    17.25     0.00     0.09    50.03    12.06P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             32   50   +5      73.33     5.52    11.13     0.00     0.46    57.57    12.29P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   50   -4      64.35     4.80    -7.18     0.00     0.00     5.48     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              35   49   -2      61.15     4.42    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            35   46  -12      58.39     4.48   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford             33   44   +1      60.53     5.15    -1.05     0.00     0.00     1.98     0.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   43   -8      56.14     4.49   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.30R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   35   42  -24      53.35     4.37   -30.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.19R    0.24  
Shrewsbury           34   40   -5      56.50     4.91    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.65R    0.08  
Chester              35   40  -10      52.51     4.45   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.80R    0.40  
Dag_&_Red            35   40  -13      51.63     4.35   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.84R    0.80  
Barnet               32   38   -9      56.07     5.34   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    1.34R    0.18  
Bury                 35   36  -10      50.86     4.65   -10.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.86R    1.33  
Notts_County         34   34  -14      47.37     4.68   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.16R    5.99  
Macclesfield         35   32  -20      45.32     4.63   -22.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.56R   13.57  
Mansfield            33   30  -12      46.17     5.13   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.21R   10.65  
Wrexham              32   26  -23      39.45     4.91   -30.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.02R   66.73  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2008, Altrincham vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           34   77  +27     100.15     4.68    38.43    82.86    99.97    86.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       34   67  +24      90.75     4.56    35.22     6.34    96.98    34.40P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             33   66  +24      91.23     4.86    37.13     8.97    96.78    28.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           34   64  +30      86.33     4.77    39.42     1.31    84.99    24.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              34   62  +21      84.21     4.65    31.33     0.48    71.99    15.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       33   58  +19      79.50     5.09    24.72     0.04    29.84     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        34   55  +14      75.41     4.94    20.03     0.00     8.52     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           35   55  +10      70.57     4.61    10.76     0.00     0.91     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              34   54   +6      72.77     4.82     9.83     0.00     2.28     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    32   53   +8      74.26     5.33    11.23     0.00     5.86     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
York                33   47   +0      64.21     4.99    -1.67     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        31   46  +11      69.88     5.60    16.14     0.00     1.57     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       33   44   +4      60.88     5.03     2.45     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   33   44   +4      61.50     5.00     3.92     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      31   44   +0      66.85     5.50     3.66     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          34   44   -2      60.40     4.76    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              35   40   -8      53.30     4.38   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             32   37   -2      52.43     5.21    -8.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Altrincham          35   29  -25      38.58     4.12   -35.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.09R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      33   28  -23      41.15     4.71   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.67R    0.01  
Weymouth            32   27  -21      41.93     4.96   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.58R    0.00  
Northwich           33   22  -32      32.12     4.29   -46.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.18R    1.42  
Stafford_Rangers    33   18  -38      28.12     4.32   -51.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.59R   10.81  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.90     3.99   -70.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   87.76