Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 5 March 2008 at 22:36:58 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 March 2008, Liverpool vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         28   65  +36      85.30     3.72    47.45    39.52    84.85    98.55    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.92     3.69    55.96    54.25    89.09    99.22    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   58  +25      80.10     4.08    36.16     6.15    24.80    85.34    96.77    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   53  +30      72.13     3.94    39.21     0.06     0.80     9.24    55.92    96.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   53  +22      71.42     3.94    29.99     0.01     0.45     7.37    41.12    95.54     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   48  +15      66.22     3.83    22.73     0.00     0.00     0.26     5.28    67.02     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   45   +3      60.06     4.08     5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     8.34     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   45   +3      59.63     4.34     4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     7.84     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   44   +9      62.15     4.29    15.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.70    23.86     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        28   40   +0      53.88     4.13     0.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   32   +4      49.83     4.59     8.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   29  -17      37.85     3.58   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.11R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   28  -23      36.47     3.67   -33.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.40R    0.00  
Wigan           28   27  -16      35.68     3.75   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.45R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   27  -20      36.50     3.97   -26.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.58R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   26  -10      37.42     4.22   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.27R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.52     3.72   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.97R    0.00  
Reading         28   25  -23      36.42     4.14   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.26R    0.00  
Fulham          28   19  -23      28.77     3.96   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.97R    0.14  
Derby           28   10  -44      14.06     2.69   -61.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 5 March 2008, Coventry vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     36   65   +3      79.02     4.32     3.51    19.16    43.00    96.14    52.22P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   62  +14      77.64     4.32    16.84    14.77    35.04    92.92    49.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   62  +11      78.06     4.46    14.46    15.52    37.84    93.63    50.71P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   61  +29      81.42     4.59    37.89    48.18    72.75    98.82    81.82P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         36   56  +10      71.52     4.37    12.69     0.98     3.93    55.82    17.33P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   55  +12      71.34     4.38    15.81     0.82     4.01    56.48    19.39P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   53   +9      69.45     4.43    13.08     0.18     1.29    39.01    11.44P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   53   +5      69.66     4.63     7.48     0.33     1.76    37.07    10.55P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   51   +1      65.43     4.43     2.02     0.02     0.14    10.09     2.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   51   -1      65.50     4.55    -1.51     0.04     0.19    10.89     2.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   50   +4      64.24     4.29     4.76     0.01     0.05     6.31     1.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        36   46   +2      59.24     4.36     1.16     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.17P    0.71R    0.02  
Norwich          36   46   -9      57.66     4.25   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    2.23R    0.07  
Cardiff          35   45   +0      60.56     4.68     0.72     0.00     0.00     1.65     0.39P    0.51R    0.02  
QPR              36   45   -4      57.91     4.34    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P    1.81R    0.07  
Barnsley         36   43  -13      53.59     4.11   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   14.72R    1.11  
Sheff_Utd        35   41   -4      56.08     4.53    -3.71     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    5.78R    0.36  
Southampton      36   41  -13      51.88     4.19   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.91R    3.42  
Leicester        36   40   +0      53.76     4.27     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.01R    1.31  
Preston          36   40   -7      51.81     4.17    -9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.68R    2.67  
Coventry         35   40  -13      52.24     4.46   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.16R    4.27  
Sheff_Wed        34   36   -7      51.56     4.80    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.90R    6.05  
Scunthorpe       35   35  -17      46.02     4.30   -22.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.92R   38.35  
Colchester       35   32  -12      45.24     4.56   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.67R   42.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2008, Brighton vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          33   73  +36     100.05     4.69    50.78    98.27    99.84   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        34   62  +21      84.78     4.60    30.54     0.88    49.87    99.60    62.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         33   61  +16      83.66     4.97    23.41     0.80    34.86    98.62    48.02P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     33   56  +23      78.97     4.90    30.44     0.06    12.04    92.77    36.22P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   55  +15      75.65     4.67    21.17     0.00     2.21    79.41    20.44P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   52   +7      67.55     4.44     8.09     0.00     0.01    13.99     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         34   51   +6      68.58     4.81     7.86     0.00     0.06    21.48     3.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   50  +24      73.51     4.57    34.86     0.00     1.09    69.19    22.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   50   -5      63.62     4.45    -7.24     0.00     0.00     2.78     0.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         33   49   +8      65.57     4.97     6.38     0.00     0.02     9.65     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           35   47   +7      65.41     4.47    11.91     0.00     0.00     6.44     1.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          35   47   +2      62.25     4.54     2.45     0.00     0.00     1.79     0.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton      35   47   +0      60.28     4.43    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   +1      62.81     5.16     0.63     0.00     0.00     3.35     0.53P    0.06R    0.00  
Hartlepool       35   43   -1      58.22     4.45    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.41R    0.00  
Huddersfield     34   43  -15      55.01     4.58   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.70R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   42  -13      53.10     4.11   -18.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.41R    0.00  
Millwall         35   37  -15      48.31     4.25   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.90R    0.05  
Cheltenham       35   37  -19      47.05     4.02   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.29R    0.09  
Bournemouth      35   36  -15      47.55     4.15   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.59R    0.07  
Crewe            35   36  -19      48.80     4.40   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.25R    0.10  
Gillingham       34   36  -20      48.03     4.46   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.54R    0.19  
Luton            34   25  -14      37.84     4.47   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.85R   11.50  
Port_Vale        35   22  -30      31.24     4.00   -39.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   88.00  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2008, Barnet vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         35   71  +33      91.25     4.48    41.07    28.10    88.04   100.00    92.53P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   34   69  +32      92.68     4.64    42.81    40.23    92.26   100.00    95.18P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           34   68  +32      91.41     4.66    42.06    28.62    88.37    99.99    93.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             34   64  +21      84.83     4.73    27.74     3.05    29.75    99.50    51.97P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   57  +10      75.28     4.76    14.68     0.00     0.53    74.17    17.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   57   +9      72.46     4.50     9.73     0.00     0.15    50.37    11.41P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            34   56  +10      73.49     4.91    11.45     0.00     0.40    59.80    12.13P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         35   54  +13      71.82     4.62    17.25     0.00     0.09    49.69    12.21P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             32   50   +5      73.26     5.52    11.02     0.00     0.41    57.37    12.21P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   50   -4      64.33     4.79    -7.19     0.00     0.00     5.40     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              35   49   -2      61.17     4.39    -6.26     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford            35   46  -12      58.48     4.51   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford             33   44   +1      60.55     5.08    -1.06     0.00     0.00     1.95     0.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   43   -8      56.06     4.49   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.31R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   35   42  -24      53.43     4.34   -30.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.05R    0.23  
Shrewsbury           34   40   -5      56.63     4.89    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.58R    0.05  
Chester              35   40  -10      52.51     4.46   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.80R    0.40  
Dag_&_Red            35   40  -13      51.58     4.34   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.90R    0.75  
Barnet               32   38   -9      56.04     5.35   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    1.25R    0.16  
Bury                 35   36  -10      50.81     4.69   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.14R    1.34  
Notts_County         34   34  -14      47.34     4.67   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.40R    6.10  
Macclesfield         35   32  -20      45.37     4.64   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.82R   13.18  
Mansfield            33   30  -12      46.12     5.12   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.57R   10.79  
Wrexham              32   26  -23      39.44     4.84   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.12R   66.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2008, Altrincham vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           34   77  +27     100.09     4.67    38.37    83.00    99.98    86.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       34   67  +24      90.73     4.57    35.17     6.57    96.97    34.20P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             33   66  +24      91.25     4.80    37.15     8.62    96.99    29.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           34   64  +30      86.26     4.81    39.31     1.28    84.37    24.18P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              34   62  +21      84.14     4.66    31.19     0.48    71.27    15.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       33   58  +19      79.54     5.08    24.80     0.05    30.49     6.57P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        34   55  +14      75.47     4.93    20.16     0.00     8.73     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           35   55  +10      70.67     4.63    10.89     0.00     0.92     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              34   54   +6      72.80     4.81     9.92     0.00     2.31     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    32   53   +8      74.19     5.33    11.09     0.01     5.95     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
York                33   47   +0      64.36     5.01    -1.38     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        31   46  +11      69.90     5.65    16.20     0.00     1.65     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       33   44   +4      60.92     5.03     2.53     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   33   44   +4      61.49     5.02     3.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      31   44   +0      66.95     5.55     3.76     0.00     0.31     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          34   44   -2      60.41     4.74    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              35   40   -8      53.26     4.37   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             32   37   -2      52.41     5.20    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Altrincham          35   29  -25      38.52     4.14   -35.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.18R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      33   28  -23      41.08     4.71   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.57R    0.01  
Weymouth            32   27  -21      41.96     4.99   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.59R    0.00  
Northwich           33   22  -32      32.06     4.26   -46.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.04R    1.46  
Stafford_Rangers    33   18  -38      28.08     4.26   -51.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.72R   10.82  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.90     4.00   -70.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   87.70