Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 4 March 2008 at 22:37:32 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 March 2008, Bolton vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         28   65  +36      85.38     3.71    47.60    40.12    84.97    98.90    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.88     3.70    55.93    53.60    88.64    99.43    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   58  +25      80.19     4.09    36.36     6.25    25.58    87.77    97.70    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   53  +22      71.37     3.98    29.86     0.01     0.43     7.59    48.48    95.43     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +26      70.63     4.27    35.08     0.02     0.38     5.99    44.89    92.88     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   48  +15      66.16     3.83    22.71     0.00     0.00     0.28     7.46    67.83     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   45   +3      60.04     4.09     5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     9.16     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   45   +3      59.72     4.35     4.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34     8.95     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   44   +9      62.09     4.25    15.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.98    24.01     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        27   40   +4      55.21     4.35     4.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   32   +4      49.69     4.61     8.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   29  -17      37.84     3.61   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.26R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   28  -23      36.55     3.71   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.72R    0.00  
Wigan           28   27  -16      35.61     3.77   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   27  -20      36.36     3.97   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.45R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   26  -10      37.53     4.25   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.91R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.50     3.74   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.00R    0.00  
Reading         28   25  -23      36.41     4.13   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.29R    0.00  
Fulham          28   19  -23      28.81     3.95   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.34R    0.15  
Derby           28   10  -44      14.02     2.67   -61.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2008, Blackpool vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     36   65   +3      79.02     4.35     3.52    19.38    43.41    95.85    52.41P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   62  +14      77.62     4.36    16.79    15.03    35.16    92.81    49.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   62  +11      77.97     4.48    14.36    15.46    37.15    93.47    49.98P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        35   61  +29      81.34     4.56    37.77    47.62    72.20    98.81    81.21P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         36   56  +10      71.60     4.41    12.80     1.05     4.37    56.15    18.23P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         36   55  +12      71.30     4.37    15.75     0.88     3.98    56.04    19.17P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          36   53   +9      69.50     4.42    13.15     0.20     1.36    39.28    11.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   53   +5      69.68     4.66     7.52     0.34     1.98    37.14    10.64P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   51   +1      65.39     4.42     1.95     0.00     0.09     9.80     2.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   51   -1      65.55     4.54    -1.41     0.03     0.23    11.01     2.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   50   +4      64.25     4.32     4.79     0.01     0.05     6.57     1.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        36   46   +2      59.35     4.39     1.28     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.17P    0.79R    0.02  
Norwich          36   46   -9      57.74     4.27   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    2.16R    0.09  
Cardiff          35   45   +0      60.52     4.69     0.68     0.00     0.01     1.65     0.41P    0.61R    0.04  
QPR              35   44   -4      58.18     4.60    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.12P    2.29R    0.13  
Barnsley         36   43  -13      53.66     4.15   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.47R    1.10  
Sheff_Utd        35   41   -4      56.04     4.55    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    6.04R    0.38  
Southampton      36   41  -13      51.89     4.16   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.88R    3.25  
Leicester        36   40   +0      53.82     4.27     0.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.73R    1.32  
Preston          36   40   -7      51.77     4.17    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.21R    2.79  
Coventry         34   39  -13      52.73     4.75   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.33R    4.06  
Sheff_Wed        34   36   -7      51.62     4.82    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.72R    5.93  
Scunthorpe       35   35  -17      46.01     4.29   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.26R   37.97  
Colchester       35   32  -12      45.16     4.57   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.48R   42.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2008, Brighton vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          33   73  +36     100.13     4.69    50.90    98.09    99.81   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        34   62  +21      84.97     4.57    30.87     0.90    51.11    99.63    64.08P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         33   61  +16      83.67     5.01    23.39     0.92    34.20    98.60    47.88P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     33   56  +23      78.95     4.85    30.36     0.09    11.56    93.03    35.33P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   55  +15      75.63     4.67    21.11     0.00     2.16    79.34    20.58P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   52   +7      67.49     4.47     7.98     0.00     0.01    14.19     2.60P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         34   51   +6      68.60     4.77     7.91     0.00     0.06    21.73     3.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   50  +24      73.49     4.55    34.87     0.00     1.04    69.27    22.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   50   -5      63.52     4.45    -7.38     0.00     0.00     2.60     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         33   49   +8      65.50     4.90     6.26     0.00     0.03     9.25     1.53P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           35   47   +7      65.31     4.45    11.74     0.00     0.00     6.34     1.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          35   47   +2      62.25     4.52     2.44     0.00     0.00     1.81     0.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton      35   47   +0      60.31     4.42    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   44   +1      62.84     5.19     0.66     0.00     0.00     3.33     0.56P    0.04R    0.00  
Hartlepool       35   43   -1      58.21     4.44    -0.75     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.41R    0.00  
Huddersfield     34   43  -15      55.02     4.56   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    2.71R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   42  -13      53.16     4.11   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    6.23R    0.00  
Millwall         35   37  -15      48.41     4.29   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.29R    0.04  
Cheltenham       35   37  -19      47.04     4.02   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.77R    0.10  
Bournemouth      35   36  -15      47.55     4.16   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.71R    0.08  
Crewe            35   36  -19      48.78     4.41   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.42R    0.11  
Gillingham       34   36  -20      48.05     4.45   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.68R    0.16  
Luton            34   25  -14      37.85     4.46   -19.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.78R   11.42  
Port_Vale        35   22  -30      31.21     3.98   -40.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.94R   88.09  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2008, Barnet vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Peterborough         35   71  +33      91.34     4.44    41.23    28.71    88.30   100.00    92.76P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes_Dons   34   69  +32      92.63     4.67    42.74    40.07    91.95    99.99    95.06P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           34   68  +32      91.30     4.70    41.89    28.01    87.68    99.99    92.83P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             34   64  +21      84.91     4.76    27.88     3.20    30.41    99.45    51.95P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   57  +10      75.29     4.75    14.67     0.00     0.53    73.75    17.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   57   +9      72.42     4.52     9.66     0.00     0.15    49.91    11.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            34   56  +10      73.52     4.93    11.53     0.00     0.42    59.83    12.09P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         35   54  +13      71.86     4.62    17.30     0.00     0.08    49.93    12.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             32   50   +5      73.33     5.53    11.15     0.00     0.46    57.75    12.69P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   50   -4      64.41     4.86    -7.05     0.00     0.00     5.60     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              35   49   -2      61.19     4.42    -6.23     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            35   46  -12      58.36     4.51   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford             33   44   +1      60.56     5.12    -1.04     0.00     0.00     2.00     0.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   43   -8      56.02     4.50   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.31R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   35   42  -24      53.28     4.34   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.21R    0.29  
Shrewsbury           34   40   -5      56.53     4.92    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.68R    0.08  
Chester              35   40  -10      52.49     4.47   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.02R    0.45  
Dag_&_Red            35   40  -13      51.55     4.34   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.87R    0.76  
Barnet               32   38   -9      56.08     5.39   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    1.45R    0.25  
Bury                 35   36  -10      50.93     4.63   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.62R    1.30  
Notts_County         34   34  -14      47.37     4.63   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.90R    5.95  
Macclesfield         35   32  -20      45.38     4.63   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.82R   13.44  
Mansfield            33   30  -12      46.04     5.11   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.39R   11.26  
Wrexham              32   26  -23      39.54     4.94   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.68R   66.18  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2008, Altrincham vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           34   77  +27     100.11     4.68    38.31    82.96    99.98    86.78P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       34   67  +24      90.75     4.58    35.22     6.38    96.86    34.72P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             33   66  +24      91.28     4.82    37.21     8.98    96.86    28.65P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           34   64  +30      86.35     4.81    39.46     1.25    84.78    24.35P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              34   62  +21      84.13     4.65    31.19     0.36    71.27    15.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       33   58  +19      79.59     5.11    24.86     0.07    30.79     6.85P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        34   55  +14      75.37     4.96    19.97     0.00     8.35     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           35   55  +10      70.57     4.60    10.72     0.00     0.88     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              34   54   +6      72.85     4.78     9.98     0.00     2.24     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    32   53   +8      74.26     5.29    11.21     0.00     5.90     1.06P    0.00     0.00  
York                33   47   +0      64.35     4.98    -1.39     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        31   46  +11      69.93     5.63    16.22     0.00     1.71     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       33   44   +4      60.87     5.07     2.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   33   44   +4      61.49     4.98     3.90     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      31   44   +0      66.72     5.53     3.51     0.00     0.30     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          34   44   -2      60.45     4.76    -1.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              35   40   -8      53.27     4.39   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             32   37   -2      52.46     5.20    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham          35   29  -25      38.55     4.10   -35.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.05R    0.02  
Farsley_Celtic      33   28  -23      41.05     4.71   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.76R    0.01  
Weymouth            32   27  -21      42.01     4.97   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.50R    0.00  
Northwich           33   22  -32      32.12     4.30   -46.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.07R    1.37  
Stafford_Rangers    33   18  -38      28.07     4.31   -51.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.74R   10.97  
Droylsden           33   13  -51      20.87     4.00   -70.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.88R   87.63