Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 3 March 2008 at 22:36:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 March 2008, Bolton vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         28   65  +36      85.38     3.69    47.58    40.12    85.29    98.94    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.90     3.69    55.90    53.79    88.99    99.42    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   58  +25      80.11     4.08    36.22     6.05    24.80    87.33    97.61    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   53  +22      71.41     3.98    29.98     0.02     0.44     7.95    48.78    95.64     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +26      70.66     4.28    35.13     0.02     0.47     6.03    45.11    93.12     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   48  +15      66.12     3.84    22.55     0.00     0.00     0.31     7.17    67.20     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   45   +3      60.08     4.13     5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     9.60     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   45   +3      59.68     4.35     4.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32     8.85     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   44   +9      62.01     4.28    15.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.84    23.85     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        27   40   +4      55.16     4.33     4.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.67     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   32   +4      49.75     4.61     8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   29  -17      37.93     3.59   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.99R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   28  -23      36.44     3.68   -33.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.43R    0.00  
Wigan           28   27  -16      35.71     3.78   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.65R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   27  -20      36.38     3.95   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.12R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   26  -10      37.48     4.23   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.93R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.49     3.74   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.54R    0.00  
Reading         28   25  -23      36.45     4.15   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.23R    0.00  
Fulham          28   19  -23      28.86     3.97   -29.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.12R    0.10  
Derby           28   10  -44      14.00     2.69   -61.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 March 2008, QPR vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     35   64   +3      78.97     4.56     2.92    20.95    42.73    94.76    51.56P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   62  +11      77.82     4.48    14.08    15.69    35.77    92.49    48.58P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   61  +14      79.01     4.56    18.40    25.00    47.65    95.21    59.55P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   58  +28      79.82     4.87    36.91    34.47    58.89    96.65    72.04P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         35   55  +10      72.50     4.65    13.56     2.33     7.64    62.28    22.07P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          35   52   +9      70.42     4.67    13.96     0.56     2.72    47.13    14.64P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         35   52   +9      69.77     4.61    12.96     0.54     2.34    40.23    13.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   51   +3      66.84     4.67     4.07     0.07     0.48    17.63     4.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             34   50   +3      67.87     4.90     5.24     0.21     1.07    24.07     6.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   50   -1      66.45     4.83    -0.66     0.12     0.49    15.67     3.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   49   +4      64.88     4.59     5.15     0.05     0.20     9.13     2.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool        35   45   +2      60.39     4.66     2.31     0.00     0.01     1.46     0.39P    0.58R    0.02  
Norwich          35   45   -9      57.30     4.50   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    3.22R    0.20  
Cardiff          34   44   +0      60.70     4.93     0.43     0.00     0.01     2.33     0.53P    0.69R    0.04  
QPR              35   44   -4      58.25     4.59    -5.37     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.08P    2.17R    0.15  
Barnsley         35   42  -13      53.28     4.34   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.17R    1.91  
Leicester        35   40   +1      55.94     4.54     2.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    5.73R    0.63  
Sheff_Utd        34   40   -4      55.99     4.79    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.06P    6.77R    0.69  
Southampton      35   40  -13      51.68     4.38   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   28.47R    4.52  
Coventry         34   39  -13      52.68     4.77   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.49R    4.29  
Preston          35   37   -8      49.54     4.38   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.70R    9.61  
Sheff_Wed        33   36   -6      52.82     5.12    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   21.26R    4.59  
Scunthorpe       35   35  -17      45.86     4.28   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.00R   40.82  
Colchester       34   32   -9      46.39     4.79   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.72R   32.54  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 March 2008, Nottm_Forest vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          33   73  +36      99.98     4.70    50.74    98.47    99.83   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         33   61  +16      83.61     4.99    23.32     0.92    40.90    98.46    52.59P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        33   59  +20      83.16     4.85    29.58     0.53    39.86    98.52    54.93P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     33   56  +23      79.02     4.90    30.44     0.07    14.75    92.19    38.03P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   55  +15      75.69     4.64    21.24     0.00     2.92    77.60    20.68P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   52   +7      67.62     4.42     8.16     0.00     0.02    13.44     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         34   51   +6      68.57     4.80     7.85     0.00     0.10    19.73     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   50  +24      73.54     4.55    34.89     0.00     1.53    67.24    21.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   50   -5      63.50     4.43    -7.42     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           34   47   +8      67.78     4.71    14.39     0.00     0.03    16.04     3.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton      35   47   +0      60.28     4.39    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         32   46   +6      64.41     5.13     5.16     0.00     0.04     6.47     1.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   44   +2      64.28     5.43     1.76     0.00     0.02     6.02     1.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon          34   44   +1      61.23     4.77     2.38     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.20P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     33   43  -14      55.79     4.76   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    2.10R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   42  -13      53.21     4.11   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.31R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   40   -2      55.76     4.62    -3.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    1.97R    0.00  
Millwall         35   37  -15      48.30     4.27   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.64R    0.07  
Cheltenham       35   37  -19      46.98     4.02   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.45R    0.11  
Bournemouth      35   36  -15      47.39     4.13   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.67R    0.10  
Gillingham       33   36  -18      48.84     4.70   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.79R    0.10  
Crewe            35   36  -19      48.80     4.45   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.05R    0.08  
Luton            34   25  -14      37.83     4.49   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.98R   11.69  
Port_Vale        35   22  -30      31.22     3.98   -39.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   87.84  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2008, Barnet vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   34   69  +32      92.77     4.64    42.91    45.71    93.38    99.99    96.08P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         34   68  +31      90.11     4.70    39.81    23.95    83.86    99.99    89.72P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           33   65  +31      90.51     4.91    42.28    26.60    85.35    99.97    91.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             34   64  +21      84.80     4.77    27.69     3.71    34.94    99.49    55.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   57  +10      75.30     4.73    14.72     0.01     0.78    73.74    17.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   57   +9      72.67     4.53    10.00     0.01     0.23    51.64    11.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            34   56  +10      73.44     4.93    11.39     0.01     0.64    58.77    11.83P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         35   54  +13      71.82     4.64    17.25     0.00     0.15    48.99    12.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             32   50   +5      73.42     5.51    11.27     0.01     0.65    57.77    12.77P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   50   -4      64.37     4.80    -7.16     0.00     0.00     5.39     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              35   49   -2      61.01     4.38    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            34   46   -9      60.31     4.83   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             33   44   +1      60.44     5.10    -1.26     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   43   -8      55.97     4.51   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.27R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   35   42  -24      53.39     4.34   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.78R    0.20  
Shrewsbury           34   40   -5      56.66     4.92    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.52R    0.07  
Chester              34   40   -9      53.04     4.64   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.27R    0.32  
Dag_&_Red            35   40  -13      51.54     4.35   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.50R    0.75  
Barnet               31   38   -7      57.20     5.54    -9.03     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.06P    0.83R    0.14  
Notts_County         34   34  -14      47.32     4.63   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.81R    5.76  
Bury                 34   33  -13      48.49     4.87   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.01R    4.24  
Macclesfield         35   32  -20      45.42     4.66   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.48R   12.88  
Mansfield            33   30  -12      46.11     5.10   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.67R   10.34  
Wrexham              32   26  -23      39.50     4.85   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.82R   65.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 March 2008, Torquay vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           34   77  +27      99.77     4.73    37.63    82.65    99.98    86.66P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             33   66  +24      91.46     4.82    37.54    10.93    97.28    31.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       33   64  +23      89.16     4.81    34.06     4.60    93.89    32.24P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           33   61  +27      84.33     5.08    35.71     0.75    73.40    20.02P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              33   61  +21      84.50     4.95    31.08     0.85    73.46    16.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       32   57  +19      80.35     5.40    25.49     0.20    39.52     8.70P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           34   55  +11      72.02     4.86    11.92     0.00     2.55     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              33   54   +9      74.95     5.07    14.13     0.00     7.84     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        33   52   +8      72.93     5.27    12.57     0.00     4.18     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    31   50   +7      72.71     5.61    10.39     0.00     4.63     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
York                32   46   +0      64.54     5.29    -1.79     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        30   45  +11      70.07     5.90    15.75     0.01     2.81     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      31   44   +0      66.82     5.52     3.58     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          33   44   -1      61.37     4.96    -1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   32   41   +3      60.09     5.30     3.21     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       32   41   -2      58.70     5.21    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              35   40   -8      53.40     4.40   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             31   36   -2      53.45     5.49    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      32   28  -22      42.18     4.95   -30.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.49R    0.02  
Altrincham          34   28  -25      38.50     4.37   -35.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.62R    0.02  
Weymouth            31   27  -15      44.60     5.34   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.03R    0.00  
Northwich           32   19  -34      29.87     4.51   -49.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.29R    8.97  
Stafford_Rangers    32   18  -32      29.68     4.61   -44.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.93R    9.59  
Droylsden           32   13  -49      22.21     4.28   -68.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.63R   81.41