Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 2 March 2008 at 22:37:19 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 March 2008, Bolton vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         28   65  +36      85.41     3.69    47.62    40.24    85.32    98.96    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.86     3.70    55.83    53.37    88.46    99.42    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   58  +25      80.20     4.07    36.34     6.35    25.39    87.95    97.72    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Everton         28   53  +22      71.42     3.96    29.97     0.01     0.38     7.62    49.02    95.45     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       27   50  +26      70.66     4.25    35.16     0.03     0.44     5.77    44.95    93.03     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   48  +15      66.05     3.83    22.51     0.00     0.00     0.27     6.86    66.56     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   45   +3      60.03     4.11     5.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     9.09     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   45   +3      59.65     4.36     4.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31     8.95     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      28   44   +9      62.13     4.31    15.87     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.99    25.18     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        27   40   +4      55.30     4.31     4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   32   +4      49.72     4.60     8.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   29  -17      37.95     3.61   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.95R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   28  -23      36.40     3.69   -33.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.75R    0.00  
Wigan           28   27  -16      35.67     3.78   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.43R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   27  -20      36.32     3.96   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.72R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   26  -10      37.51     4.23   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.88R    0.00  
Bolton          28   25  -14      33.50     3.74   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.99R    0.00  
Reading         28   25  -23      36.38     4.13   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.49R    0.00  
Fulham          28   19  -23      28.89     3.97   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.78R    0.11  
Derby           28   10  -44      13.96     2.67   -61.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 March 2008, QPR vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     35   64   +3      78.93     4.60     2.85    20.94    42.87    94.52    51.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   62  +11      77.87     4.49    14.16    15.87    36.34    92.55    48.81P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   61  +14      78.99     4.60    18.36    25.33    47.35    94.97    59.38P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   58  +28      79.73     4.90    36.75    34.04    58.28    96.56    71.47P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         35   55  +10      72.40     4.64    13.47     2.16     7.51    62.05    21.79P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          35   52   +9      70.38     4.68    13.89     0.62     2.84    46.91    14.86P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         35   52   +9      69.85     4.63    13.09     0.56     2.51    41.38    13.77P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   51   +3      66.86     4.66     4.12     0.09     0.50    17.70     4.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             34   50   +3      67.82     4.90     5.16     0.23     1.02    23.95     6.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   50   -1      66.42     4.82    -0.68     0.12     0.55    15.40     3.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   49   +4      64.94     4.58     5.19     0.03     0.21     9.29     2.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool        35   45   +2      60.37     4.64     2.31     0.00     0.01     1.47     0.38P    0.62R    0.01  
Norwich          35   45   -9      57.29     4.47   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    3.32R    0.21  
Cardiff          34   44   +0      60.69     4.93     0.38     0.00     0.01     2.30     0.57P    0.76R    0.05  
QPR              35   44   -4      58.36     4.65    -5.24     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.10P    2.21R    0.14  
Barnsley         35   42  -13      53.34     4.34   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   17.28R    1.94  
Leicester        35   40   +1      55.81     4.55     2.14     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    6.23R    0.70  
Sheff_Utd        34   40   -4      55.98     4.75    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    6.64R    0.60  
Southampton      35   40  -13      51.76     4.36   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.71R    4.58  
Coventry         34   39  -13      52.63     4.75   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   23.66R    4.38  
Preston          35   37   -8      49.57     4.38   -11.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.63R    9.71  
Sheff_Wed        33   36   -6      52.76     5.10    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   21.76R    4.84  
Scunthorpe       35   35  -17      46.02     4.30   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.30R   39.73  
Colchester       34   32   -9      46.40     4.82   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.83R   33.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          33   73  +36     100.10     4.71    50.90    98.69    99.86   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        33   59  +20      83.13     4.86    29.53     0.52    40.91    98.42    55.73P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         32   58  +15      81.16     5.23    21.18     0.46    23.66    94.89    37.87P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     32   56  +24      81.34     5.14    32.82     0.33    30.86    96.15    51.10P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   55  +15      75.61     4.69    21.13     0.00     3.06    77.35    20.96P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   52   +7      67.59     4.46     8.12     0.00     0.04    13.38     2.51P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         34   51   +6      68.55     4.77     7.81     0.00     0.09    19.39     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   50  +24      73.64     4.55    35.06     0.00     1.44    67.87    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   50   -5      63.57     4.44    -7.35     0.00     0.00     2.55     0.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           34   47   +8      67.66     4.77    14.20     0.00     0.03    15.78     3.50P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   47   +0      60.23     4.41    -2.56     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         32   46   +6      64.40     5.16     5.15     0.00     0.02     6.48     1.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   44   +2      64.22     5.41     1.66     0.00     0.03     5.74     0.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon          34   44   +1      61.19     4.75     2.31     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     33   43  -14      55.79     4.77   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    2.20R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   42  -13      53.13     4.09   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.55R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   40   -2      55.65     4.62    -3.21     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.13R    0.00  
Millwall         35   37  -15      48.38     4.25   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.16R    0.07  
Cheltenham       35   37  -19      46.96     4.01   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.62R    0.09  
Bournemouth      35   36  -15      47.48     4.13   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.95R    0.08  
Gillingham       33   36  -18      48.94     4.70   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.19R    0.11  
Crewe            35   36  -19      48.83     4.42   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.18R    0.10  
Luton            34   25  -14      37.82     4.47   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.95R   12.01  
Port_Vale        35   22  -30      31.27     4.01   -39.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   87.54  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2008, Barnet vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   34   69  +32      92.70     4.65    42.84    45.60    93.01   100.00    95.62P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         34   68  +31      90.09     4.75    39.75    24.14    83.41    99.98    89.26P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           33   65  +31      90.42     4.95    42.15    26.33    84.84    99.96    90.85P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             34   64  +21      84.94     4.76    27.88     3.91    36.28    99.49    56.36P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   57  +10      75.17     4.71    14.54     0.00     0.73    73.10    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   57   +9      72.50     4.50     9.77     0.00     0.26    50.14    11.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            34   56  +10      73.53     4.92    11.55     0.01     0.64    59.68    12.27P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         35   54  +13      71.96     4.60    17.43     0.00     0.15    50.53    12.51P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             32   50   +5      73.36     5.54    11.19     0.01     0.68    57.50    12.74P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   50   -4      64.32     4.78    -7.20     0.00     0.01     5.07     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              35   49   -2      61.14     4.42    -6.34     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            34   46   -9      60.38     4.82   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             33   44   +1      60.44     5.13    -1.25     0.00     0.00     1.89     0.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   43   -8      55.87     4.47   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.28R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   35   42  -24      53.42     4.37   -30.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.91R    0.22  
Shrewsbury           34   40   -5      56.62     4.88    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.47R    0.06  
Chester              34   40   -9      53.06     4.66   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.14R    0.32  
Dag_&_Red            35   40  -13      51.61     4.35   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.15R    0.66  
Barnet               31   38   -7      57.42     5.61    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09P    0.83R    0.13  
Notts_County         34   34  -14      47.36     4.67   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.62R    5.72  
Bury                 34   33  -13      48.47     4.84   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.82R    4.09  
Macclesfield         35   32  -20      45.34     4.67   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.76R   12.98  
Mansfield            33   30  -12      46.06     5.10   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.14R   10.46  
Wrexham              32   26  -23      39.45     4.91   -30.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.85R   65.34  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2008, Aldershot vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           33   74  +26      97.71     5.04    35.87    64.86    99.78    72.76P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             32   66  +25      93.19     5.04    39.20    26.24    98.40    43.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       33   64  +23      89.16     4.83    34.06     6.39    93.90    33.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           33   61  +27      84.26     5.09    35.67     1.10    72.62    20.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              33   61  +21      84.63     4.94    31.32     1.20    74.34    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       32   57  +19      80.28     5.39    25.36     0.21    38.42     8.59P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           34   55  +11      71.95     4.88    11.82     0.00     2.52     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              33   54   +9      75.03     5.08    14.28     0.00     7.84     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        33   52   +8      72.94     5.25    12.61     0.00     4.02     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    31   50   +7      72.92     5.61    10.62     0.00     4.93     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
York                32   46   +0      64.44     5.28    -2.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        30   45  +11      70.16     5.90    15.84     0.00     2.75     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      31   44   +0      66.71     5.55     3.45     0.00     0.34     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          33   44   -1      61.40     4.95    -1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   32   41   +3      59.95     5.31     3.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       32   41   -2      58.76     5.23    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              35   40   -8      53.26     4.40   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             31   36   -2      53.44     5.48    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      32   28  -22      42.12     4.97   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.72R    0.02  
Altrincham          34   28  -25      38.64     4.39   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.16R    0.02  
Weymouth            31   27  -15      44.63     5.36   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.05R    0.00  
Northwich           32   19  -34      29.93     4.50   -49.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.13R    9.02  
Stafford_Rangers    32   18  -32      29.62     4.65   -44.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.26R   10.03  
Droylsden           32   13  -49      22.33     4.30   -68.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.67R   80.91